SACRUS

Still to see where the ridge forms mid month for a warmer period - 9/14 - 9/18th tendency has been more SW and we ride the periphery, but there have been several runs between and back and forth from the gfs and eur on a more expansive EC ridge. Whatever warmup we realize the period beyond the 18th looks to have a brief but crisp cooldown in the period till the equinox.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2015) NYC: 97 (2015) LGA: 95 (2015) JFK: 92 (2010) Lows: EWR: 50 (1940) NYC: 52 (1871) LGA: 54 (1984) JFK: 50 (1962) Historical: 1900 - The greatest weather disaster in U.S. records occurred when a hurricane struck Galveston TX. A tide fifteen feet high washed over the island demolishing or carrying away buildings, and drowning more than 6000 persons. The hurricane destroyed more than 3600 houses, and total damage was more than thirty million dollars. Winds to 120 mph, and a twenty foot storm surge accompanied the hurricane. Following the storm, the surf was three hundred feet inland from the former water line. The hurricane claimed another 1200 lives outside of the Galveston area. (8th-9th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1900: A Category 4 storm made landfall in Galveston, Texas on this day in 1900. This hurricane killed between 6,000 and 12,000 individuals, making it the deadliest US Atlantic hurricane on record. The highest point in the city of Galveston was less than nine feet above sea level. The hurricane brought a storm surge of over 15 feet, which overwhelmed the entire island. 1925: In September 1925, South Carolina was in the middle of one of the most widespread and disastrous droughts in the state's history. The NWS Co-op station in Calhoun Falls reported 11 days above 100°F with a maximum temperature of 111°F on this day. 1987 - A tropical depression off the coast of South Carolina brought another round of heavy rain to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region and the Upper Ohio Valley. Showers and thunderstorms produced extremely heavy rain in eastern Pennsylvania, where flooding caused more than 55 million dollars across a seven county area. The afternoon high of 97 degrees at Miami FL was a record for the month of September. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Eighteen cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Roanoke VA with a reading of 42 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced very heavy rain in the central U.S. Thunderstorms during the late morning and afternoon produced five to nine inches of rain around Lincoln NE, with an unofficial total of eleven inches near Holmes Park. Up to six and a half inches of rain soaked northern and western Iowa. Eighty to ninety percent of the homes in Shenandoah IA, where 5.89 inches of rain was received, reported basement flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: A severe thunderstorm developed over the southern end of the Las Vegas Valley in Nevada. The storm moved north bringing damaging winds and heavy rain mainly across the eastern half of the metro area. Henderson Executive Airport recorded wind gusts of 80 mph. Air traffic control personnel temporarily evacuated the airport tower. Approximately 15 homes and trailers in Moapa were severely damaged by thunderstorm winds estimated at 80 to 90 mph. 2012: Severe storms impacted the New York City area, forcing a delay of the United States Open. A tornado hit a beach club in Queens, and another brought damage to Canarsie, Brooklyn, New York.

68 / 57 another gorgeous day on tap Warmer the next 48 hours mid - upper 80s maybe a stray 90 in the hot locations inland, ahead of a front that could bring some showers, storms or scattered rain / clouds on thursd. A period of near normal this upcoming weekend before ridge comes east and where it builds will be key in how much warmth can push into the northeast from mid month (next week). Overall warmer in the period beyond Sunday.

Today's Highs: BLM: 82 New Brnswck: 82 PHL: 82 EWR: 81 TEB: 80 JFK: 80 * missing intra hour highs yet again ACY: 79 ISP: 79 LGA: 79 TTN: 79 NYC: 78

