Roger Smith

Yes those numbers I posted were in the 4:30 pm early climate reports and it wasn't quite done so your higher values are no doubt correct, we'll see at end of day but I suspect NYC will end up with third highest daily total for month.

Just passed 8.00" for month, good for 6th wettest, about 0.75" behind 1953 and 1876, first to third are 10 to 11 inches. The 1876 record one-day event was a strong low from central U.S. and Ohio valley which did a slow coastal transfer (4.25" included 0.5" snow at NYC). It was also on a Saturday (25th). Same storm produced a very heavy snowfall at Toronto (around 17"). Can't help but notice that top daily rainfalls in past cases are well correlated with hot summers or at least one notable hot spell.

Early reports so far: 3.43" at NYC 3.20" at LGA 2.97" at EWR 2.82" at JFK

All 2.0" Mar daily precip events for NYC (incl snow for several) 2-day totals inserted into ranks if not same rank as event _ 2d totals do not count Feb or Apr (2.34" Feb 29 - Mar 1 1896 included 2.26" Feb 29; 2.32" Mar 31 - Apr 1 1997 in table 2.07" 1d) Rank __ Precip ____ Date _______ snow ___ 2d totals if any additional _ 01 ___ 4.25 ______ 03-25-1876 (0.5" snow incl) __ 4.31" 2d (.06" 03-26) rank 1 for 2d _ 02 ___ 3.85 ______ 03-13-2010 _ _ _ _ (4.10" 13-14 2010 _ 3.85+0.25) rank 2 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (4.03" 29-30 2010 _ 1.58+2.45) rank 3 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (3.68" 12-13 1953 _ 1.07+2.61) rank 4 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.40" additional 03-15-1953, 5.08" 4d new_ 03 _ 3.66 ____ 03-23-2024 _ _ _ _ ranks 5 for 2d _ ranks below add 1 now (no edit) _ 03 ___ 3.44 ______ 03-22-1977 _ _ _ _ no added 2d __ rank 5 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (3.37" 18-19 1983 _ 3.10+0.27) rank 6 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (3.25" 2d 03-21/22-1980 2.21"+1.04" rank 7 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (3.23" 10-11 1901 _ 0.29+2.94) rank 8 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (3.11" 2d 03-01/02-1914 (2.95+0.16) rank 9 for 2d _ 04 ___ 3.10 ______ 03-18-1983 _ _ _ _ (3.37" 2d (0.27" 03-19)) rank 6 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (3.07" 6-7 1967 _ 1.20+1.87) rank 10 for 2d _ 05 ___ 2.98 ______ 03-28-2005 _ _ _ _ (3.02" 2d, incl .04" 03-29) rank 11 for 2d _ 06 ___ 2.95 ______ 03-01-1914 (13.5" snow*) -- 3.11" 2d (0.16" 2nd) rank 9 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-27/28-1932 2.93" (0.55+2.38) rank 12 for 2d _ 07 ___ 2.94 ______ 03-11-1901 _ _ _ _ _(3.23" 2d, incl 0.29" 03-10) rank 8 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (2.80" 24-25 1969 (1.17+1.63) rank 13 for 2d _ 08 ___ 2.63 ______ 03-06-1979 _ _ _ _ (2.77" 2d, incl 0.14" 03-05) rank 14 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-29/30-1951 2.66" (0.53+2.13) rank 15 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-03/04-1906 2.64" (0.39+2.25) rank 16 for 2d _ 09 ___ 2.61 ______ 03-13-1953 ______ (+1.07" 03-12, 3.68" 2d) rank 4 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-28/29-1984 2.60" (0.57+2.03) rank 17 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-01/02-2007 2.55" (0.14+2.41) rank 18 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-03/04-1991 2.54" (2.17+0.37) rank 19 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-13/14-1993 2.52" (2.37+0.15) rank 20 for 2d _ 10 ___ 2.45 ______ 03-30-2010 _ _ _ _ 2d 4.03" 29-30 2010 _ 1.58+2.45 rank 3 for 2d _ 11 ___ 2.41 _______ 03-02-2007 _ _ _ _ 2d 2.55" (incl 0.14" 03-01-2007) rank 18 for 2d _ 12 ___ 2.38 ______ 03-28-1932 _ _ _ _ 2d 2.93" (incl 0.55" 03-27-1932) rank 12 for 2d _ 13 ___ 2.37 ______ 03-13-1993 _10.2" snow _ 2d 2.52" (incl 0.15" 03-14) _0.4" snow 03-14 rank 19 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 2.40" 03-13/14-1984 2.31+0.09) rank 21 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 2.37" 03-29/30-2001 0.21+2.16) rank 22 for 2d _ 14 ___ 2.36 ______ 03-01-1987 _ _ _ _ (added .03" on Feb 28, trace 03-02-1987) rank 23 for 2d^ _ 15 ___ 2.33 ______ 03-12-1962 _ _ _ _ no added 2d __ rank t24 for 2d (ties 03-20/21-1871 0.36+1.97) _ 16 ___ 2.31 ______ 03-13-1984 _ _ _ _ 2d 2.40" (incl 0.09" 03-14) rank 21 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-15/16-2007^ 2.35" (0.32+2.03) rank 26 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-08/09-1998 2.32" (0.50+1.82) rank 27 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-21/22-2001 2.31" (1.03+1.28) rank 28 for 2d _t17 ___ 2.25 ______ 03-25-1872 (Tr snow) _ no added 2d _ rank 29 for 2d _t17 ___ 2.25 ______ 03-03-1906 _ _ _ _ 2.64" 2d (0.39" 2nd) rank 16 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.24" 2d 03-01/02-2018 (0.38+1.86) rank 30 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.23" 2d 03-19/20-1881 (2.19+.04) rank 31 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2d 03-26/27-1909 2.20" (1.42+0.78) rank t32 for 2d _ 19 ___ 2.21 ______ 03-21-1980 _ _ _ _ 3.25" 2d (2.21+1.04" 22nd) rank 7 for 2d _ 20 ___ 2.20 _____ 03-31-1934 (added only .06" April 1st) rank t32 for 2d _ 21 ___ 2.19 ______ 03-19-1881 _ _ _ _ 2.23" 2d (.04" 03-20) rank 31 for 2d _ 22 ___ 2.17 ______ 03-03-1991 _ _ _ _ 2.54" 2d (.37" 03-04-1991) rank 18 for 2d _ 23 ___ 2.16 ______ 03-30-2001 _ _ _ _ 2.37" 2d (.21" 03-29) rank 22 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.16" 2d 03-28/29-2014 (1.81+0.35) rank 34 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.15" 2d 03-27/28-1919 (1.79+0.36, incl 1.4" snow) rank t35 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.15" 2d 03-05/06-1920 (1.81+0.34, total 2.7" snow) rank t35 for 2d _ 24 ___ 2.13 ______03-30-1951 _ _ _ _ 2.66" 2d (.53" 03-29) rank 15 for 2d _ 25 ___ 2.12 ______ 03-25-1909 _ _ _ 2.13" 2d (.01" 03-24) rank 37 for 2d _ 26 ___ 2.07 ______ 03-31-1997 (0.25" fell Apr 1, not counted as 2d) rank 38 for 2d _ 27 ___ 2.05 _____ 03-24-1989 _ _ _ _ no added 2d ___ rank 39 for 2d _t28 ___ 2.03 _____ 03-29-1984 (incl 1.8" snow) _ 2.60" 2d (0.57"+2.03") rank 17 for 2d _t28 ___ 2.03 _____ 03-16-2007 (incl 5.5" snow, sleet also) _ 2d 2.35" incl .23" 03-15 rank 26 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.10" 2d 03-11/12-1888 (19.5" snow) rank t40 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.10" 2d 03-06/07-2011 (2.01"+.09") rank t40 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.04" 2d 03-12/13-1944 (0.11"+1.93") rank 42 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.03" 2d 03-12/13-1912 (unk sleet, snow) 1.79"+0.24" rank 43 for 2d - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (1.81" also 03-15-1912, 4d 3.83") _ 30 ___ 2.02 _____ 03-31-1980 (added only .01" Apr 1st) __ rank 44 for 2d _ 31 ___ 2.01 ______ 03-06-2011 (2d total 2.10" as .09" on 03-07-2011, also 1.98" 03-10/11-2011. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (2.01" 7-8 1941 (0.23" + 1.78") (18.1" sn) _ rank 45 for 2d) _ 32 ___ 2.00 _____ 03-21-1974 _ _ _ _ no added 2d ___ rank 46 for 2d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (2.00" 11-12 1936 (1.51" + 0.49") _ rank 47 for 2d) __________________________________________________ * +1.0" snow for 14.5" total (2nd), very low pressure near 950 So 32 days exceeded or tied 2.00" and 47 events ran up 2.00" over two days (a few did not get any additional rainfall or very little). It's a frequency of about once every five years for daily, once every four years for 2d events. For 32 daily events, and 47 2d events (15 not qualifying for daily 2.0"), 31-year equal periods scored as follows: A 1869-1899 _ 3 (+2) __ 5 B 1900-1930 _ 4 (+4) __8 C 1931-1961 _ 4 (+3) __ 7 D 1962-1992 _12 (+2) _ 14 E 1993-2023 _ 9 (+4) _ 13 F 2024-2054 _ 1 Since about 1977 a general increase in frequency occurs, 1940s and 1950s into 1960s score very low. A list in order of occurrence in groups as counted above: List of 2.0" precip events in order of occurrence (all events listed 2d totals, underlined are 15/47 not including a 2.0" daily value) A 1871_2.33" ... 1872_2.25" ... 1876_4.31" ... 1881_2.23" ...1888_2.10" B 1901_3.23" ... 1906_2.64" ... 1909_2.13" ... 1912_2.03" ... 1913_2.20" ... 1914_3.11" ... 1919_2.15" ... 1920_2.15" C 1932_2.93" ... 1934_ 2.20" ... 1936_2.00" ... 1941_2.01" ... 1944_2.04" ... 1951_2.66" ... 1953_3.37" ... D 1962_2.33" ... 1967_3.07" ... 1969_2.80" ... 1974_2.00" ... 1977_3.44" ... 1979_2.77" ... 1980_3.25", 2.02" ... 1983_3.37", ... 1984_2.40", 2.60" ... 1987_2.36" ... 1989_2.05" ... 1991_2.54" ... E 1993_2.52" ... 1997_2.07" ... 1998_2.32" ... 2001_2.31", 2.37" ... 2005_3.02" ... 2007_2.55", 2.35" ... 2010_4.10", 4.03" ... 2011_2.10" ... 2014_2.31" ... 2018_2.24" (F 2024_3.66") Note 47 events in 42 years as 5 (1980, 1984, 2001, 2007, 2010) recorded two events. now 48 events in 43 years. 155/42 = 3.7 (year return period for events, increasing probability of two in one year)

