pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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weve all seen sh!t go sideways. Need to start paying attention to hi res meso's. and bye and large, you are fine on most.
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k...one more. WRF through end of run still loves us as well. LSV mixes for 5 hrs, but flips back for last couple. I'll sign.
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I'm not sure if we'll be smelling the rain or wiping tears. LSV is scarily close on this verbatim...but verbatim....it's a really nice run for all of us. I'd expect voyager to fill in for happy hour as well. Dont worry pal, i still think you are sitting pretty.
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Thats why I like it...but dont really know that I agree with it.. CAD is our way to the promise land. Still think from what the nooners are saying, that happy hour wont dissapoint. Just my hunch. K...now gotta get some work done.
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Look for trends, not perty colors. Pay attention to qpf distribution. 6z 12z
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GFS will be a crowd pleaser....and somehow i'm in the crowd.... Not sure I'm buying it, but I love the sales pitch.... I dont get the tucked solutions and hope they trend east for happy hour.
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@42 GFS still loves us...
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RGEM tucks into western bay. Waiting for panels, but CTP should be liking it. My nerves are about shot tho....lol nice CCB signal as well. starting to see that again.
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ICON says drive to central NYS for jackspot. I hope the home team saves us.
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But DOOONNNT look at the panels that follow....YUUKK. This one will push people to the ledge. Just assume the germans are messing w/ our subforum. ITS UGLY.
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Go loop the 3k and you'll see a similar presentation. We get decent pivot lovin in eastern pa including LSV on 3k.
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For those worried about the westward jump of qpf max, this should calm ones nerves a bit. It's getting close enough to start adding weight to meso's. imo 6z 12z
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verbatim, no dry slot on 12k. Scratch that off "our" worry list. LP shift NE seemed to save us. I liked the subtle increase of CAD and hope that in the next couple runs we continue to see the HP in Quebec do its thingy to the LSV thermal profiles. Track really was nice, so I'm happy w/ that (and am cool w/ sleet in the mix - just not too much).
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In fairness, you can see at 45 the "dampening" in my area (Lanco). I looked S and SW of me to see the movement of the R/S line and I'm ok w/ what 12z did. It's first out of the nooner gate, and seemed to stop the westward progression of the LP 6z 12z
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@42 LP 50 miles NE of 6z.
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@30 slightly colder and HP holding. LP jumped notably north of 6z.
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Cad is a little stronger and deeper at 24. Might help us in SE
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Sometimes I wonder if you've dabbled with dem pills well before this storm pal...
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selinsgrove/sunbury is a good choice. plenty of accommodations right on Rt15.
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lols @Cashtown_Coop smart minds......
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Based on what we've all been seeing, I think western poconos back to sunbury to state college and soutwest to altoona is all easy pickins. Deform axis has been pointed in that general direction for last day or more. Were I you, I'd let the big dogs eat at noon today and see what they spit out, as that SE adjustment we often see close to game time might show up...even though this has been pretty locked in for a while now. Hope that helps. Enjoy the chase.
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Did Mag find the bottom of the bottle last night.....?? Dude, this is your storm......come sit at the control tower and bring this thing in. Your most deserving.
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While major models have been locked in from way out, the "normal" adjustments closer to game time will make a rather large difference for some of us (ME). I've been trying to temper expectations especially since last night showed the more tucked solutions gaining traction. The dryslot shown at 0z NAM launched my first warning shot. Hoping for that slight southern/eastern tick today, as true CTP is locked in for a doozy. I need a slight shift E to keep LSV in the game and not on the bench.
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I went UP from 16" to 18. I'm huggin that map for all its worth.
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Sorry but thats been a rub of mine w/ DT. He makes like 4 updates to every storm and bashes the beegeezus outta anyone that doesnt see what he sees.
