Sey-Mour Snow

5 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

Rgem seems to be highlighting that same area of enhancement. Looks good overall.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Usually where warmth comes in easiest aloft 

I don't see any reason to be conservative with the warm air aloft.. It's going to come flying in and north.. 3km has the right idea 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya looks just like ICON and the warmest EURO solutions ..

Wild 84 corridor is a degree or two between 700-800 from 12-18" of snow or less than 6"

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Ugh that 3k trend was not what I wanted to see. Thought we were beginning to trend in the right direction too.

ya looks just like ICON and the warmest EURO solutions ..

Just ran the 3km NAM 1 hr snow from my basement.. 5.3" of snow in one hour lol.. The 3km snow output total is from only 2-3 hours of snow, not good relying on 6" of snow to accumulate in 2-3 hours with borderline temps.. 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

3K nam finally what I envisioned it would look like.

Ya I agree, that run makes a lot of sense with the mid level tracks 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya warm nose gets just north of 84 at the peak before crashing down with heavier rates.. would still get 6"+ for most of CT as it pounds right after that.. 12km much cooler.. 

All guidance is adamant on a rather large band of extremely heavy snow moving through all of SNE.. 

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s warm in a lot of CT/RI/SE MA. 

Ya warm nose gets just north of 84 at the peak before crashing down with heavier rates.. would still get 6"+ for most of CT as it pounds right after that.. 12km much cooler.. 

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hrrr is pound town for CT Tuesday morning. 

If we can lock this in verbatim I'll forgive this winter forever.  Would be 2-3"+ for several hours in daylight.. Too bad its long range hrrr.. 

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

H7 keeps trending north though. Looks like it tracked along the southern half of the state so we’ll need a bump or two south tomorrow. 

Def would love a tic south at go time from this 

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I’ll take my 12+ thanks. Steady as she goes. So dam consistent.

Ya gfs has been so consistent . Would be awesome for it to score a coup 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s amped but not a rainer lol. 

Ok not bad just loaded for me

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs coming in hot…

Hot as in rain ☔️ ? I’m only out to 39

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

That’s 18z

00z

Super cold at surface not much precip compared to globals and obviously well south. Just another option on the table, if mesos hold the southern course then it’s going to be a load bath tomorrow to see what wins out. for Also no wind to speak of on NAM

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

NAM's clown.

That’s 18z

EPS loves the Pike

Timing with this also correlates to the warmth and lesser totals south.. Timing really moving up again on EURO .. 

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lol the GFS could be the exact same run 3 days in a row and it would still probably make a move before go time. 

HA true!

7 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

That's just wrong...

It feels horribly wrong but it's 100% true with this storm.. EURO has been jumpy all season so it's no surprise.. 

Funny I might owe an apology to the ICON if it's ends up right.. 18z EURO a lot closer to ICON than any other guidance is.. 

Some are delusional with beer. The EURO (aka the new NAM) has ticked 100 miles north today in 2 runs .. We will just follow GFS which seems to be more stable .. Stay the course for now, EURO simply can't be trusted check out the run to run consistency at every layer just putrid..

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

We Comma 

congrats albany that was an awful run for CT now many see where the worry comes, back to back warm bumps on EURO 12z and 18z

18z euro is an example of the worry for southeners lmao 

First call … 65% chance we bump the 6” line up to 84 and a 35% chance we bump it down to immediate shoreline. 
 

Ya I don’t think people realize how borderline this is for south ct temps like 33-34 with 700mb flirting with freezing. 

GEFS with another good bump nw.. south ct crew with toasters on stand bye