The last 30 or so Labors days weather Hi / Low " Year Labor Day NYC EWR LGA JFK 2025 Sep 1 78 / 64 · 0.00 81 / 60 · 0.00 77 / 65 · 0.00 79 / 59 · 0.00 2024 Sep 2 79 / 63 · 0.00 82 / 63 · 0.00 79 / 64 · 0.00 83 / 64 · 0.00 2023 Sep 4 89 / 73 · T 93 / 72 · 0.00 89 / 76 · 0.00 89 / 70 · 0.00 2022 Sep 5 88 / 73 · 0.06 87 / 73 · 0.01 87 / 74 · 0.01 84 / 72 · 0.00 2021 Sep 6 81 / 69 · T 86 / 70 · 0.00 85 / 71 · 0.00 84 / 69 · 0.00 2020 Sep 7 79 / 66 · 0.00 79 / 65 · 0.00 81 / 70 · 0.00 79 / 63 · 0.00 2019 Sep 2 74 / 69 · 0.30 77 / 70 · 1.19 79 / 70 · 0.51 77 / 68 · 0.64 2018 Sep 3 90 / 75 · 0.00 95 / 76 · 0.00 93 / 77 · 0.00 84 / 75 · 0.00 2017 Sep 4 80 / 61 · 0.00 82 / 58 · 0.00 82 / 64 · 0.00 79 / 63 · 0.00 2016 Sep 5 84 / 65 · 0.00 86 / 58 · 0.00 84 / 67 · 0.00 84 / 65 · 0.00 2015 Sep 7 92 / 70 · 0.00 95 / 65 · 0.00 90 / 71 · 0.00 86 / 70 · 0.00 2014 Sep 1 88 / 75 · 0.00 92 / 74 · 0.00 88 / 76 · 0.00 86 / 74 · 0.00 2013 Sep 2 82 / 74 · 0.05 83 / 73 · 0.14 82 / 72 · 0.90 82 / 72 · 0.00 2012 Sep 3 79 / 71 · T 78 / 72 · 0.08 79 / 71 · 0.00 76 / 70 · 0.59 2011 Sep 5 81 / 72 · T 85 / 72 · 0.02 81 / 72 · 0.00 79 / 71 · 0.00 2010 Sep 6 80 / 60 · 0.00 80 / 56 · 0.00 79 / 64 · 0.00 77 / 59 · 0.00 2009 Sep 7 74 / 60 · 0.00 75 / 63 · 0.00 72 / 61 · 0.00 74 / 59 · 0.00 2008 Sep 1 84 / 64 · 0.00 86 / 61 · 0.00 84 / 68 · 0.00 85 / 65 · 0.00 2007 Sep 3 82 / 64 · 0.00 86 / 59 · 0.00 86 / 67 · 0.00 82 / 63 · 0.00 2006 Sep 4 75 / 60 · 0.00 78 / 57 · 0.00 77 / 64 · 0.00 79 / 62 · 0.00 2005 Sep 5 81 / 65 · 0.00 82 / 64 · 0.00 80 / 67 · 0.00 80 / 64 · 0.00 2004 Sep 6 75 / 60 · 0.00 75 / 60 · 0.00 75 / 60 · 0.00 74 / 57 · 0.00 2003 Sep 1 69 / 62 · 0.59 68 / 63 · 0.48 69 / 63 · 0.51 68 / 63 · 0.16 2002 Sep 2 68 / 61 · 1.63 69 / 61 · 0.67 68 / 62 · 2.88 67 / 62 · 2.28 2001 Sep 3 79 / 61 · 0.00 78 / 58 · 0.00 79 / 65 · 0.00 77 / 57 · 0.00 2000 Sep 4 82 / 60 · 0.58 84 / 61 · 0.33 83 / 61 · 0.24 85 / 61 · 0.59 1999 Sep 6 83 / 74 · T 83 / 74 · 0.09 83 / 74 · 0.05 82 / 73 · 0.05 1998 Sep 7 89 / 65 · 2.07 91 / 66 · 1.79 89 / 66 · 2.37 89 / 67 · 0.83 1997 Sep 1 82 / 68 · 0.13 83 / 69 · 0.27 82 / 70 · 0.11 80 / 68 · 0.08 1996 Sep 2 89 / 68 · 0.00 92 / 65 · 0.00 89 / 71 · 0.00 90 / 70 · 0.00 1995 Sep 4 84 / 65 · 0.00 85 / 63 · 0.00 84 / 68 · 0.00 80 / 67 · 0.00 1994 Sep 5 75 / 54 · 0.00 76 / 56 · 0.00 72 / 58 · 0.00 75 / 56 · 0.00 1993 Sep 6 85 / 64 · 0.00 88 / 67 · 0.00 86 / 69 · 0.00 82 / 65 · 0.00

Last 50s 40s 30s Last (this year) 50s (59°F or below) EWR: Jun 16 — 58°F NYC: Jun 16 — 57°F JFK: Jun 16 — 58°F LGA: Jun 2 — 55°F Last 40s (49°F or below) EWR: May 31 — 46°F NYC: May 23 — 49°F JFK: May 31 — 48°F LGA: May 12 — 48°F

Weekly:

