pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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NAM just made a nice step in the right direction. Waiting for the taboo snow maps, but I'm liking it...alot.
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Early look and gut says NAM wants all to be happy around my house. HP/cad looks a little more stout and surface notably better than 12z....will it jump in line or keep me near the cliff. Let you know in 10.
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and if I might add to it, to put into simpler terms, its a blend between best thermals (best snow growth is aoa -10 isotherm)....BUT....you also need best lift/qpf to help achieve, so just because you have one, doesn't mean you have the other, but its the closest point/axis between the 2 that you likely see the best totals. Mag/taggers/anyone feel free to tweak my statement if needed.
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Enjoy. You surely deserve to be on the fun side of it for a change. Hang out w/ us. We'll make it fun/interesting for sure. Plus you can keep some of us whackjobs in line.
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as i stated earlier, it would need to be aoa 16-18:1
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if thats the case, you'd need to be at 18:1 kinda ratios. While not impossible, thats cold powder kinda stuff.
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We may have had a slushy 1" here in Western Lanco. but due to warm surface.....its meelltiinnnnggggg. It came down nicely late morning through about 12:30. then tapered off.
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RGEM steady as well. Just showing for concensus sake. Not for what will verify.
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Man oh man....thats a beaut!
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depends where you want held after looking.
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can someone w/ access post euro?
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I'm guilty as charged. No doubt about it. They have a conservative bias to snow, and like you stated, its usually more right than wrong. Reading the discos from a couple days out wrt the midweek mauler has been fun (and a welcome departure from normal). See what I did there?
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Its a valid perspective, but on the other side of the challenge is creating public awareness to the POTENTIAL...as there is a rather large difference in 8" vs 18''. They are rarely bullish, so when they are honking, ya gotta listen imo. Its really a no win proposition for them (as we all know), but I could see them getting roasted just as bad for "forgetting a 1 in front of the 8". Its just the way society is unfortunately.
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this is true, but what is also true is that it is known for "losing" the storm only to bring it back inside 24. Not saying that's going to happen here as many models have been pretty firm on something coming, but its a possibility that we've seen a plenty.
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absolutely....gotta keep it real until realtime.
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I almost said i never wanted something more.... Love my Canadian friends...
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Im just not sure how to respond to that.
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12z stays close to what we've been seeing. Its a forum wide 6-12+ event. Couple more runs and I'm going to be able to breathe.
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GFS also holing the line and wants to be crowd pleaser.
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RGEM holds serve. Backed off on ridiculous amounts a bit, but looks good.
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TT stuck at 6hrs.... i think we broke it
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tries to laugh......
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Not me.......
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Really hope you guys cash in. Your WAYYY overdue. Nice to see you in the game.
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and fwiw, most meso's still like this afternoon even here in N Lanco, and we may eek out 2" with the heavier bands still to come. SNOW on snow.
