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Sey-Mour Snow

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    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    Perhaps they aren’t doing the windshield wiper affect?  Their latest map still has 8-12 for a big swath…GFS at 6z confirms that.  
     

    And this is where the Euro OP certainly isn’t anything like it used to be.  So sad. 

    Well I agree on not changing maps yet, looks bad to keep changing that,  just hope that it reverts back south like yesterday. But they should at least mention the correct facts in their discussion that everything jumped north and warmed pretty significantly.. 

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    BOX disco actually says everything shifted SE overnight 

    LMAO I believe you but they obviously didn't look at anything after NAM and GFS .. Every single piece of guidance went 50 miles NW and warmed significantly for borderline areas, now CNE back in the game.. Need the same magic from yesterday morning .. 

    • Like 1

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

    It’s definitely dicey there, but I still think it’ll work out for plowable especially away from the immediate shoreline.

    I’m in East Hartford. Bar was 4” but if we’re being honest this morning if I don’t verify a warning I’d be a little disappointed. 

    Nice ya I-84 north still looks solid for several inches.  Looks like a quick thump then dry slot shore again. Weird guidance did this yesterday at this time too difference is we have hi res now which agrees and also there’s only 36-48 hours til game time now l. 

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

    06zGFS clown

    sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

    6z gfs bumped up north again another 25 miles closer to every other piece of guidance which did the same at 6z. One of the more wild trends I’ve seen.  South coast gets a thump then slots now on most guidance GFS coldest. Kuchera shows snow swath better I like to use it for borderline zones.  Congrats CNE back in the game. 

     

     

    IMG_2448.png

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

    Folks who imagine that more than a swath of 6-12+ could materialize do not understand the fundamental synoptics of the event. This has never had the firepower to be a long-duration, multi-stream merger blizzard. The question is SECS or low-end MECS (meaning a zone of 12-15), which is entirely dependent at this stage on whether the trailing energy can interact with the initial WAA-causing pulse and close off H5 south of the coast to prolong CCB for a couple more hours. I’ve seen a couple insinuations of 1-2 feet from some here, who are woefully demonstrating their lack of comprehension of or experience with these type of systems.

    I seriously don't think any poster on here ever saw this as more than 6-12" with an isolated jack of 18 kinda storm.. This is still likely a 6-12" storm for the max zone with the potential for a 12-18" stripe if we get this to slow down and nuke somewhere near the cape which will allow the ccb to become quasi-stationary.. 

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    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    Trailing vort noticeably stronger on euro early on lets see if that gives a gfs type solution (just wishcasting here I know)

     

    3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    Well, of the two models(GFS and CMC),if I had to choose which one showed a monster solution at 48 hrs out, it would be the GFS over the Canadian every time. Certainly doesn’t mean it’s right. But it’s a much better model than the CMC. So there’s that.  
     

    If the former King comes along in a few minutes, and does something similar to the GFS, then we might be heading towards something major.  If there are a ton of new posts when I check back at 1:45, that will be a very good sign. 

    I agree, please EURO throw us a bone towards GFS.. 

    • Like 2
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