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (2023) NYC: 101 (1881) LGA: 96 (2023) JFK: 93 (1983) Lows: EWR: 49 (1984) NYC: 46 (1888) LGA: 53 (1984) JFK: 47 (1962) Historical: 1675: Boston, Massachusetts area has the second "Great Colonial Hurricane." (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1769: Considered one of the worst storms of the Eighteenth century, this hurricane passed over Williamsburg, Virginia. 1881 - The temperature soared to 101 degrees at New York City, 102 degrees at Boston MA, and 104 degrees at Washington D.C. (David Ludlum) 1888 - Much of the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast Region experienced freezing temperatures. Killer frosts resulted in a million dollars damage to crops in Maine. (David Ludlum) 1909 - Topeka, KS, was drenched with 8.08 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for that location. (6th- 7th) (The Weather Channel) 1939: A Record heat prevailed across the Midwest. Locations recording their hottest September temperatures included Rockford, IL: 103°, New Hampton, IA: 101° and Lancaster, WI: 100°. Prairie du Chien, WI tied for Wisconsin's highest September temperature with 104°. Other record highs included: Waterloo, IA: 102°, Columbia, MO: 102°, Kansas City, MO: 102°, Des Moines, IA: 101°, St. Louis, MO: 101°, Peoria, IL: 101°-Tied, Chicago, IL: 100 °F. (Ref. Many Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1949: Santa Ana, CA began with a record low of 51° then quickly warmed to a record high temperature of 105°. Other record highs for the date across the Southland included: Escondido, CA: 106°, Downtown Los Angeles, CA: 103°, Long Beach, CA: 101° and San Diego, CA: 92°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1954: The highest temperature ever recorded for the Richmond International Airport in September was 103 °F (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) 1962: Billings, MT recorded their earliest measurable snowfall with two inches, followed by 4.3 more inches the next day. Red Lodge, MT received 15 inches from this day through the 8th. Columbus, MT received four inches and Livingston, MT received one inch. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1970 - A lightning bolt struck a group of football players at Gibbs High School in Saint Petersburg FL, killing two persons and injuring 22 others. All the thirty-eight players and four coaches were knocked off their feet. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced 4 to 8 inch rains in three to six hours in Virginia, with totals across the state for the Labor Day weekend ranging up to fourteen inches. The Staunton River crested at 34.44 feet at Altavista on the 8th, its highest level since 1940. Damage due to flooding was estimated at seven million dollars around Bedford, Henry, and Franklin. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Fifty cities across the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 56 degrees at Mobile AL was their coolest reading of record for so early in the season. The mercury dipped to 31 degrees at Athens OH, and to 30 degrees at Thomas WV. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced four inches of rain at Texamah overnight, and up to six inches of rain in southwestern Iowa. Evening thunderstorms in eastern Colorado produced golf ball size hail at Clear Creek and at Nederland. Late evening thunderstorms in Iowa drenched Harlan with more than four inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1998: Two Derechos occurred on this day with one affecting most of Pennsylvania and New York City, the other impacting central New York. 2003: Seattle-Tacoma, Washington: A string of 61 consecutive days with temperature 70°F or above ends. The previous run had been 49 days in 1958. (Ref. WxDoctor)

72 / 55 off a low of 53. Nicest day of the weekend sun-wise. Upper 70s / low 80s a bit cooler beaches. Overall above normal and nice mainly dry week warmest days Tue / Wed mid - upper 80s max, otherwise hovering close to 80 through mid month. Sprinklers back on here this week. Beyond there overall near normal and still will need to watch ridge position.

Depends where - EWR has 41 90 degree days in 1991 and 40 in 2016 and also 41 in 2021

Today's Highs: PHL: 83 New Brnswck: 80 TTN: 79 TEB: 78 EWR: 77 LGA: 77 ACY: 76 BLM: 76 NYC: 76 ISP: 73 JFK: 72 * no intra hour highs

its been a risk with the ULL spinning over Maine and HP building in from the GL and the NNE flow now - tomorrow looks like the mostly sunny day.

