Sey-Mour Snow

Thats some major cold

4.8" 

Thunder snow in Manhattan 

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I might actually get warning snows out of this now...I was bracing for 3" 24 hours ago.

Good, it's much better when we have you guys out east in the party.. 

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That's a great hit for CT. Probably widespread 6-8 there.

looks great widespread .7" qpf from the thump.. If we can get 12-13:1 ratios then its party on! 

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z Euro going to bump up qpf a couple tics too like the other 12z guidance.

EURO really ramped up for CT , after it sniffed out the southward trend first, it's really been owned by the GFS in regards to precip output for this event , considering a cave 12-18 hours out.. 

Much better for the rest of SNE New England as well.. 

wrong thread 

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS def bumped up a bit in eastern areas

Best run for all of SNE in a while. 

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

9” lollies best chance western CT hills above 600’ or so. Looks like a solid event WOR for once. 

I could see getting 6-8” by 8am.. then it compacts and settles but another 1-3” falls from the sky after that, my elevation will help with the after sunrise snow.  Have to brush up on official rules of measuring to accurately record that.. 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nam definitely came back down to earth but surprisingly more uniform.

3km nam says F U southern CT.. 

6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Interior SW CT in the hilly terrain will certainly...see more snow.

I “sey” what you did there 

12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

0z HRRR looks like pound city from northern NJ into western (southwestern) CT

I prefer to call it pound town . Hrrr looks sweet! 

16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

18z euro?

Cut back again. 4-6” for us

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

What does the "+" mean? I don't really get the open ended bounds or the feathering between contours. But that's just me lol

The public probably doesn't know what it means lol ..

To me it could mean there is more potential to reach the higher end and beyond rather than the 4" 

Or 

4-6" will be widespread with locally higher amounts, however you can just put that in font. 

6 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

in line with my thoughts..

Such a sad graphic as in most of that snowstorm is in March and it's "Winter Storm Anthony" aka the first storm of the year.. 

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

Gfs has a low in Chicago

Southern Illinois to central Ohio to south of Long Island. Only about 300 miles south of Chicago. 

Gfs pretty much exact same output as 12z.. great for all of ct.. guidance honing in an a max near Granby up onto mass of 8-12”… 

From upton disco…

Forecast snowfall totals have been largely unchanged for NYC and
Long Island and nudged up slightly across the Lower Hudson Valley,
Southern CT and interior northeast NJ due to the increasing
confidence given the aforementioned trend in the secondary low.
Widespread Advisory level snow looks likely across the Lower Hudson
Valley, Southern CT and interior northeast NJ with 3-5 inches. Would
not be surprised to see this upward trend continue. 

yet they took numbers down from the 4-6” they had overnight? Makes zero sense 

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No issues prior to 12z. I just meant afterwards. The juicier guidance had decent SG for a time. I’m not sure the euro had the best SG except maybe briefly near the coast ironically. 

Ya no doubt after 12z we will struggle to add anything ..

lol upton advisory for only 3-5” here .. we usually get the upton reverse jinx so we should be good for 6-10” based on their forecast 

36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Toss the 10:1 after 12z. The rates are meh and temps warm up.

I think once the sun comes up we can forget about accumulations with borderline temps for many. However, Many areas out in CT should exceed 10:1 ratios during the peak with heavy snow falling between 10pm and 6am so no effects of the March sun to worry about. Also most guidance has temps between 23-28 for the duration of the heavy precip just inland.  The driest guidance has about ..4-.5” qpf  with the wettest about .8-1.0” qpf. With a bit of ratios between 10-15:1 during the thump I think it’s a fairly easy widespread 6”+ for much of CT.  Also looks like great lift in the snow growth zone on hi res data.  Just my two cents.

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro is real weak sauce. Even in Ct.

Definitely still a good thump for SW 2/3 but about 15% cut back from 00z.. still a solid 4-6”+ away from the NE corner . 

HRRR, 3km nam, and href look very thumpy with impressive rates between 9pm and 3am

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Whats up with this new thumbs down emoji? It looks nothing like the others stylisitcally and ghetto af...

Forum is on a budget? purchased it from $1 emoji dot com ?

We put this out this morning. 

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

18z euro still ka-ka for us easterners. It actually looked a bit better than 12z for the CT crew. 

Ya it was somehow worse out east while being a bit better out west. I hope everyone can cash in for a uniform 4-8” across SNE when all is said and done.