Rainfall record for 23rd is 1.60" (1929), one of lower ones (Friday's record 3.44" in 1977, Sunday's 2.05" in 1989). The monthly record of 4.25" precip (incl 0.5" snow) was on 25th in 1876. 3.86" on 13th of 2010 is second highest daily value of this month. The 22nd 1977 value is third, and 3.10" on 19th (1983) is fourth.

In 1915 a record 10.2" of snow April 3-4 was followed by two record highs later in April (25th 91F, 27th 92F). 1938 and 1942 also saw significant early April snowfalls and very warm highs later in the month. 1917 went the other way, setting a record high on 1st (83F) and 6.4" snow on 9th.

Tracking anomalies so far ... ____________________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN_ PHX _ SEA ______ (17d) ___________________+9.5_+10.0 _+6.3 __+10.4_ +5.3 _+6.2 __ +0.6 _-0.9 _-1.6 ______ (26d) __________________ +5.1 _ +5.7 _+3.4 ___ +6.1 _ +3.1 _+3.4 __ -0.4 _ -1.0 __0.0 ______ (p31d anom) ___________+4.5 _ +5.0 _+3.0 ___ +5.0 _ +3.0 _+3.0 __ 0.0 _-0.5 _ 0.0 ______ final anomalies _________+4.3 _ +5.3 _+3.7 ___ +5.0 _ +3.2 _+3.0 __-0.2 _-1.2 _+0.1 ____________________________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _DTW _BUF ___ DEN _SEA _BTV Snowfall (to 03-31) ___________ 8.0 _ 7.5 _ 9.7 ____ 22.2 _ 23.5 _ 70.8 ___ 38.3 _ 0.3 _ 50.8

