Sey-Mour Snow

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

2.26”, heavy stuff is done with back edge approaching. 

Damn 3.11 here.. just verified with two other stations on my street all exactly the same 

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nice squal line in CT heading NE with thunder and wind 

Just went through here .. meh 2.90”

17 degree bust on 12z Hrrr. 52 forecast right now it’s 35.. closing in on 2.0” another 2.0” forecast on hrrr maybe we hit 4.0” probably just short though.. closing in on the 3rd 10.0” rain month since December. Currently at 8.50” in March

Today reminds me of late March 2012, cold winter like day after a warm month 

16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Again 12 days in a row with departures plus 20 and as high as plus 35 in the interior of course the shoreline Seabreezed. Cherry this

It’s like 2012 popped your cherry and you can’t forget it by how much you gush over it. 

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Morch 2012 Morch 2024 skiing

Lmao cherry picker! Wheres the pic of skiing in 2012 when it was in the 20s and snowing in the mountains in beginning and end of the month? Or any pics last week when it was in the 60s? 

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

To be honest the highs there are every bit as warm as the lows, ha.  After all that discussion the highs were really +10F down there?  The way folks talk it sounded like +2 or +3.  

That’s my point. The highs were +8 to +10 for the first 18 days of March for all, it’s not swayed warm at all bc of the lows, the highs and lows are equally torched this month. Thats highly anomalous .  Yes it will change and come back to earth. But we had a really nice 18 day stretch. 

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

What are the daily max temp departures MTD? I’m not a fan of Including night time lows. Those are obviously getting warmer.

just for the highs through yesterday..

BDL+10.3 (+9.5 on lows)
ORH +8.9

BDR +9.4

it’s been a very warm March even more so just from a high temp perspective. Obviously we will probably need be up somewhere around +5 for highs after this chilly week ahead. 
 

In other news besides the well above average day time highs this Match we’ve had so far similar to the first half of March 2012…

Minnesota looks to have potential for an all time snowstorm late this weekend. 

What’s up with the Euro and that icestorm Sunday , crazy model 

9 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

But All we hear is Morch 12 though? 

I know bad analog it actually snowed in Morch 2012 and wasn’t as warm as this March through March 17th. It’s all a dream starting this week though as we go back to reality, still holding out hope for more RAM truck pics and 60s the last few week of the month. 

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Jesus Christ ... have to close this f'n ap you people talkin' about f'n trucks? ooh ya .

Where's the emoji of gun and bullet going through head when you need it -

It’s Trucks or the worst weather imaginable next week. 

38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Jr and LFG Uconn!

Halfway shined no time for more gotta catch the train in Fairfield. I’m soaked 70 and humid here. 

Just now, Spanks45 said:

Yeah, still some sun here...temp has bounced to 70.4⁰

Glad we live here today .. just shined up the ram .. headed to msg soon to watch UConn. Will be a nice day in the city 

31 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah.. I told "Sey-Mour hopes and warm dreams" that I thought the Euro might be experimenting but that is too much of a whopper suggestion from these EPO/PNA formulating out of every technological method there is at disposal to the field of prognostic science, and art, to ignore...

We'll see what it can do when up against seasonality and sun.  I've been pounding out keyboards as of late that the models tend to under-evaluate these factors and seem to regress their solutions out in time... But this signal has just become overbearing at this point - I almost wonder if the opposite might be kinda true.

 

I hoped the warmth into existence today 66-70 around the area currently. 
 

After the quick shot of impressive cold for late March we will mild back up.  Everything has trended less anomalous and more progressive as we close in on time this winter. I still think we flip back to at or above normal last week of March. 

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Mini 2012…

First half of this month was a warmer 2012 by a few degrees. Last half will be meh although March 2012 did end with snow after the 10 day torch. 

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Very prudent to be skeptical, agreed.  However on the other hand that’s been pretty consistent for some time now. So there’s something there… 

Def a big storm signal there. Let’s see what we get, there is cold available to tap too .. wouldn’t mind one last snow event then let’s go back to 60s last week of March! 

I have zero trust in Euro it’s an outlier as of now in terms of sustained cold. The way I see it is we cool down next 7-10 days to at or just below normal with maybe one really cold day and a wintry threat.  then hopefully warm up last week of March to a tad above normal at least. First half of March will end up +9 to + 12 for many after we touch 60 first half today which is wild. 

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

56.5 here. Beautiful.

CoastalSeaBreeze?

71!
 

12z gfs has a week of temps around 40, then right back to Morch last week of March. 

24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

For today…then it’s done. 

Tomorrow is 62-68 for CT as well 

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Sey-Mour-Sixties?

Morch 2012 continues 

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it was warmer by 4 F yesterday at this time, despite today supposedly being warmer.

this is what happens when even thin, gossamer cloud filters pass over in this cursed New England cold well in spring. Like somehow the sun is weaker than any other place along this same latitude on Earth and even barely perceptible dimming robs 5 F.  

Up 5 from yesterday here 62 again already .  Think we make a run at 66-67 here. 

3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Who had 90s?

No one

Morch 2012 to me stands out for the 10-15 days above 60 degrees. Here’s the actual numbers. No 90s … Barely 80 just one day over 80 at BDL none at ORH. the first half of this month will definitely be similar to Morch 2012 but the 2nd half of this month will probably just be seasonable. 
 

Using the BOX forecast for BDL next two days. You get an average high of 54.2 the first half of March 2024 compared to 52.9 for the first half of March 2012. 
 

also to note 5.1” of snow at ORH 1.7” BDL and a pretty strong March arctic shot early in the month with a record low. 
 

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

dern it...  I normally would have checked the preceding MOS guidance numbers because this kind of excruciating nerdiness of spring temperature monitoring excites me.

ha ...  This just seems like a MOS bust incarnate regime we're in today and tomorrow.

59 here ...  zero cloud in any direction with infinite visibility.  no discernable wind.  About a 10 on the nape scale.   

Needs to clear 62 to enter top 10 day contention - personal requirement for that distinction.  But being near 60 in these conditions under near Equinox sun is definitely in the top 20.  We may yet get a 64 even here...

Definite positive bust last two days in the MOS department