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wxsniss

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  1. wxsniss
    Sorry… it’s the 0z HREF: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean&sector=ne
  2. wxsniss
    0z HREF fwiw
  3. wxsniss
    Did Harv get bumped by Putin? Missed the broadcast His 10:30pm web video continued with 8-12/4-8 flanking the pike, which seems reasonable for now given the 0z NAM holding stubborn
  4. wxsniss
    Agree. So far, this seems like our typical SWFE NW tics but not a large-scale cave to the NAM (e.g. dropping pike to 4-6", sleet to NH border)
  5. wxsniss
    Not surprising and why the buffer we built today was key
  6. wxsniss
    0z GFS did tick warmer but sensible impacts not much different from 18z/12z Still a big hit for pike region GFS loving the parting fluff at the end Russians ticking west
  7. wxsniss
    re: 0z RGEM... it's almost identical to 12z... 18z was the colder oscillation ie., not sure I'd read 0z RGEM as a significant trend vs. noise
  8. wxsniss
    Biggest impact of 0z RGEM tick warmer is to southern CT/ southeast MA areas Still not in NAM's camp synoptically Look at 12z Friday as a benchmark: NAM has primary low deeper and almost to Lake Ontario... Euro/GFS/RGEM/CMC have it weaker and in PA
  9. wxsniss
    This is literally NAM vs. all other guidance, mesos and globals 12z-18z trends otherwise were all in favor of colder... still this might give Harv pause in expanding the 8-12" south tonight
  10. wxsniss
    0z NAM... something in between a "tick" and the "big jump" we're all waiting to see Still holds on to the primary longer than the rest
  11. wxsniss
    Not many can say that. All guidance this afternoon trended colder (except 12z UK which was the coldest extreme at 0z). Unless we get surprises at 0z, it's likely both Harv and NWS will expand the 8-12" further south. And spots 12-18" may start appearing along and north of pike, especially interior east.
  12. wxsniss
    Just saw this... love the contrast with an impending WSW: NWS Boston@NWSBoston·3hRECORD 2/23 HIGH TEMPERATURES BROKEN! Worcester: 65°F (prev 64°F in 2017) Boston:69°F (prev 68°F in 2017) Hartford: 71°F (prev 68°F in 1990) Providence:67°F (prev 66°F in 2017) Official daily high temperatures will be noted in our evening/overnight climate products.
  13. wxsniss
    There it is. I was anticipating spots 12-18" appearing along/north of pike, but figured they weren't confident yet on location
  14. wxsniss
    Much better run for SCT/SEMA folks Has been nearly identical for pike region for 5+ runs now Also has been consistent with a closing 1-2" 21z-3z
  15. wxsniss
    Harv ticked colder for central MA... this map looks very reasonable and anticipates some north ticks... but if there's more support for 12zEuro/18zRGEM, I imagine he'd expand the 8-12 even further south:
  16. wxsniss
    Ignoring NAM, strong guidance support for this... they ticked higher totals further south... love how relatively uniform this is across much of the SNE forum:
  17. wxsniss
    Agree A tick south and still synoptically has that vort max further north than other guidance. Not yet the cave that other guidance supports.
  18. wxsniss
    Not as big a jump as expected from confluence, but a definite trend south Still on the much warmer end of the spectrum Good hit for SNH
  19. wxsniss
    18z NAM big jump south... no surprise As the anomaly in this setup, it was useless
  20. wxsniss
    12z Euro crushes pike region Even colder than 0z, let alone 6z Fair to say NAM warm runs are the anomaly
  21. wxsniss
    12z UK more or less held, maybe a hair warmer in southern zones / within noise, but it was on the colder extreme at 0z
  22. wxsniss
    12z GFS ticking colder
  23. wxsniss
    0z Euro steady, maybe ~10 miles tic north compared to 12z Euro, within noise Pretty remarkable consensus and consistency for ~2.5 days away... unusual for this otherwise wacky season
  24. wxsniss
    Harv was pretty bullish earlier... sleet maybe at most to pike, otherwise mostly snow, 8" line through Boston
  25. wxsniss
    Yeah NAM definitely coming south a good chunk You could say it's NAM caving given that it was alone and northernmost, but NAM still not in dependable range anyway
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