Another way to look at winter futility would be percentage of precip falling as snow. I took only Dec-Jan-Feb total precip and snowfalls, and on an assumption of 10:1 ratio, calculated percentages of precip falling as snow. In certain cases, snowfall liquid equivalent would introduce errors, and also a few winters would end up with better percentages if Nov or March were included (most would drop further). A lot of winters finish with percentages of 10 to 30, but most of the "futile" winters as found by total snowfalls are also below 10% conversion rates (1900-01 was not because it was quite a dry winter). Top and bottom 20 winters are identified in full list below: <<< Percentage of Winter Precip Falling as Snow (NYC) >>> _________ Precip _________________ Snowfall ________________ % Winter ___ DEC _ JAN _ FEB ____TOTAL __ DEC _JAN _FEB __ TOTAL __ Percent 1868-69 _ 2.00*_ 2.53 _ 6.87 _ 11.40 ____ 15.0*_15.1 _ 9.6 ___ 39.7 ______ 34 _*Dec 1868 est fro available wx aps 1869-70 _ 5.02 _ 4.41 _ 2.83 _ 12.26 _____ 5.3 _ 1.1 _ 9.3 __ 15.7 _______ 13 1870-71 __ 2.18 _ 2.07 _2.74 __ 6.99 ______ 3.0 _15.9 _12.1 __ 31.0 _______ 44 (t10 highest) 1871-72 __ 2.24 _ 1.88 _1.29 __ 5.41 _______ 3.9 _ 1.9 _ 3.0 ___ 8.8 _______ 16 1872-73 _ 3.18 _ 5.34 _3.80 __12.32 ______26.8 _10.6 _ 18.9__56.3 _______46 (9 highest) 1873-74 _ 2.96 _ 5.33 _2.04 __10.33 _______9.3 _ 6.6 _ 19.0__34.9 _______34 1874-75 _ 2.82 _ 3.17 _ 2.62 __ 8.61 _______10.1 _14.5 _ 4.5 __ 29.1 _______34 1875-76 _ 2.12 _ 0.94 _ 4.81 __ 7.87 _______ 1.0 __1.5 _ 12.5 __ 15.0 _______19 1876-77 _ 2.54 _ 2.62 _1.24 __ 6.40 _______12.3_20.5_ 0.4 __ 33.2 _______52 (6 highest) 1877-78 _ 0.68 _4.46 _3.75 __ 8.89 _______ 0.0 _ 6.1 _ 2.0 ___ 8.1 ________ 9 1878-79 _ 5.14 _2.63 _2.02 __ 9.79 _______ 5.5__17.3_11.4 __ 34.2 _______ 36 (t23 highest) 1879-80 _ 4.94 _2.02 _2.12 __ 9.08 _______ 5.4 _ 2.5 _4.0 __ 11.9 _______ 13 1880-81 _ 2.27 _4.80 _4.93 __12.00 _______11.5_ 11.5_ 8.9 __ 31.9 _______ 27 1881-82 _ 4.18 _5.08 _3.43 __12.59 _______ 1.3 __17.5_ 9.3 __ 28.1 _______ 22 1882-83 _1.95 _2.68 _4.21 __ 8.84 _______ 0.0 __9.4__10.2__ 19.6 _______ 22 1883-84_ 3.20 _5.22_4.92 __13.34 _______22.6_10.3 _ 8.0 __40.9 _______ 31 1884-85 _6.17 _3.06 _4.56 _ 13.79 _______ 10.7 _4.6 _14.6 __29.9 _______ 22 1885-86_ 2.46 _3.91 _4.89 _ 11.26 ________ Tr __13.5 _ 5.3 __18.8 _______ 17 1886-87 _2.79 _4.42 _5.96 _ 13.17 _______ 10.3 _6.6 _ 8.0 __ 24.9_______ 19 1887-88 _4.39 _4.96 _3.49 _12.84 _______ 9.0 __11.1 _ 3.0 __ 23.1 _______ 18 1888-89 _3.42 _4.97 _2.21 _10.60 _______ Tr __ 4.0 __ 7.0 __ 11.0 _______ 10 1889-90 _1.92 _2.29 _3.41 _ 7.62 _______ 6.0 __ 0.0 __ 1.0 ___ 7.0 _______ 9 1890-91 _3.70 _6.00 _4.12 _13.82 _______11.4 __10.0 _ 5.3 __ 26.7 _______20 1891-92 _3.55 _4.69 _0.94 _ 9.18 _______ 0.0 __12.2 __ 0.1 __12.3 _______ 13 1892-93 _1.30 _2.33 _6.14 _ 9.77 _______ 3.0 __16.0 __17.5 __36.5 _______37 (t20 highest) 1893-94 _3.08 _2.01 _3.93 _ 9.02_______ 8.3 __9.4 _ 20.5 __38.2 _______42 (13 highest) 1894-95 _4.65 _5.01 _0.46 _10.12 _______ 4.0 __9.5 __9.0 __ 22.5 _______22 1895-96 _2.48 _0.96 _6.83 _10.27_______ Tr ___ 3.0 _ 9.5 __ 12.5 _______12 1896-97 _1.13 _3.00 _2.52 _ 6.65 _______13.0__11.3__11.0 __ 35.3 _______53 (t4 highest) 1897-98 _4.87 _4.26 _4.22 _13.35 ______ 4.1 __ 9.0 __ 1.3__ 14.4 _______11 1898-99 _3.07 _3.97 _3.91 _10.95_______1.5 __ 5.3 __25.3 _ 32.1 _______29 1899-1900 _1.91_4.22_5.38_11.51 _______ 0.1 __ 1.0 __ 6.6 __ 7.7 ________6.7 (16 lowest) 1900-01 _ 2.01 _1.66 _0.55 _ 4.22 _______0.1 __ 2.0 __ 7.0 __ 9.1 _______ 22 1901-02 _7.01 _2.27 _5.39 _14.67 _______2.0 __ 4.0__15.8 __21.8 _______15 1902-03 _6.77 _4.18 _4.70 _15.65 _______14.4 _ 4.5 __9.9 __28.8 _______18 1903-04 _3.09 _2.97 _2.21_ 8.27 _______ 6.4__15.6 _ 5.0 __27.0 _______33 1904-05 _1.96 _2.77 _2.01 _ 6.74 _______21.7__18.4 __5.8 __45.9 _______69 (highest) 1905-06 _3.37 _2.69 _2.47 _8.53 _______ 1.0 __ 1.5 _ 6.0 __ 8.5 _______ 10 1906-07 _3.58 _2.89 _2.25 _8.72 _______ 0.3__11.0 _21.8 __33.1 _______38 (t16 highest) 1907-08 _4.26 _3.76 _5.86 _13.88 _______5.3__10.0 _14.4__ 29.7_______22 1908-09 _3.19 _3.32 _4.53 _11.04 _______ 2.9__11.4 __0.8 __15.1 _______ 14 1909-10 _4.29 _4.64 _3.15 _12.08 _______ 9.0__11.1 __5.0 __ 25.1 _______ 21 1910-11 _ 1.88 _2.79 _ 3.26 _ 7.93 _______ 5.1 __1.3__13.3__ 19.7 _______ 24 1911-12 _3.07 _2.56 _2.73 __ 8.36 _______ 8.5 _13.0 _ 2.5__ 24.0 _______29 1912-13 _5.01 _3.43 _2.74 __11.18 _______11.4 __ 0.3 _ 2.6__ 14.3 _______13 1913-14 _3.59 _5.27 _3.33__12.19 _______ 0.3 __1.3 __17.4__ 19.0 _______16 1914-15 _5.34 _7.94 _6.01 _ 19.29 _______2.6 __3.8 __4.5__ 10.9 _______ 5.6 (8 lowest) 1915-16 _4.28 _1.28 _4.76 _ 10.32 _______8.1 __ 0.7__13.1 __ 21.9 _______21 1916-17 _ 4.25 _2.96 _2.08 _ 9.29 ______14.5 _ 5.8 _12.2 __32.5 _______35 (t25 highest) 1917-18 _4.25 _3.53 _2.47 _10.25 _______14.1__13.2_ 3.7 __31.0 _______ 30 1918-19 _3.61 _3.51 _3.84 _ 10.96 _______ 0.3 __0.3 __0.5 __ 1.1 ________1.0 (2nd lowest) 1919-20 _2.77 _2.09 _6.41_ 11.27 _______ 8.8 __8.2_ 25.3__42.3 _______38 (t16 highest) 1920-21 _6.16 _2.94 _5.41 _ 14.51 _______ 1.7 __3.5 _13.3__ 18.5 _______ 13 1921-22 _2.34 _2.73 _3.35 _ 8.42 _______ 7.3 __9.4 _7.2 __ 23.9_______ 28 1922-23 _3.86 _6.99 _2.53 _13.38 ______ 8.0 _24.5 _18.8 __51.3 ______ 39 (t14 highest) 1923-24 _4.43 _4.90 _4.35 _13.68 ______ 1.5 _ 2.5 __11.9 __15.9 _______ 12 1924-25 _2.47 _5.42 _2.43 _10.32 ______ 0.9 _27.4 _ 1.3 __29.6 _______29 1925-26 _3.30 _2.85 _5.37 _11.52 _______ 0.9 __3.1 _26.3__30.3_______ 26 1926-27 _4.00 _2.03 _3.46 _9.49 _______ 11.7 _ 5.7 _ 4.6 _ 22.0 _______23 1927-28 _4.01 _1.87 _4.84 _10.72 _______ 2.1 ___2.7 __4.0 __ 8.8 _______ 8.2 (19 lowest) 1928-29 _0.98_3.33 _5.07_ 9.38 _______ 2.0 __2.3 __9.3 __ 13.6_______ 15 1929-30 _3.34_2.37 _3.24_ 8.95 _______ 6.3 __3.5 __3.8 __ 13.6 _______15 1930-31 _2.73 _2.56 _2.71_ 8.00 _______ 5.7 __0.5 __ 3.6 ___ 9.8_______12 1931-32 _2.44 _4.45 _2.70_ 9.59 _______ 0.1 __0.8 __ 1.8 ___ 2.7 _______2.8 (t5 lowest) 1932-33 _2.51 _1.78 _3.09 _ 7.38 _______ 9.4 __ Tr __12.8__ 22.2_______ 30 1933-34 _3.45_3.42 _3.01 _9.88 _______ 14.9 __0.1__27.9__ 42.9_______43 (12 highest) 1934-35 _2.66 _3.91 _3.17 _9.74 ________ 1.0 _23.6 _ 7.2 __ 31.8 _______33 1935-36 _1.24 _7.54 _2.68_11.46 _______ 6.6 _ 12.1 _10.3 __ 29.0 _______26 1936-37 _7.53 _5.97 _2.48_15.98 _______Tr ___ 6.5 __ 3.4 __ 9.9 _______ 6.2 (11 lowest) 1937-38 _2.06 _3.99 _1.97_ 8.02 _______ 0.7 __ 6.5 __ Tr ___ 7.2 _______ 9 1938-39 _2.62 _3.80 _6.20_12.62_______ 1.7 __10.3 __ 5.5 __17.5_______ 14 1939-40 _1.39 _2.61 _2.63_ 6.63 _______ 3.1 __ 3.5 __12.0 _ 18.6_______28 1940-41 _2.79 _3.23 _3.53 _9.55 _______ 3.0 _ 9.2 __ 5.4 _ 17.6 _______ 18 1941-42 _4.05 _2.88 _2.53 _9.46 _______ 0.3 _ 6.4 __ 1.9 __ 8.6 _______ 9 1942-43 _4.57 _2.46 _1.87_ 8.90 _______ 8.5 _ 9.5 __ 4.4 __22.4 _______25 1943-44 _1.20 _3.20 _1.73 _6.13 ________ Tr __ 4.8 __ 7.7 __ 12.5 _______20 1944-45 _2.57_2.24 _2.94_ 7.75 _______ 6.7 _ 12.3 __ 8.1 __ 27.1 _______35 (t25 highest) 1945-46 _4.56 _1.86 _ 1.76 _8.18 _______15.6 _ 4.2 __ 7.9 __ 27.7 _______34 1946-47 _1.61 _2.74 _2.24 _6.59 _______ 1.3 __5.5 __ 17.7__ 24.5 _______37 (t20 highest) 1947-48 _3.92 _4.74 _2.52_ 11.18_______30.2 _15.3__13.6 _ 59.1 _______53 (t4 highest) 1948-49 _6.28 _6.04_3.58_ 15.90_______25.3 _ 1.8 __10.7_ 37.8 _______ 24 1949-50 _2.28 _2.26 _4.44_ 8.98 _______ 1.3 __ 0.4 __8.5_ 10.2 _______ 11 1950-51 _4.32 _3.31 _3.05 _10.67 _______ 3.8 __ 0.9 __ 1.9 __6.6 _______ 6.3 (14 lowest) 1951-52 _4.28 _4.55 _1.38 _10.21 _______ 3.3 __ 6.2 __ 2.8 _ 12.3_______12 1952-53 _4.12 _4.90 _2.37_ 11.39 _______ 7.5 __ 4.1 __ 0.4 __12.0 _______11 1953-54 _4.42 _1.65 _1.81 _ 7.88 _______ Tr __ 12.7 __ 0.5 __13.2 _______17 1954-55 _3.03 _0.77 _3.01_ 6.81_______ 0.1 __ 2.6 __ 5.2 __ 7.9 _______ 12 1955-56 _0.25 _1.54 _4.18 _5.97 _______ 3.3 __ 1.2 __ 2.7 __ 7.2 _______ 12 1956-57 _3.29 _1.70 _2.43 _7.42 _______0.9 __ 8.9 __ 7.0 __16.8 _______ 23 1957-58 _5.26 _3.79 _2.98 _12.03_______8.7 __9.2 __10.7 _ 28.6 _______24 1958-59 _1.25 _2.34 _1.69 __5.28 _______3.8 __ 1.5 __ 0.4 __ 5.7 _______ 11 1959-60 _4.64_2.40 _4.43_ 11.47 ______ 15.8 _ 2.5 __1.9 __ 20.2 ______ 18 1960-61 _3.04 _1.88 _3.96 _ 8.88 _______18.6 _16.7__18.2__ 53.5 _______60 (2 highest) 1961-62 _3.04 _2.62 _3.74 _ 9.40 _______7.7 __ 0.6 __ 9.6 _17.9 _______ 19 1962-63 _2.26 _1.93 _2.55 _ 6.74 _______ 4.5 _ 5.3 _ 3.7 __13.5 _______ 20 1963-64 _2.31 _4.62 _2.93 _9.86 _______ 11.3 _13.3 _14.1__38.7 _______ 39 (t14 highest) 1964-65 _4.16 _3.09 _3.66_ 10.91 _______ 3.1 _ 14.8__2.5__20.4 _______ 19 1965-66 _1.72 _2.63 _4.96_ 9.31 ________ Tr __11.6 __9.8__ 21.4 _______ 23 1966-67 _3.18 _1.39 _ 2.68_ 7.25 _______ 9.1 _ 1.4 __23.6__ 34.1 _______ 47 (highest) 1967-68 _6.08 _2.04 _1.13 _ 9.25 _______ 5.5 _ 3.6 __ 1.1 __ 10.2 _______ 11 1968-69 _4.15 _1.10 _3.05 _ 8.30 _______ 7.0 _ 1.0 __ 16.6__ 24.6 _______30 1969-70 _7.07 _0.66 _4.52_12.25_______ 6.8 _ 8.4 __ 6.4 __21.6 _______ 18 1970-71 _2.82 _2.67 _5.33 _10.82_______ 2.4 _11.4 __ Tr __ 13.8 _______ 13 1971-72 _1.76 _2.41 _5.90 _10.07 _______ Tr __ 2.8 _ 17.8 __ 20.6 _______20 1972-73 _6.09_4.53 _4.55_ 15.17 _______ Tr __ 1.8 __ 0.8 ___ 2.6 _______ 1.7 (3 lowest) 1973-74 _9.98 _3.80 _1.49_ 15.27_______ 2.8 _ 7.8 __ 9.4 __ 20.0 _______13 1974-75 _6.33 _4.76 _3.33_ 14.42 _______ 0.1 _ 2.0__10.6 __12.7 _______ 9 1975-76 _3.63 _5.78 _3.13_ 12.54 _______ 2.3 _ 5.6 __5.0__ 12.9 _______10 1976-77 _2.29 _2.25 _2.51_ 7.05 _______ 5.1 _ 13.0 __ 5.8__ 23.9_______33 1977-78 _5.06 _8.27 _1.59_ 14.92_______ 0.4__20.3 _23.0__43.7_______29 1978-79 _5.61 _10.52_4.58_20.71_______ 0.5 _ 6.6 _ 20.1 __ 27.2_______13 1979-80 _2.69 _1.72 _1.04_ 5.45 _______ 3.5 _ 2.0 __ 2.7 __ 8.2 _______15 1980-81 _0.58 _0.58 _6.04_ 7.20 _______ 2.8 _ 8.0 __ Tr __ 10.8 _______15 1981-82 _5.18 _6.46 _2.37 _14.01_______ 2.1 _ 11.8 __ 0.4__ 14.3_______10 1982-83 _1.47 _5.01 _3.22_ 9.70 _______ 3.0 _ 1.9 __21.5__ 26.4_______27 1983-84 _9.77 _1.87 _4.86 _16.50_______1.6 _ 11.7 __ 0.2 __ 13.5_______ 8.2 (t19 lowest) 1984-85 _3.26 _1.00 _2.41_ 6.67 _______ 5.5 _ 8.4 __10.0__23.9_______36 (t23 highest) 1985-86 _0.83 _4.23 _2.86_ 7.94_______ 0.9 _ 2.2 __ 9.9__ 13.0_______16 1986-87 _6.16 _ 5.81 _ 1.01 _12.98_______0.6 _13.6 __ 7.0__ 21.2_______16 1987-88 _2.17 _3.64 _3.91 _ 9.72 _______2.6 _ 13.9 __1.5__ 18.0_______19 1988-89 _1.13 _2.29 _3.03 _ 6.45 _______ 0.3 _ 5.0 __ 0.3 __ 5.6 ______ 9 1989-90 _0.83 _5.34 _2.33 _8.50 _______ 1.4 _ 1.8 __ 1.8 __ 5.0 _______ 5.9 (9 lowest) 1990-91 _5.58 _3.38 _1.93 _10.89 _______ 7.2 _ 8.4 __ 9.1 __24.7_______ 23 1991-92 _4.26 _ 1.68 _ 1.87 _ 7.81 _______ 0.7 _ 1.5 __ 1.0 __ 3.2 _______ 4.1 (t7 lowest) 1992-93 _5.50_3.44 _2.81_ 11.75 _______ 0.4 _ 1.5 _ 10.7 __12.6_______ 11 1993-94 _4.95 _5.62 _3.44_14.01_______ 6.9 _12.0 _ 26.4__45.3_______32 1994-95 _2.90 _3.75 _3.13_ 9.78 _______ Tr __ 0.2 __11.6 __ 11.8_______ 12 1995-96 _2.12 _5.64 _2.59_10.35_______ 11.5 _ 26.1_ 21.2__58.8_______57 (3 highest) 1996-97 _6.48 _3.65 _2.54_12.67_______ Tr __ 4.4 __ 3.8 __ 8.2 _______ 6.5 (15 lowest) 1997-98 _4.27 _5.20 _5.81 _15.28_______ Tr __ 0.5 __ 0.0 __ 0.5 _______ 0.3 (lowest) 1998-99 _1.12 _7.02 _3.49 _11.63 _______ 2.0 _ 4.5 __ 1.7 __ 8.2 _______ 7.1 (17 lowest) 1999-2000_3.23_3.23_1.66_ 8.12_______ Tr __ 9.5 __ 5.2 __14.7 _______18 2000-01 _3.19 _3.16 _1.95 __ 8.30_______ 13.4 _ 8.3__9.5__31.2_______ 38 (t16 highest) 2001-02 _2.24 _1.93 _0.71 __4.88_______ Tr __ 3.5 ___Tr __ 3.5 ________7.2 (18 lowest) 2002-03 _4.06_2.30 _4.55_ 10.91_______ 11.0 _ 4.7 _26.1__41.8_______ 38 (t16 highest) 2003-04 _5.42 _2.13 _2.68_10.23_______ 19.8 _17.3 __0.7__37.8_______ 37 (t20 highest) 2004-05 _3.71 _4.67 _3.04_11.42 _______ 3.0 _ 15.3 _15.8__34.1_______30 2005-06 _4.60 _4.99 _2.88_12.47_______ 9.7 _ 2.0 _ 26.9__38.6_______31 2006-07 _2.15 _3.63 _ 1.99 _ 7.77_______ 0.0 _ 2.6 __ 3.8 __ 6.4 _______8.3 (21 lowest) 2007-08 _5.22 _2.85 _5.95_14.02_______ 2.9 _ Tr ___ 9.0 __11.9 _______8.5 2008-09 _6.62 _2.98 _0.93_10.53_______ 6.0 _ 9.0 __4.3 __19.3_______ 18 2009-10 _7.27 _2.08 _6.69 _16.04_______12.4 _ 2.1 _ 36.9__51.4_______32 2010-11 _4.24 _4.93 _3.47 _12.64_______20.1 _36.0 __4.8__60.9_______48 (8 highest) 2011-12 _4.00 _3.23 _ 1.37 __8.60_______ 0.0 _ 4.3 __ 0.2 __ 4.5 ______ 5.2 (10 lowest) 2012-13 _4.80 _2.76 _4.25__11.81_______ 0.4 _ 1.5 __12.2 __14.1 _______12 2013-14 _4.85 _2.79 _5.48 _13.12_______ 8.6 _19.7 _29.0__57.3_______44 (t10 highest) 2014-15 _6.04 _5.23 _2.04 _13.31_______ 1.0 _16.9 _ 13.6__31.5______ 24 2015-16 _4.72 _4.41 _4.40_ 13.53_______ Tr __27.9 __ 4.0__31.9______ 24 2016-17 _2.89 _4.83 _2.48_ 10.20_______3.2 _ 7.9 __ 9.4__20.5_______20 2017-18 _2.21 _2.18 _ 5.83_ 10.22_______7.7 _ 11.2 __ 4.9__23.8_______24 2018-19 _6.51 _3.58 _3.14 _ 13.23_______ Tr __ 1.1 ___ 2.6 __ 3.7_______ 2.8 (t5 lowest) 2019-20 _7.09 _1.93 _2.54 _ 11.56_______ 2.5 _ 2.3 __ Tr __ 4.8 _______ 4.1 (t7 lowest) 2020-21 _4.61 _2.31 _5.13 _ 12.05_______ 10.5 _ 2.1__26.0__38.6_______32 2021-22 _1.39 _4.29 _3.23 _ 8.91_______ 0.2 _15.3 __ 2.0 __ 17.5_______20 2022-23 _5.83 _4.38_1.28_ 11.49_______ Tr __ Tr ____ 2.2 __ 2.2 _______1.9 (4 lowest) 2023-24 _6.71 _5.28_ 2.05_15.04_______ Tr ___2.3 ___5.2 __ 7.5 _______ 5.0 (9 lowest) lowest: ________________________________________highest 0.3 (1) ... 1997-98 _____________________________69 (1) 1904-05 1.0 (2) ... 1918-19 _____________________________ 60 (2) 1960-61 1.7 (3) .... 1972-73 ____________________________ 57 (3) 1995-96 1.9 (4) ... 2022-23 ____________________________ 53 (t4) 1896-97, 1947-48 2.8 (t5)....1931-32, 2018-19 __________________ 52 (6) 1876-77 4.1 (t7) ... 1991-92, 2019-20 _________________ 49 (7) 1966-67 5.0 (9) ... 2023-24 ___________________________ 48 (8) 2010-11 5.2 (10)... 2011-12 ____________________________ 46 (9) 1872-73 5.6 (11) ... 1914-15 ____________________________44 (t10) 1870-71, 2013-14 5.9 (12)... 1989-90 ____________________________43 (12) 1933-34 6.2 (13) ... 1936-37 ___________________________42 (13) 1893-94 6.3 (14) ... 1950-51 ___________________________ 6.5 (15) ... 1996-97 ___________________________ 6.7 (16) ... 1899-1900 _________________________39 (t14) 1922-23, 1963-64 7.1 (17) ... 1998-99 ____________________________ 38 (t16) 1906-07, 1919-20, 2000-01, 2002-03 7.2 (18) ... 2001-02 ____________________________37 (t20) 1892-93, 2003-04, 1946-47 8.2 (t19) ... 1927-28, 1983-84 _________________36 (t23) 1878-79, 1984-85 8.3 (21) ... 2006-07 ___________________________ 35 (t25) 1916-17, 1944-45 ___________________________ (% to nearest 0.1 for lowest ten, ties are not broken for top twenty by decimals)

