Burghblizz

-9 IMBY for those that celebrate

A little “snow effect” snow?

That northern stream batch jumped considerably north since 0Z yesterday. Impressive totals into central and even Northern WV. The problem is it might just be the GFS’s imagination.

Ok one weenie thought. A low that deep should be able to gain latitude. So if there is a depiction that far west, northward movement could….ah nevermind. But id rather need a northern jump than a western jump (assuming the GFS isn’t whacked)

Mostly just light snows with that here

Weenie model - but you have had the hot hand since last week.

I got that on a newly cleared sidewalk - but hard to say how much blowing snow contributed. This batch is more about some nice scenery than anything too heavy.

Weenie in me says with that type of energy the ranges of possibilities are wider at this point. And I envision this retrograding bomb tracking through Philly But I agree - tying to keep it to only a quick check at this point. Seems low probability with anything major here

Down to 1 degree IMBY this morning with a 14” snowpack. These are the good old days.

I think weather apps (esp apple weather) are probably a bigger culprit than random online weather weenies. Those apps are “trusted sources” and are flashing huge snow totals in the extended range. Of course for many, those at least directionally verified after they did it for this past weekend. So I can see people putting more faith in it.

Models are flip flopping, but even the western solutions don’t really get much to western Maryland. So wouldn’t see anything meaningful yet on timing or of it’s even a factor. Edit: Actually Euro last night did get very heavy snow there, with it wrapping up by midday Sunday. But I think it’s still too early to really know.

This presentation tells the story a little better than that other one they had

The beauty of this last week was that almost all guidance was in our favor. Hard to find even ensemble members that weren’t great. I have a feeling this week might be the opposite - we’ll have a model or too that reels us in, but it might be a longshot at this point.

Im in the withdrawal phase right now, so i would take it! And snow on snow makes for great scenes. But I get your point. Back to normal life for awhile then hopefully get something big to track again.

I didn’t realize that. But still, they have to be very close, and it’s not like there was any sleet there.