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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    nooner gfs says after any brief thumpage in the next couple hours, that SLP is a wee bit N and warms us in SE 1/3 a tad more than previous run. Hoping true centrals can hang on.
  2. pasnownut
    Latest HRRRRRRRRR and FV3 mesos for any that are awaiting poss changeover/flip for a bit. surface temps 850s 700's
  3. pasnownut
    still ice on trees hangin tough here in etown as of 10:41 am.
  4. pasnownut
    Yeah thats been showing up, and it'd be nice to see down here in Lanco.
  5. pasnownut
    you are correct, they are not putting anymore $$ or upgrades into it is what I also learned.
  6. pasnownut
    Hey were all used to this down here, and I agree 100%. This IS often what winter looks like down here. Maybe just maybe next week we are staring at a decent one. Not getting my hopes up to much, but it fits the pattern. I'm also quietly nervous about it happening, cause I need to get my kid in Philly airport Christmas Eve, and wanting to see her for Christmas is my #1 ask to Santa.
  7. pasnownut
    I almost went ass over teacup on second step of my front porch. My wife LOL'd pretty good. Said we coulda made money if that was on video.
  8. pasnownut
    I did a little deeper dive on evening NAM last night regarding thermals, and I'm gonna say it looks to be holding true for my area. It showed 31 at 7 am and by god....it was 31. It also showed eeking above freezin by 9-10 am and that looks to be on track as well. Currently 32 in etown and 33 at home (as per NWS).
  9. pasnownut
    Exactly same in Akron and on way to work. Thermo stuck at 31 whole way into office. Slushy spots on roads, but everything already has a coating of ZR on it. Not expecting a flake during the changeover, but I'd be most happy to see it. For those that do changeover, wont take much to start snapping limbs, as tall shrubs were already starting to feel the weight. Not so happy about that, but its part of the game. And it's great to see next weeks potential starting to show. Enjoy the winter day all.
  10. pasnownut
    Good luck up there. I'd much rather be at the cabin in Gaines for this one, and not down here. Enjoy and please let us know how you fare.
  11. pasnownut
    White Christmas hopes are alive....but not sure if they are well. I'd sign for this right now.
  12. pasnownut
    for our area looks like 4-6 am ish
  13. pasnownut
    Nam seemed to look a bit better with early precip. I was scratching my noggin when looking at 12z seemingly hit a brick wall. If one loops it, it was noticeable. That aside, it progressed a bit more like other runs, so Im hoping it helps a bunch in here to get the ground frozen/white/skating rink....location dependent. Good luck to all that are in the warnings. I'll take my 1" and like it....
  14. pasnownut
    I saw 37 for the high between Etown and Ephrata
  15. pasnownut
    If we've got nothing else....there's always hope. While its pretty far out there to really ponder, the base state is notably colder and any warm punch would potentially be muted and this could be more of an overrunning kinda thingy that gets it white just in time for Santa. Yes, it'll likely change a bunch, but the pattern change is happening, so something to consider when thinking of any last minute requests for stocking stuffers.
  16. pasnownut
    Yeah, no matter what map shows what, we know the drill down here. Hoping for surprise reports N and W of us (more N IMO). Funny as I was thinking Liberty exit of rt 15 to Worlds End when I suggested Lyco to Sullivan. Liberty is 1 mile over the Tioga border, and a plateau that we always see wintery weather when there is some to be had en route to the cabin.
  17. pasnownut
    I just looked at it vs the Euro, and they are similar...and not crowd pleasers. So the rug is still under foot and wating for the big tug.....whos gonna pull it?
  18. pasnownut
    Sorry for the challenging year. Doing as best we can here. Yeah that's a little soon for batteries to go, but congrats on the new toys. Hoping you get it resolved soon. Send pics if you go. All the best to you and yours.
  19. pasnownut
    IF this verifies, that'd put alot of the NWS forecasts into a spot of difficulty.
  20. pasnownut
    Hey Kirby, hope all is well. Yeah we still need to get them ready. Got the Harleys outta the garage last evening, so they are next to prep. You still riding?
  21. pasnownut
    I've got no snow problems. Been here all my life, and while Wellsboro is an amazingly charming town, I enjoy visiting the area more than I would if I lived there. I'm just having fun as usual. No sour grapes here. Much more important things to fret about.
  22. pasnownut
    I was thinking Lycoming to Sullivan counties as per snow maps, and would think Poconos may do better w/ coastal (at elevation mind you).
  23. pasnownut
    Wow, thats quite a disparity. I think NAM counts sleet (or maybe not, but thats surely an eye opener (goes for more coffee).
  24. pasnownut
    I'll take your .2 to get on the damn board....
  25. pasnownut
    For those that are going to cash in, by the looks of the pattern, y'all stand a decent chance at holding it till christmas. I just need to figure out how to hold onto my 1" of slop that I'm anticipating.
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