One of the oddest climate stats is that the first week of June, 1945 was colder than the last week of March 1945.

Those 1990 record highs on today's date are a real singularity, just at NYC the following changes occurred ... before 03-13-1990 ... daily record 70F 1929 after 03-13-1990 .... daily record 85 F before 03-13-1990 ... first 80F to 83F was 83F 03-20-1945 and first 84F was 03-21-1921 after 03-13-1990 .... daily record 85 F and also 82F 03-16-1990, both earlier than 1945 benchmark. before 03-13-1990 ... 76F on 03-08-1987 was warmest temperature to 03-13 after 03-13-1990 ... 78F 02-21-2017 and 77,79F 03-09/10-2016 also warmer than 1987 previous record to date. before 03-08-1987 ... 75F 02-25-1930 and also 75F 02-24-1985 were warmest readings up to 03-13. before 03-13-1990 ... 86F 03-29-1945 was earliest 85+ reading after 03-13-1990 ... 85F 03-13-1990 is so far only 85+ before 03-29 but 1998 also 86F on 03-31-1998. -------- The 1990 warm spell extended into upstate NY and s ON, I recall an almost instant disappearance of a fairly significant snow pack at my location n.e. of Toronto, and TV weather from ROC giving details on new records in low 80s there also. This warm spell prompted a lot of discussion of the emerging theory of global warming. It's worth noting that it occurred only three months after a notably cold December (1989).