A break in an overall dry next 7 days here outside some scattered storms/showers on Wed night/ Thu. Rain focused into the Southeast, Southwest mansoon, PAC tropical influence and the much needed deluge over the canadian fires

Atlantic vacation: Pacific buzzing

The period from and beyond mid month has been a bit of a back and forth between the warm-hot GFS to now the warm ridegy ECM and the can with Oklahoma ridge center

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2018) NYC: 97 (1881) LGA: 96 (2018) JFK: 93 (2023) Lows: EWR: 48 (1938) NYC: 48 (1924) LGA: 53 (1988) JFK: 52 (1963) Historical: 1667: The “dreadful hurricane of 1667” is considered one of the most severe hurricanes ever to strike Virginia. On the first, this same storm was reported in the Lesser Antilles. The hurricane devastated St. Christopher as no other storm had done before. The "great storm" went on to strike the northern Outer Banks of North Carolina and southeastern Virginia. Area crops (including corn and tobacco) were beaten into the ground. 1776: Called the Pointe-à-Pitre hurricane, this storm is one of the deadliest Atlantic hurricanes on record. While the intensity and complete track are unknown, this storm struck Guadeloupe on this day, killing 6,000. 1881 - Forest fires in Michigan and Ontario resulted in 'Yellow Day' in the northeastern U.S. Twenty villages in Michigan burned, and a total of 500 persons were killed. Fires caused 2.3 million dollars in losses near Lake Huron. Candles were needed at the noon hour. (David Ludlum) 1881: Forest fires in “The Thumb” of Michigan and Ontario resulted in “Yellow Day” over the New England states. Twenty villages and over a million acres burned in Michigan. The smoke from these fires caused the sky to appear yellow over several New England cities. Twilight appeared at noon on this day. 1929 - Iowa's earliest snow of record occurred as a few flakes were noted at 9 AM at Alton. (The Weather Channel) 1933: The remnant low of the Treasure Coast Hurricane dumped 10.33" of rain in Charleston, which is the second-highest 24-hour rainfall total on record for the downtown station. The storm produced wind gusts of 51 mph and also spawned a tornado near the city. 1987 - Thunderstorms produced more than seven inches of rain in Georgia. Four persons drowned, and two others suffered injury, as three couples attempted to cross Mills Stone Creek at Echols Mill in their automobile. Smoke from forest fires in California and Oregon spread across Utah into western Colorado. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the north central and northeastern U.S. Thirty cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Saint Joseph MO with a reading of 38 degrees. A low of 44 degrees at Indianapolis IN was their coolest reading of record for so early in the season. The mercury dipped to 31 degrees at Hibbing MN and Philips WI. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - An early afternoon thunderstorm produced wind gusts to 104 mph at Winterhaven, FL, flipping over four airplanes, and damaging five others. The high winds also damaged a hangar and three other buildings. A cold front produced strong winds and blowing dust in the Northern High Plains, with gusts to 54 mph reported at Buffalo SD. Powerful Hurricane Gabrielle and strong easterly winds combined to create waves up to ten feet high along the southern half of the Atlantic coast. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2003: Hurricane Isabel was first named on September 6th, 2003. It would reach Category 5 status and eventually make landfall in North Carolina as a Category 2. 2017: Category 5 Hurricane Irma affected the US Virgin Island and Puerto Rico. Maximum sustained winds were at 180 mph when the storm hit St. Thomas & St. John. Catastrophic damage was reported over the US Virgin Island & significant damage over Puerto Rico, especially over Culebra.

Had posted in the other thread EWR matched 2015 with all days in August >80 and was leading in overall 80 degree days. 118 2015, and 117 in 2024. Year Rank Days >= 80 °F 2015 1 118 2024 2 117 2021 3 116 1994 4 114 2016 5 113 1993 5 113 1991 5 113

71 / 61 here clouds pushing south and encompassing eastern LI. IN / out of the clouds for a period this morning into early pm then partly sunnay mid 70s to 80 in the warmest locations, eastern sections could see isolated showers around the ULL into Northern ME and and the N-NE flow. Labor day looking mostly sunny mid - upper 70s to 80 or low 80s in the warmest spots inland. Ridge has a 48 hour surge pushing higher heights and 850 MB temps >18c Tue - Thu with Wed and Thu the warmest of the next 7 days and also next shot at some rain Thursday . Overall near to warmer than normal to mid month and warmer beyond there as ridge looks to come east and we'll have to see where it anchors. 9/6 - 9/8 : Near normal 9/9 - 9/11 : Above normal brief surge of warmth 9/12 - 9/15 : Near normal 9/16 - beyond : Above normal (watch ridge position)

Today's Highs: PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 83 EWR: 82 BLM: 81 JFK: 81 no intra hour highs TTN: 81 ACY: 81 ISP: 80 TEB: 80 LGA: 80 NYC: 79

