Sey-Mour Snow

Great stretch since 10pm Thursday 2.8” in 60 hours 

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

80/45 is a bit too dry summer

80/53 is still too dry for summer

85/62 is perfect summer

87/73 is great beach weather summer

93/77 is way too hot 

And there it goes flash flood warning.. hrrrr was right … 3-4” in 90 minutes in that zone with plenty more to come 

Western CT getting nailed right now reports of 3-4” on radar most of that since 8pm in Fairfield county. 

Looks to be a flash flood threat CT RI and cape to Central Jersey Wednesday … HRRR adamant on a stripe of 10-16”+  in Jersey where they have had a ton of rain this summer 

Gfs with a solid 100 mile tic west. Again just news for Hatteras and Bahamas with possible Tropical Storm Conditions. 

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Huge shift west on the Euro NC probably gets in on some fun

Yea pretty large shift with major implications verbatim for SE Bahamas and would get some coastal flooding and sustained Tropical Storm force winds for Hatteras.  

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

With nothing to draw this to the coast and now with the RI…this will probably start to recurve even more quickly

It’s still pulling pretty far south.. it will definitely curve but this has bigger implications for PR Antilles today with heavier rain and wind , then possibly SE Bahamas and Turks will get in on sustained Tropical Storm conditions for longer now.  Also the cruise lines around the Bahamas holding out hope better reroute now don’t want to be on the open waters around the Bahamas Sunday through Tuesday. 

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

75 mph gain in 15 hours 

Edit 70*

26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Wasn’t it still 100 at 5 AM? Holy shit

nevermind…it was 120. I didn’t hit refresh from 6z

75 mph gain in 15 hours 

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That’s my worst case scenario. Breezy and a few showers on the Cape.

Are you vacationing there next week? 

Surprised no mention of the massive shift west on Euro. Close to a Hatteras hit before curving out to sea. 

New track at 11am shifted SW a bit which just matters for Bahamas and anyone vacationing around there (following closely for 2 groups of friends I have going on cruises this weekend to Bahamas and Bermuda). Erin is forecast to intensify into a hurricane tomorrow night or Friday with a period of rapid intensification possible. 

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dew up to 66. Feeling swampy . One morning that got into upper 50’s. Rest 60 or higher. As meh a mild down as they get for Augdewst . Deep deep deep summer begins tomorrow and who knows when it ends . I’ll guess Oct

Weird dew is 57 here feels like October 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Nothing beats the holidays in 2015 70s for a week 

21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wanna say ... 1999?   there were a couple of obnoxious warm departures between Halloween and January 1 that late autumn/early winter.   The SE ridge had become proxy over the flow east across the continent, and each time it lasted a week.  I remember consecutive days in the upper 60s balm, with no leaves on the trees and sweating streets.  One of them had a couple days to 74. 

Something like that, tho not as extreme took place in 2006, too.

Nothing beats the holidays in 2015 70s for a week 

Will end up being a 1 day cool down… Looks like 80+ every day still 

1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said:

Time to take the RRFS to the woodshed. 

Horrible performance .. My new name is

Sey-Mour Stein 

Put summer fertilizer down today. Can’t believe I have to use my sprinklers to soak it in. 

Looking more and more likely that most of CT doesn't see much .. what a bust .. 

9 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Where do you see that? The 6z RRFS looks like 1-3" for Fairfield County up through Oxford. 

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Where do you see that? The 6z RRFS looks like 1-3" for Fairfield County up through Oxford. 

Weatherbell that was 00z.. 6z just got released since I posted that which is much less with that in mind it flops like that NAM and hrrr so take with a grain of salt 

RRFS has an OXFORD CT flash flood repeat 8-10" southern CT focus .. we shall see

32 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

For the past three runs now the 3k has honed in on eastern PA as the recipient of the rain deluge. 

3k NAM sucks! I think a widespread beneficial soaking is coming especially PIKE south with localized flash flooding in the training t-storms.. 

22 minutes ago, dendrite said:

1p

Wow 99 Newark at 1pm.
 

Even 95 at my house for the 4th time this summer when my previous high was 94.6