Coldest now appears to be around last few days of march into first ten days of April, a bit late in season for snow but not impossible. The march 19-21 window seems to be closing for now, could re-open, flow appears too flat to generate coastal low but 23-24 now opens up, so far GFS is inland but looks like snow for w PA and upstate NY.

I've actually seen two, the first one was in Virginia Beach in 1970. I don't recall any traffic issues with that one, and we had clear skies too. So with regret I will not be trying for this one.

Are you close to center of track or edge? It won't last very long near edge of track. You could get into a spot where totality lasted only a few seconds, near the edge of the track of "totality." Best results in the center but it goes up in duration like a sine curve so halfway edge to center is going to score 3/4 of duration. All dependent on weather, I think TX is the best bet. I would expect a fairly well-organized low over the western Great Lakes and a lot of clouded over locations in the central plains at least east of OK. Upstate NY could be good also. (based on research into relationships between low pressure position and new/full moon. At Baker City we could see the shadow rapidly approaching us over hills to our west.

Fall of 1976 was quite an outlier, I recall lakes in central Ontario (not Great Lakes) being frozen over before end of November, and usually that does not take place until well into January. There was very little wintry weather even up there, after mid-February. The whole season was displaced about 1.5 months early. Trees were in full leaf about a month earlier than average in April 1977 (as in 1976 also).

You can see climate stats for Niamey, Niger on wikipedia (look at city, not country), April and may are warmest months and mean daily max around 40C, on average march and April see a reading of 43 C, all-time extremes around 46 C. So this was perhaps a bit earlier than when all-time records were set before (guessing mid-April). A somewhat wetter season begins in late may. march-April see averages of 8-9 hrs of sun a day. GFS current nowcast shows 582 dm thickness over most of regions quoted in report, on both sides of equator. Sun could be running a bit hot as there have been large flares in past few days. I guess they are usually around 38 C at this point but it looks like a "cool" day would be 32-34 C and a normal warm day would be 41-42 C. As to S Africa being very warm, it's like September in central plains states or south of your region for local climate, so this would be like 1931 with extremes being set in low 100sF. I noticed in the linked article no records under equatorial cloud band, just either side of it.

Based on experience with Aug 2017 (seen at Baker City, OR), plan for massive traffic congestion in immediate aftermath of eclipse to about 6-9 hrs past then, millions of people are likely to stream into viewing zone and as they can go to best viewing spots, the better your view, the worse the traffic will be. It took us all day to get from Baker City to Pendleton on I-84, and traffic was still heavy at midnight in Seattle ... we drove all the way home to BC after making the eclipse a last day of a ten-day road trip. I wasn't totally surprised by volume of traffic but it was probably even worse than I had expected. Gas up before the eclipse because every gas station you can see on return trip will be swarmed, not to mention disrupting your slow progress to get off route into gas station. If you have any flexibility in view location at last minute, take it, nothing worse than being under overcast sky, when 100 miles away it's clear. (that wasn't a problem in 2017, the entire western third of the country was cloud-free and we were looking at good forecasts a week in advance). Prepare to be surprised by how quickly it gets dark at the final stage, it goes from twilight to near darkness in about ten seconds. It's safe to look directly at the final stage (I would say within 1 or 2 minutes of full contact) as 99% of sunlight is then blocked out. You'll probably see "Bailey's beads" and diamond ring effect. As sun is near peak activity, you'll see a larger and more varied corona than we saw in 2017 near solar min.

