Sey-Mour Snow

3 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

I've got 13.5" in the central part of the state at low elevation, so slightly above average... right on the gradient in the Dec 1-3 event.

Nice ya crazy gradient from that storm 

1 minute ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Yes we got lucky up here with a stationary band dumping on the Dec 1-3 storm.  I drive through the state quite frequently and this is definitely one of those years where most of the continual snow cover has been up near BDL and points north.  I had about 50 to 60% snow cover on Christmas Day and nearly 100% on New Year's Day for the holidays. Other years southwestern areas have done better, especially up in those hills near where you are located.  Definitely a nice set up being at 600+ feet but being so close to the ocean. 

Yes, we have been spoiled lately.  Due for some regression to the mean I guess, latitude has been killing us this year, unlike the last decade. 

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Anyone who got the goods in dec 1-3 is doing well this season. It was a big storm for a lot of folks. If you mostly whiffed on that storm, it's probably been pretty meh, but also not terrible. 

Ya the whole southern half of CT whiffed on most of that .. we got 1-3"

2 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

I'm in the north central valley in Enfield and have 23.6.  

Ya you guys in the extreme northern part of the state got 12-18" in early december.   We are at 5-10" in all of the southern half of the state. 

2 minutes ago, alex said:

Why are people saying that NNE has done well so far? I'm pretty sure we are running average if not slightly below, while SNE has had a huge month. All relative to climo of course but this does not strike me as a great winter so far up here. 

It's more CNE that did well 25-50 miles either side of route 2 .. Most of CT except the NE and NW hills has under 12" of snow so far this season with a pretty bad pattern moving in days 7-14. 

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Scooter was born in like '79? I'm sure he remembers most of the 80s...esp the dreadful years which mostly started in 84-85. 

I was born in '81 and I remember most of the shit years in the late 1980s and the lean years actually went into the first 3 seasons of the '90s. 

I'm bad with remembering years.  Obviously we've had a really nice stretch the past 25 years, with some ratters mixed in.  I can't remember back to back bad years.  When were the last back to back seasons that were below average for SNE.? Born in late 85 so my snow memories start with the 93 superstorm, so I've been spoiled.  

24mb drop in 24 hours

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

06z EURO noticeably more amped early on 

wow, well there you go much more amped... a tad north.  Very nice look for SNE

06z EURO noticeably more amped early on 

4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

From that line points southeast...so southeast half of SNE.

Interesting trends, lets see if this continues. 

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wouldn't very interested if I were you.

In this pattern 5 minutes of flurries would interest me. 

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s much colder than 00z

Its colder overall because the secondary its pretty strong, I just don't like how the primary gets too far north.. we need a lot more help down here than you 

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

That run would have hit Kevin's area hard and prob NE CT. 

I definitely want to see another tick south. We don't want that primary shortwave being too dominant. I have a feeling that it will be though...but even with that said, we could pick up an inch or two on the back end. 

 

exactly and the 12z EURO trended towards the primary being more dominant which torches southern CT.   

Just now, CoastalWx said:

My expectations are limited anyways. If you have that mentality, it should be ok. 

Yes, any accumulation would be a win at this point. It's been rough down here this winter so far .. 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Trending in the right direction inside d5...maybe we can squeeze some juice out of a bitter pattern.

trended much worse for me and you from 00z

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks fine to this met 

For mount tolland yes. 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Looked decent for interior CT.

Much warmer than 00z for most in CT, not the trend we wanted.. Need that to get a few tics south for everyone in the forum to enjoy .. 

Closing in on about 3 puddles .  34/33
#nodamageinseymour 

Getting into some good banding now, raindrop size improving. 36.5/31

#seymourrain

#nodamageinseymour 

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Damn far SWCT inland got a lot of ice

.45” here

your two favorite weenies do

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How many times do you accuse me back handedly of lying. Like I said.. glad we don’t live there 

How do we know you haven't installed AC's on your weather station. #damageINseymour

Freezing rain already in Northern NJ, SENY reporting sleet/freezing rain mix. 

This is the HREF forecasted accretion, not just qpf as freezing rain.  Pretty scary down here, widespread .5" accretion is the mean.  The max is 1.25" qpf as freezing rain. 

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I think you may have mentioned that could be the focal zone the other day...pretty solid call. Now it's just a matter of how much ZR we're talking about. 

Yes, thanks.  Yes seems like all guidance is pretty much 2/3rd of an inch to an inch of freezing rain for the "ground zero" area..  Obviously that would be hard to get , this area has gotten hit pretty badly the past 12 months from ice.  We've had at about 5 ice storms of greater than 1/4 inch.  Trees have taken a beating, pretty much a guarantee to lose power.  We had about a quarter inch on December 1-2 this month.