Sey-Mour Snow

GEFS with a decent bump north with precip again, 2 runs in a row 12z, 18z. 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2016 did not.

It did for the south coast, we were forecast to get nothing 36 hours before ended up with 15.

NAM nice for south coast. Especially SWCT

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

GEPS are northwest, closer to climo:

stole from another thread

I don’t think “climo” really matters too much in a block that strong. 

Snow maps only have a chance of verifying in snowy climates like New England.  Any map that shows snow over Richmond is going to be overdone 99.9% of the time. But I do hope we all get a Richmond to Portland snowstorm this year. 

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ha. Yea. We have that tawby poster here and a few others I think who wouldn’t mind with a positive bust.

What's your elevation? I'm at 600' on the Seymour/Oxford line, feeling hopeful for 2-4".  We always do very well with elevation dependent storms. 

Interesting that you think average snowfall for Hartford with a torch through peak snow climo. 

3 minutes ago, mreaves said:

When you choose the image from your phone, choose it's size.  I use medium most of the time but large can work as well.

Thanks 

50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Who are the many wet?

Lucky around here 3.02 this week. Lawn stayed green through the September dry stretch, also had 1” in early September fall, then I watered manually every other day with WiFi timers and 4 sprinklers, also overseeded 3 weeks ago.  Here’s what she looks like.  Edit : can’t upload my image from my iPhone? 

20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m usually leary/afraid of severe when the early afternoons are windy, which they are right now. Hopefully Wizzy setting up shop nearby will offset it.

Very breezy ominous feel. 

11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Leaving work shortly and headed towards Newtown!!! Make moves from there  

Good spot, they always do well. And it’s a big town area wise plus nice and wide open. Close to my neck of the woods. I’m on the Seymour/Oxford line. 

83/70 here and full sun! Steamy summer afternoon. Anticipating a Tor watch for Southern CT soon. 

81/69 here western new haven county. 

Sorry off topic but wow!!  Crazy PDS watch for derecho. 

Just going to leave this here .. Very sad 60k followers.. 

Disgusting humidity all day in southern CT. Dews 68-74 all day. 

Damn GFS says Kevin is right again. 80-85 Wednesday through Monday then heat wave starts June 9th. 

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Drought?

I was thinking the same thing, only at 1.5" for the month here ...

47 and heavy rain on my wife's birthday Tuesday. Great.. 3-9" of rain for the NYC metro over the course of the week. 

the area of greatest tornado threat has been increased and also expanded south to include CT on the latest SPC update, interesting....

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Southbury. I’m just under 600’ but I rarely see that elevation impact me one way or another here. Whenever marginal events occur, areas just to my NW like Roxbury and Washington which have 1k spots, tend to do better and see the differences. 

I’m expecting 1-2 here but leaning low.

Really? I’m about 600’ here and it’s always a huge difference just down the hill. Especially these marginal late season storms. 

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro coming back north for 4/17-18...12z GFS was already there, but now Euro trying to bring the precip shield into CT/RI. .

Close to a paste job in southern CT, surface a bit warm. 

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm actually not sure where to get the plot which shows the individual low tracks but from judgement of eye (which is never a good way to go) 12z does look solidly west. 

but I always get a little weary of focusing too much on individual runs (and EPS for that matter) and how far west/east storm track is when phasing is involved b/c there are so many moving factors involved with phasing that agreement (or disagreement) 2...3...4 days out means little. At the end of the day a 6-hour difference in the timing of any of the important features will dictate whether phasing happens or not.

We could go into 12z Thursday and still be 12-hours off within timing and all of a sudden 0z runs come out and bam...there's a phase and we get nailed.

Clown maps don’t look meager lol they are 12-24” for all of eastern New England.