After ten days, March 2024 was already wetter than were 100 of 155 previous years to end of March. (.03" added so far for March 10). Wet starts to March (NYC 1869 to 2024) with 2024 already easily in first place for March 1-10. RANK _____ YEAR __ PRECIP __ 01 ______ 2024 __ 4.57 ___ __ 02 ______ 2018 __ 3.65 ___ __ 03 ______ 1967 __ 3.49 ___ __ 04 ______ 1914 __ 3.44 ___ __ 05 ______ 1902 __ 3.34 ___ __ 06 ______ 2011 __ 3.17 ___ 4.08" incl 11 __ 07 ______ 1994 __ 3.05 ___ __ 08 ______ 1942 __ 2.97 ___ __ 09 ______ 1991 __ 2.92 ___ __ 10 ______ 1979 __ 2.90 ___ 3.65" incl 11 __ 11 ______ 1919 __ 2.68 ___ __ 12 ______ 2007 __ 2.66 ___ __ 13 ______ 1906 __ 2.64 ___ __ 14 ______ 2008 __ 2.59 ___ (1901 3.55" to 11 but 2.94" was on 11). Oddly none of the above (aside from 2024) got into the top ten wettest Marches, several were in 11 to 25 range. (several of above list count on just one day's large total as in 1914 1st, few rely on 3 separate 1"+ values) (a similar amount, 4.65" fell March 12-21 of 1912 incl 3 events over 1"). and 4.89" fell March 4-13 of 1953, 4.64" fell in just four days March 12-15 2010) 1886 and 1986 were dry for first ten days.

I wonder what we would be saying if it were 1888 ... the calendar that year was running a day behind ours, so it was Tuesday, March 6. Weather map: https://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=1888&maand=3&dag=6&uur=1800&var=1&map=2&model=noaa NYC weather data for date: high 23 low 10, dry, (probably partly cloudy, NW wind 25-35) The ground was likely bare and partly frozen, as it had snowed very little in Feb 1888 and was mild with rain at times. ... more recently, on weekend of 3rd-4th, it was in the low 40s and a small amount of rain fell, and on the previous day (5th), 0.3" snow with water content of .01" ... Let's say there was modern technology including weather models and the internet. I can imagine a post like this: Brr, that northwest wind is cutting today. Not as cold as late January but considering the sun angle it's very chilly. Nothing like '72 of course. But that was in the old climate. Well, the snow drought of late winter '88 continues after a relatively good start in January, this winter is now underperforming, but it looks to be turning even colder next week and models continue to advertise a good chance of a nor'easter around Sunday or Monday. You can see signs of that storm developing slowly over the deserts of the southwest in the Arizona territory. It's going to turn a bit milder on the weekend so the question is, would our snowstorm begin as rain and how long would that continue until the storm was deep enough to pull in very cold air that the models are showing to our west by late Saturday (10th)? Euro showing a very powerful low off Cape Cod by 06z 13th (Monday night) in the 28.60" (970) range. GFS is a bit further south and weaker. GEM still going with the rain to snow scenario and a coastal track, but still looks fairly good for here in second part of event. ICON is off the scale as usual, but you know those Westphalians. At this point I would say 10" and possibly a bit more, up to 20" outside the city. It should be fun, if it happens. Can't wait to see what the NAM says about it on Thursday. ------ (anyway, I could continue a daily post like this one, or if people get interested in "participating" as if in real time, we could start a Blizzard of 1888 in real time thread. Ideas? reactions? should silver be the currency?) (keep in mind, if you answer in kind, 1888 calendar one day off 2024, weekend is March 10-11).

I knew I would be dropping into this regional forum to read about heavy snow. I didn't realize it would be in CA.

They don't change clocks in SK (Saskatchewan), on CST all year round. And there's one town in BC (Creston) on MST all year. I believe Arizona is also on MST all year.

Jeb, if you were there, you would be going on a Jebswim cuz walking just wouldn't work. This is like being in two simultaneous Buffalo blizzards, or 1888 times three. I need a cold shower just thinking about seven feet of snow. Gotta settle for one measly foot here.

http://weather.gov/sto/MapPNS Map of reported snow totals in Sierra Nevada.

