Sey-Mour Snow

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Mini 2012…

First half of this month was a warmer 2012 by a few degrees. Last half will be meh although March 2012 did end with snow after the 10 day torch. 

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Very prudent to be skeptical, agreed.  However on the other hand that’s been pretty consistent for some time now. So there’s something there… 

Def a big storm signal there. Let’s see what we get, there is cold available to tap too .. wouldn’t mind one last snow event then let’s go back to 60s last week of March! 

I have zero trust in Euro it’s an outlier as of now in terms of sustained cold. The way I see it is we cool down next 7-10 days to at or just below normal with maybe one really cold day and a wintry threat.  then hopefully warm up last week of March to a tad above normal at least. First half of March will end up +9 to + 12 for many after we touch 60 first half today which is wild. 

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

56.5 here. Beautiful.

CoastalSeaBreeze?

71!
 

12z gfs has a week of temps around 40, then right back to Morch last week of March. 

24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

For today…then it’s done. 

Tomorrow is 62-68 for CT as well 

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Sey-Mour-Sixties?

Morch 2012 continues 

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it was warmer by 4 F yesterday at this time, despite today supposedly being warmer.

this is what happens when even thin, gossamer cloud filters pass over in this cursed New England cold well in spring. Like somehow the sun is weaker than any other place along this same latitude on Earth and even barely perceptible dimming robs 5 F.  

Up 5 from yesterday here 62 again already .  Think we make a run at 66-67 here. 

3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Who had 90s?

No one

Morch 2012 to me stands out for the 10-15 days above 60 degrees. Here’s the actual numbers. No 90s … Barely 80 just one day over 80 at BDL none at ORH. the first half of this month will definitely be similar to Morch 2012 but the 2nd half of this month will probably just be seasonable. 
 

Using the BOX forecast for BDL next two days. You get an average high of 54.2 the first half of March 2024 compared to 52.9 for the first half of March 2012. 
 

also to note 5.1” of snow at ORH 1.7” BDL and a pretty strong March arctic shot early in the month with a record low. 
 

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

dern it...  I normally would have checked the preceding MOS guidance numbers because this kind of excruciating nerdiness of spring temperature monitoring excites me.

ha ...  This just seems like a MOS bust incarnate regime we're in today and tomorrow.

59 here ...  zero cloud in any direction with infinite visibility.  no discernable wind.  About a 10 on the nape scale.   

Needs to clear 62 to enter top 10 day contention - personal requirement for that distinction.  But being near 60 in these conditions under near Equinox sun is definitely in the top 20.  We may yet get a 64 even here...

Definite positive bust last two days in the MOS department 

62 again today so far might get to 65 before the winds shift. What a nice week, maybe 65-70 tomorrow and Friday? Nice start to Morch! 

2.90” another rain storm around 3” several this winter… 

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Dry slotted here

1.03” already back yard flooded again 

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like long range charts for the warm February we just had to me.

ya if that verifies F this Winter! You can see it now, the weenie long range will finally verify this one time once the calendar flips to spring .. But it'll be too late and still produce 30s and rain. 

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Roar above the trees all night . Best for Dendy and EEk. Just didn't materialize south of Hunchie 

Ya it was very loud. Just no “Damageinseymour” wind reports were meh locally 

When do the winds start? Asking for a friend . 

22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Chicago with hottest winter day ever. Insane 

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1762541795462771137?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Damn! What a time to be in Chicago kinda jealous 

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

A cold front with almost no cold air behind it-winter of 23-24 folks!

Highs near 60 early in the week. Wind chills in teens and 20s Thursday. With a 3 hour drop of 15-25 degrees for New England. 

13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

If I remember correctly, that was the warmest temperature all year lol. 

Ya that 96 in April was the highest temp. 95 in September and 94 in early June

28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't doubt it.  

hey what were those dates on that?

April 14th was 96 at BDL - 5 days in a row 76+

21 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I kinda wanna start a thread for what could be a historic heat burst  -  conjectural +15+ diurnal means for 3 days ?    ... 

We don't get ours in July's like they do in Eurasia, probably do to converging continental with subtropical meridian flows.  It's hard to extend BL when the DPs 78 degrees when there's whole country's aerosol anus pointing right at us, while we're so close to sea level/air density.   I suspect that's why we've been getting so many 92/77 days under 590 hgts.   They're doing 104 in Iowa with that where their sigma starts at 700 feet.  

Anyway, we get our synergy heat in springs it seems.   Can't wait until BTV is 100 on May 8th while HFD is 82 with a S wind. 

We were mid to upper 90s mid April last year.. 

36 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

LR gfs op looks great, wow

Ya that would be welcome by all.. All out torch .. Last seasonable day would be this Sunday .. Then we go 50 and 60s until mid March with probably a few days around 70 or so and dry weather to boot 

2.7 and .5 for 3.2” total 

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

70 F at most climo sites on March 1 and … everywhere else, is between  25 and 30 abv nornal  

Let’s not belittle the matter.  It’s not that common. 

Doing so as often as it has in the last 10 years is alarming.

But these occurrences have couched 80 as well.  

Just looking at wiz’s chart BDL is hitting 70 over the last 20 years just as frequently as the 1960-1980 period.

as far as 80 . BDL hit 80 4 times before 1990 3 times since 1990. 
 

off first glance 60s seem more prevalent recently 

7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

70s in March was common 70 years ago per my memory.  I used to realize that March would often give you the first 70 and April 80.  Didn’t happen every year but it was common enough.

Ya 70s in March aren’t unusual.  I remember one year maybe 97 or 98 we hit  88.