pasnownut

0z NAM going for peoples choice award. Keeps LSV all snow and hope alive for another 6 hrs....or till the ICON crushes hopes and dreams of naked snow angels in the streets

Great call.......

your snow dome has been replaced with a magnet

affecting us..... dude.....you flat out stole it from us.

Despite the good looks of late regarding Sunday, this weekend really is the first event that is happening during the new regime change that is only getting underway. A lag time till things get better aligned in the east should be expected. I suggested that several days ago, and truth told, the good looks for this weekend sorta took me by surprise as in my mind they were a bit premature (based on what we've been dealing w/ regarding the constant cutter look being flushed out so quickly, but hey we'll take em....if they happen.

have faith my friend. The change you request is ongoing out west. Like I've been saying, its not a light switch and once the ridging gets established, it'll force trough into central/eastern US and SHOULD start showing better looks once this gets established. How long it sticks around is the bigger concern from what I'm seeing. May be short lived window, but thats way too far out for most of us weenies to fret about....yet.

GFS keeps hope alive for many as it continues its souther adjustments thermally as well as wrt SLP

I get ya. I saw that, and hence my comment upon seeing the ICON shart the perverbial bed......

is this a good time for.... its only the ICON..... or pick one....

your pessimistic stance shouldnt be shelved yet. oy vey..

NAM came out swinging. ICON coming in hot....like thermally hot. notable changes at 78 Where did I put that ledge......

Hey....we(well you anyway) may finally need to make a beer run

I'd bet tomorrow earliest...assuming things hold together today. Even though the track is looking favorable, the temps are a concern for us LSV'rs and for next week....thats WAY to far out with lots of time to see where things go after the Churchgoersuntie event IMO

its just funny how some make calls and get ignored, but when others "make the call" the likes are almost instantaneous "likes". I dont post for likes, but its merely an observation that makes me (and I'm sure others) chuckle.

and if one were to further extrapolate.... 700's look fine 850's look fine (but would be getting close down here if we had 2 more panels to view) 2m temps decent and would likely lead to snowglobe stickage to everything kinda snow.

I'll "nice call" myself.....

It looms close on LR guidance. Gotta hope the NAO holds tight but tellies dont look so hot (or do they) once we turn the calendar. Time for that to change, but this looks like a window of opp that we need to cash one or 2 in on. Sorry for you guys down south of the M/D line.

Sure has been rough sledding. You've had a couple bouts w/ winter up/over that way though. I know compared to normal the suckfactor is high though. My family has yet to see a flake this year..... well, there's one that lives w/ them, but that doesnt really count.

Looking at the setup on the 6z NAM thermal profiles coupled w/ slp track/placement, I'm gonna hedge a bet and say its coming out swinging as it leads off the nooners. But thats extrapolating.....

as you know all too well, down here in the LSV is often riding the line..... No matter if I like what they say or not, forecasters for our area earn their stripes. there i go again....defending them.

Noone is saying youre wrong, but coming into a weather disco thread and offering nothing but complaints wont win anyone over...cause most of us already know, understand and accept the frustrations.

at this juncture, still enough uncertainty down here that I can understand that. Wow, I actually sound like I'm defending them...

What an awesome experience that was. I remember it like it was yesterday.

icon actually ticked SE a bit from 0z. Not much but better but better than heading the wrong way. It lets go of the primary a tad earlier as well. Helps our precious thermal gradient. Cant believe I'm wanting to throw my chips on it, but it's definately inside the scope of options for us. Its an ideal track for us all things considered.

early morning GFS finally starts to come around to the earlier coastal. 0z run at 84 had slp in KY 6z has slp in south GA. Still not a winner for me, but gotta get the track right before anyone can fret over how much shoveling you'll be doing, but verbatim this track is coming in line and should make many central and northers happy. I still need to see the other camps stay south for me to be in the game. Shit..........I needed to get work done today.