pasnownut

As I enjoy the long lead stuff heading into winter (ENSO thread is a great source of ideas/input from some really talented gurus). They/some disagree and think it may be aoa peak. What does that mean to us....not sure yet, but this looks (below graphic copied from Tip), to be headed to a basin wide Nino and not just East based. Just another theory being tossed around in "our" circles. Unfortunatley the typical x/y correlations also may not apply or hold as much value, as our base state is one that we've not had much data sampling to match up to wrt the warming of mother earth. Time will tell.

I'm the guy who doesnt wash his team jersey UNTIL they lose, so I'm right w/ ya.

Sunday looks like the core of the cold, and this coupled with this would be the catalyst for my first flakes suggestion. Other globals not as deep wrt 850's, but again, I'd say Allegheny plateau and north into NYS could have a brief window for some mashed taters w/ Sunday dinner.

shusshhh you. bad voodo

pic for those interested.

One thing seems to be holding for the weekend and into next week... we are going to enter our first legit period of cool/colder weather. The theme of that ULL sitting above us for a few days looks to deliver a colder period, and would not surprise me to hear the "first flakes flyin" posts for some in the NE/lakes region. VERY marginal temps, but elevations can work their magic.

I was on road much of yesterday seeing clients, and it too was toasty, but I enjoyed it all the same.

I'll go out on a limb w/ ya as my big prediction is that KLNS will get more snow than last year.... (.9'' )

What dataset is that based off of?? Dont answer....we already know.

Nah, there are far more of us than this site will ever acknowledge. In many regards, I feel much the same as you pal. In our forum, you just happen to be in the midst of some semi intelligent weenies that are like me and doing electrical projects....just know enough to be dangerous.

are you a paid troll..... or just here for the lol's

#2 sounds more appropriate of late.

as I suggested, Google it and pick the def that fits best for ya. oh and.....lol

yeah that (like most things) is found in a 5 second search of it on google. Its totally appropriate no matter how his feelings get hurt. So glad he's here to keep things straight though..... waits for the .....lol

Most of us knew what you were doing. No worries. Blizz wasnt discounting the overnight "mins" either. We're better than that.

Looking over morning runs, it appears that Saturday(ish) is our transition day away from this weeks Indian summer and verbatim would suggest a notably cooler regime getting established for us. Most majors show it locked in thru end of run cycles. Looking forward to it, and as it will likely change some as we get further out...500's suggest trough seems to be hanging tough (although flattens a bit)here in the east so at the minimum, warmth will be diminished.

hello fall. Nice to see you.

@pawatch this ones for you pal. #its540time

Tuesday looks like a legit chance at 80. Savor it warmies....you might not see that for a while. I'll take it in stride.

anxious to see if that 540 line continues to show up here in the NE next weekend. Would be chilly for sure if it holds. My make first fire in woodstove next weekend.

had to look at your post 2x to make sure I was reading w/ both eyes open. Then i looked for myself. Yeah that's an impressibve deep purple over the NYC area. That would suck me thinks.

In going to withhold further comment.....

AMEN..... Did I just lump myself into another camp by saying that?? cheers bro. any pics of the new ink, or is it in places NSFW? hehe

Who here questions the warming? I'm waiting..... The question is the cause/effects that are being touted as gospel. As i said, for every point, there is a counterpoint, and in 5 seconds of a web search, one could refute many claims. We can do this all day, and really get nothing done...except further the divide. I've no interest in that. I will remain objective as we really have much to learn. I'm not here to argue and wont bash you/anyone for their beliefs...no matter what, but I'd suggest some of you offer the same mutual respect to something we really are still learning about. We've got a lot of learning to.

"deniers" is really just a term one side uses to demean the other. It's really no more than that. Some just look at it through an objective lens. BIG difference