It should be noted that today's record high was relatively easy to break, it was the lowest record high of the month and lower than quite a few February records. I will start a new tradition and post full NYC daily records for each month around the 1st or 2nd if I remember, This is not work I just did, it's in my Toronto/NYC climate study in the climate change forum. Will revise any broken records at end of day when official climate reports are final. <<<< MARCH RECORDS NYC >>>> DATE ____ high max ___ high min _____ low max _____ low min ______ max prec ___max snow __ max 2d snow Mar 01 ___ 73 1972 ___ 54 2017 ______ 16 1886 _____ 4 1869 ________ 2.95 1914RS_13.5 1914 ____13.5 1914* Mar 02 ___ 72 1972 ___ 50 1972, 91 _____ 21 1884 _____ 9 1891 ________ 2.41 2007R__10.0 1896 ____14.5 1914^ Mar 03 ___ 68 2024^___49 2020 ______26 1943,50,2009 _11 2003^______ 2.25 1906R___12.5 1960____12.5 1960* Mar 04 ___ 70 1974 ___ 51 1880 ______ 20 1873 _____ 6 1872 _________1.65 1977R___6.0 1893,1917__ 14.5 1960 Mar 05 ___ 72 1880 ___ 50 1979 ______ 10 1872 _____ 3 1872 _________1.81 1920RS__8.6 1981 ____ 8.6 1981* Mar 06 __ 68 1935, 2022 _50 2011 ____17 1901 _____ 5 1872 _________2.63 1979R___7.6 1916 ____ 8.6 1981** Mar 07 __ 74 1946, 2022 _51 2009 ____20 1913 _____ 7 1890 ________ 1.87 1967R___6.0 1870 ____ 7.7 1915 (6.9+0.8) Mar 08 ___ 76 1987 ___ 54 1987 ______ 23 1883 _____ 8 1883 _________1.78 1941S__15.7 1941 ____ 18.1 1941 Mar 09 ___ 77 2016 ___ 48 2000 ______24 1996 _____11 1996 _________1.82 1998R___5.3 1928 ____ 15.7 1941** Mar 10 ___ 79 2016 ___ 63 2016 _______28 1987 _____12 1929 _________1.62 1994R___6.0 1907 ____6.0 1907* Mar 11 ___ 73 1977 ___ 50 1967, 77 _____ 28 1885 _____14 1960 _________2.94 1901R___3.8 1896 ___ 6.0 1907** Mar 12 ___71 1890, 2012_ 52 2021/ _______26 1900 _____ 8 1888 ________ 2.33 1962R__16.5 1888 ____16.5 1888* Mar 13 ___ 85 1990 ___ 54 2012 _______12 1888 _____ 6 1888 _________ 3.86 2010R__10.2 1993___ 19.5 1888 Mar 14 ___ 75 1946 ___ 51 1953 _______28 1892 _____12 1888 _________ 1.97 2017RS__7.6 2017____ 10.6 1993 Mar 15 ___ 77 1990 ___ 49 1913, 2019 ___24 1900 ____ 14 1993 (33) ___ 1.81 1912R ___6.0 1906 ____ 7.6 2017** Mar 16 ___ 82 1990 ___ 55 1990 _______20 1911 _____13 1911 _________ 2.03 2007RS^__8.4 1896____12.0 1896 Mar 17 ___ 75 1945 ___ 53 1990 _______ 25 1885,1900 __ 9 1916 _________ 1.42 1968R___3.5 1877 ____ 8.4 1896** Mar 18 ___ 77 1989, 2011 _51 2011 _______20 1967 _____7 1916 (24) _____ 3.10 1983R___7.1 1892 ____ 8.0 1892 Mar 19 ___ 76 1918 ___ 55 2012 _______ 22 1877 _____ 8 1967 __________ 2.19 1881R___7.8 1956 ____11.6 1956 Mar 20 ___ 83 1945 ___ 57 1948 _______21 1885 _____11 1885 _________ 1.93 1913R___4.7 1958 ____ 7.8 1956** Mar 21 ___ 84 1921 ___ 57 2012 _______ 21 1885 _____10 1885 _________ 2.21 1980R___8.2 2018 ____11.8 1958 Mar 22 ___ 78 2012^___57 1948 _______ 22 1885 _____12 1885 _________ 3.44 1977R___9.0 1967 ____ 9.8 1967 Mar 23 ___ 76 1923,2012_ 58 2012 _____ 20 1888 ____13 1875, 1934 _____1.60 1929R___4.3 1896 ____ 9.0 1967** Mar 24 ___ 76 1988 ___ 52 1903 _______26 1888 _____12 1888 _________ 2.05 1989R___1.2 1956 ____ 4.5 1896 Mar 25 ___ 79 1963^___61 1913 _______ 30 1873,78 __13 1878 _________ 4.25 1876R___0.5 1876,99__ 1.2 1956**^ Mar 26 ___ 82 2021/_ 52 1986, 2021 _ 35 1872,1937,47_20 1960 (35,36 25th,26th)_1.42 1913R__1.2 1924___1.2 1924* Mar 27 ___ 83 1998 ___ 61 1949 _______ 30 1894 _____ 20 1894 _______ 1.79 1919R ___ 1.0 1886 ____ 1.2 1924** Mar 28 ___ 84 1945^___ 63 1998 _______33 2022*_____13 1923 ________ 2.98 2005R___1.5 1984 ____ 1.5 1984* Mar 29 ___ 86 1945^___ 62 1998^_______29 1887 _____10 1923 (32) ___ 2.03^1984RS__4.0 1970 ____ 4.1 1996 (0.3+3.8) Mar 30 ___ 82 1998^___ 59 1998 _______ 31 1884 _____16 1887 (33) ___ 2.45 2010R___4.5 1883 ____ 4.5 1883* Mar 31 ___ 86 1998 ____ 66 1998 _______34 1923 ____ 14 1923 _______ 2.20 1934R___2.8 1890 ____ 4.5 1883** -- - - - - - - - - - - - -- Numbers in brackets beside record low minima (e.g. 24F mar 18) are daily maxima of same (or adjacent) date as record lows, that did not set a low max record, to give an indication of the severity of the cold. In a few cases these could be early ("midnight" highs). the 2d snow records are for (previous date + date record tabulated) ... * following 2d snow ... indicates all snow fell on that date alone. ** following 2d snow ... indicates all snow fell on previous date only. (other cases include two easurable amounts) Note, precip records are followed by R, S or RS depending on whether all rain, all snow, or a mix. ^ notes above for March (includes a few near-miss values) 2nd _ also 2d snow (8.3" 2009 1.8+6.5) 3rd _ previous record 65F 1991. ... 2024 min 48F fell one deg below 2020 record. 3rd _ Low min 11 also 1925,38,43,50,62 (and 2003) ... only six-way tie in all data 12th _ 52F 2021 replaces 50F 1898 16th _ 2007 prec incl 5.5" snow 22nd _ also max 77F 1938 25th _ also max 75F 1910 25th _ cold rain 1912 could have incl sleet, 1-5" snow, missing snow data in NYC data base 26th / _ new record 82F max 2021 replaces 76F 1922. 28th _ max 79F 1946, 29th max 78F 1946, 29th min 60 1945F, 57 1946F 28th _ low max 33F 2022 replaced 34F 1893. ... also 1.4" snow 1919 29th _ 1984 prec record included 1.8" snow, 30th _ also max 78F 1910

Location?

Table of forecasts for March 2024 Forecaster __________________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN_PHX _SEA RJay _______________________________ +6.0 _+6.0 _+6.0 __ +6.0 _+3.0 _+2.5 ___ 0.0 _-0.8 __0.0 rainsucks ___________________________+4.7 _+5.3 _+5.5 __ +7.5 _+2.0 _+2.4 ___+2.5 _-1.0 _+0.7 Roger Smith ________________________+3.6 _+4.5 _+6.2 __ +7.0 _+4.5 _+3.0 __ +1.5 _-1.0 _-0.4 DonSutherland1 ____________________+3.5 _+4.8 _+4.5 __ +5.5 _+1.8 _+0.9 __ -0.5 _-2.0 _+0.2 wxallannj ___________________________+3.1 _+3.6 _+3.9 __ +2.8 _+2.2 _+2.0 __ +0.4 _-1.1 _ -1.5 Tom ________________________________+2.8 _+3.1 _+3.2 __ +3.5 _+1.8 _+1.9 __ +1.6 _+0.9 _+0.8 ___ Consensus ______________________+2.8 _+3.0 _+3.1 __ +3.2 _+1.7 _+1.8 __ +0.5 _-0.9 _+0.1 hudsonvalley21 _____________________+2.7 _+2.9 _+2.5 __ +2.7 _+1.3 _+1.6 __ +0.9 _+0.1 _+0.3 BKViking ____________________________+2.2 _+2.3 _+2.4 __ +2.0 _+1.1 _+1.2 __ +0.5 _+0.1 _+0.3 so_whats_happening _______________+2.1 _+2.8 _+3.0 __ +4.4 _+0.8 _+0.1 ___ -0.8 _-2.3 _-0.6 RodneyS ___________________________ +1.6 _+2.5 _+2.5 __ +1.3 _+0.4 _+1.3 ___ -0.5 _-1.5 _-2.1 Scotty Lightning ____________________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _+1.5 _+2.0 ___ +0.5 _+1.0 __0.0 wxdude64 __________________________+0.8 _+1.4 _+1.7 __ +0.9 _-0.4 _-0.5 ___ -0.3 _-0.8 _+1.6 Normal ______________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __0.0 Persistence (Feb 2024) _____________+4.4 _+4.2_ +3.4 __+10.7 _+4.6 _+4.2 __+4.9 _+1.5 _+0.3 ========================================== Normal is colder than all forecasters for DCA, NYC, BOS, ORD.