Made it to 82 but more clouds now

Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2023) NYC: 94 (1985) LGA: 93 (1985) JFK: 94 (1961) Lows: EWR: 53 (2000) NYC: 51 (1963) LGA: 54 (2000) JFK: 52 (1989) Historical: 1925 - The temperature at Centerville, AL, soars to 112 degrees to establish a state record. Every reporting station in Alabama was 100 degrees or above that afternoon. (The Weather Channel) 1929: Early season snowfall occurred in the mountains of Wyoming and the Black Hills of South Dakota on September 5th and 6th. The highest snowfall amount was 16 inches in Fox Park, Wyoming. 1933 - A hurricane hit Brownsville, TX, killing forty persons and causing 12 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1933: A Category 3 hurricane made landfall on South Padre Island, Texas during the late evening hours on September 4th, or Labor Day. The storm caused 40 fatalities and nearly $17 million in damages. With the storm making landfall during a holiday weekend, fatalities could have been much higher. The following is from the report of the official in charge at Corpus Christi, Texas: "Probably never before in the history of Texas hurricanes have such widespread and early warnings been given as were received from Washington in advance of this one. The telegram of Saturday, September 2, warning all persons to avoid inaccessible places over the weekend probably saved thousands of lives." 1950 - Hurricane Easy produced the greatest 24 hour rainfall in U.S. weather records. The hurricane deluged Yankeetown, on the upper west coast of Florida, with 38.7 inches of rain. (David Ludlum) 1950: Hurricane Easy was an erratic and unpredictable hurricane that lingered over the Tampa Bay area for days, dropping torrential rains and causing damage especially in Cedar Key, Florida where the storm eventually made landfall. This hurricane dumped 38.7 inches of rain in 24 hours in Yankeetown, a record for the U.S. at the time, and caused $3.3 million in damage. Total rainfall amounts in Yankeetown was 45.20 inches. 1975 - Strong winds reduced visibilities to near zero in blowing dust resulting in a 22-car chain reaction accident on Interstate 10 near Toltec AZ. Two persons were killed, and 14 others were injured. (The Weather Channel) 1978: Tropical Depression Norman became the most recent tropical system to make landfall in California near Long Beach as an extra-tropical storm. 1987 - Thunderstorms over the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast States drenched Charleston, SC, with 5.50 inches of rain, and a total of 13.50 inches in two days, flooding homes, and leaving roads and bridges under water. (The National Weather Summary) A tropical storm which formed off the South Atlantic coast was responsible for torrential rains over coastal regions of South Carolina. Between the 30th of August and the 8th of September, Charleston SC received 18.44 inches of rain. The heavy rains caused extensive flooding around the city of Charleston, seriously damaged cotton crops in the eastern part of the state, and resulted in an unusually high number of mosquitos. (Storm Data) 1988 - Five days of heavy rain commenced in west central Florida. Up to 20 inches of rain in four days resulted in extensive urban flooding, and evacuation of 1000 homes. Flooding claimed four lives, and caused more than five million dollars proprty damage. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced six to ten inches of rain in south central Kansas between 6 AM and Noon. Serious flooding was reported around Wichita, with water four feet deep along some roads. A cold front crossing the Northern High Plains Region produced wind gusts to 63 mph at Sheridan WY. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1996: Hurricane Fran made landfall near the tip of Cape Fear, North Carolina with maximum sustained winds near 115 mph on the evening of September 5th. Fran was responsible for 26 deaths and was at the time the most expensive natural disaster ever in North Carolina’s history. 2017: Hurricane Irma became a category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 180 mph. This made Irma one of strongest hurricane ever observed in the open Atlantic Ocean.

75 / 61 mostly sunny. Looking like a great day in this long weekend. Upper 70s low 80s. More onshore NE flow tomorrow could see more clouds and isolated showers in eastern areas i am still not totally buying the mostly sunny and dry forecasts especially eastern. Labor day looks like a copy of today upper 70s low 80s. Overall near to slightly above normal week with the 10th being the warmest day of the next 7 mid upper 80s or higher in the hot spots. Looking overall dry this week outside of some showers later on thursday. Beyond there overall near normal to above throuuh mid month. Ridge looks to build back into the mid section we'll have to see the extent of the eastern and northern influences. .

Today's Highs: PHL: 89 EWR: 88 New Brnswck: 88 ACY: 88 BLM: 88 JFK: 86 * no intra hour highs LGA: 86 TTN: 86 TEB: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 84

88.8 today nice one.

Agree Sunday may see clouds and showers east