pasnownut

I really dont start to get giddy until after labor day and even then its usually a couple weeks beyond. I can remember September heat waves sitting in high school (w/ NO AIR CONDITIONING)....OMG....how did I/we survive?? if we can pull off some back n forth for the next couple weeks, i'll consider that a win and just be ready to move on when the first cold front of the fall blows in.

I know coming from me, this might sound crazy, but today is what i expect from summer....not what we had so far for the week. Trainer brought up the 5-7 deg forecasted vs realized differential in another post, and it is something that's been in my mind for the last year + as we often have seen it in winter mins/maxs as well. I think next week might have a couple days of that in play. That said, I also looked over overnighters and still see alot of firehose forecasts in the med/extended with a lot of movement as troughs/ridges switch off every 6/12 hours and temps reflect this, so as I suggested yesterday, I'm still not real worried about locking in on sustained heat.....but definitely normalish dog days for sure. And regarding mins for the week so far, every morning I've been at or within 2-3 deg. of forecasted lows. I dont really get too wrapped up in the hitting the mark stuff, due to microclimates that come into play, but do get pisses when forecasts bust 5-7 too low for days on end.

Looks like a week from today we will be looking at another shot of heat and humidity, but I'm not convinced it holds. Overnighters showing typical mood swings and really bouncing around. When you replace ridges w/ troughs....don't panic. Overall theme that I saw was that the NE looks to have some (enough?) troughing around to keep us out of extended heat. CMC and Euro both showing it. If one buys into the GFS....were cooked. Sure have enjoyed this week.

pillow might need a blanket.

Ground was briefly moist at my house.....thats it.

this report has nothing to do w/ storms, but everything to do w/ being bored kids in summer.

such a tease you are Mr. NAM

lol. i used the basketball analogy because of all of the bball chatter the other day. I couldnt tell you a thing about who plays where. Dont follow the sport.

So...........now lets all have a happy Friday and coast into a beautiful stretch of summer weather. Enjoy all. Got a busy day ahead, but cant wait to take the HD (and my wife...lol) out for dinner tonight.

its much like the saying we use in the winter....you cant shovel potential, or since there is so much sports talk of late (fine btw), its like the US mens basketball team.....lots of talent, but if they dont mix/jive well together....well you know the result.

Yeah that was a little spooky... Hope they are all ok.

Cloud cover throughout the day held temps down and having no sun was why I thought the widespread severe calls might be in a bit of trouble. Its like having a gallon of gasoline sitting right next to lighter. Without a mechanism to make the spark trigger.....its just a gallon of gasoline. Soon as I saw the clouds holding strong......I thought many calls for severe were in trouble. That's not a broadbrush call, just saying that I felt much of the LSV was going to have less action then was being called for. Sun creates heat...heat creates lift....lift creates spin/mixing...spin creates sparks..... tboomers. Extreme western and eastern areas had breaks of sun and enough energy/spark to fire off some action. I was watching the satellite loops and we were socked in early while SW and SE Pa had breaks in the deck. No chest thumping here....just had a hunch and went with it.

green ass cheeks w/ a crack in da middle...... told ya so.

looking at radar, im thinking you might get more than me as the asscrack looks to be headed right for me here in lanco...... go ahead...enjoy the visual.

i'd love to see what they look at during times like these.

guess they like this look eh?

I dont think anyone would argue that you or Blizz gets the honors. You 2 can fight it out....

complete with SNOOOWmaps?

need bigger boat....lol

you forgot our plain clothed brethren in my hood.

dude, make room for 2 in your Rouzerville Raft, cause I like the nam's and find them useful during the winter.

We could rename Hburg the asscrack of Pa. stuff to see on either side, but not much in between..... I'm Just Playin sorta..............

just like the 12k had yesterday...... HMMMMM

I'll wait for it like I wait for anafrontal snows.................................................................................................

yep....pre fontal w/ little/no sun....and frankly quite a thick cloud deck for much of the day here in the LSV. Maybe your area is different.