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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Yeah, yesterday was a nice event for NE and the Poconos, but thats really not surprising (in a normal year). Cams looked meh yesterday afternoon, but hey it was something... for the 23rd event, AO looks to rise around that timestamp. NAO still neg, and MJO losing amp thru 1 would suggest to me that this one has a chance, as the boundary could come north. ENS guidance has varied looks at 500mb. One less pronounced trough and other showing ridging. My gut says another rainer down here w/ the normal elevations scoring. IF the look holds. My thoughts are really just based off current looks/guidance, and not much more than that. Quite frankly I'm about "wished" out for something to happen, but thought I'd throw my .02 in.
  2. Yeah I saw that one. Good one to share. Its just surreal.
  3. Been up since 330 and was watching youtube vids of Mammoth CA. Good grief. They wont see their mulch all year. peeps using 2nd story access to get in houses n stuff. Just a phenomenal stretch for them.
  4. Yeah that off the chart 8 is impressive. No doubt. Just wished the Nina would've faded faster and we could have had a backend winter. I know I put too much faith in that happening, and it sure held on longer than expected. Yes, northers have been eeking their way back from the ledge and have had a few snows of late. Happy for them. As you suggest (and has been a fear of some of us), is that now that the rubber band snapped, were going to get all of that pent up cold when its really almost over for us (climo wise). Yes, we all know it can happen into easter, but like many others here, some of us just wanted snow in the air and otg for a while...even if only a little while. Not sure how many here have mentally moved on...but I know I have. Chalkin this one up as one of the bigger skunkers that I've witness in my years. Hoping next years Nino can work in our favor. Plenty of time to sort that out though.
  5. I saw 15 seconds of flurries on way to work. Looks like a skiff of snow on roofs. #notwinningwhatsoever
  6. Hey, you saw something and went after it, but like the other attempts at winter down here....it ALMOST worked...but didnt. Good on you for taking a stand. I've done it plenty here.
  7. Yesterday someone said w/ in an hour of Lanco, there was a WSW. Looking at todays maps...you better take a lamborghini up 95 or 81 if youve got 60min to get to plowable snow from here.
  8. Go pick your favorite go to model and loop through your beloved snowfall map outputs from the last 3-4 days. Like everything else this year, this one is slipping away. Yes, Poconos n points NE should get some fun, but the big stall/retrograde look, while still doing a single loop retro, is notably further NE and likely not what it was for the wester folks.
  9. Looking over the tellies, this was likely the player in our current "winter" pattern. As you can see the notable swing thru 8 helped to get winter closer for some of us, but as you can see, its likely to head twds COD or lower amp 1/2. With that said, moving forward, the AO/PNA remaining much like they've been all winter, tells me that the NAO looking to once again head neg into next week, says much the same for us. NE may still get some late winter, but down here....close the friggin curtains already. Northern/western had a few events but bye and large, I'll be glad to put this mess behind me. For all that are still sniffin out the next one....enjoy the chase.
  10. I had a nice weekend playing in the 3" around your area.
  11. Its the part of the year I hate the most. Cant F'in wait.
  12. northern 1/2 of state did a little better from this, but for us southers.....it was collosal....not epic and I wont be around to read about mow #54...
  13. I'm not looking at radar. I'll still take my 6 and not 16'' "call" for NEPA.
  14. well definitely for NEPA. Looks like they can take the 1 off the 16"
  15. still think its one to watch. That may be YOUR storm pal, and even if it doesnt amount to much...it cold easily be our best event of the year down here. Feel better?
  16. its rainin mashed taters here in Etown. or big soggy ass parachutes........... intermittent but its happening.
  17. Look at how that 3rd slp pops off shore. Wont happen like that. Toss this nooner from the mix. What will happen....who knows, but not that.
  18. couple lonely flakes in Etown over the last 30-45 min
  19. @Mount Joy SnowmanEnjoy the tourney. Exciting for sure. @Itstrainingtimeneed bad days once in a while to make us appreciate the good ones. Hoping today is a good one for you.
  20. No matter what happens weather wise down here......TGIFF.
  21. as I'm lookng beyond tomorrow for us southers, I'm hoping we can pull something off or Monday event. If one can overcome marginal thermals for us low landers....thats our shot. Enough consensus on most globals really have me rooting that one on. Nice to see the HH GFS keep the boundary further south for the 3/18 event. May have 2 shots before window closes.
  22. 24 hrs ago 24 hrs later....and that bump north as promised
  23. I just posted before I got caught up in above. I'll take any bet for hbg in 2-4" Sauss said he'd front me $$
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