colonel717

Canadian RGEM did run yet? It is running and is 2 inches more so far than previous run.

So make a pick for your back yard total. I'm going with 14.5 IMBY

There it is 20. Looks like near New Ken for ROTT

Let's see if Icon can keep it going. Looks juicier again. So far almost 2 inches more. I don't think any model has given us 20 inches could this be the one.

Its getting to radar watching time.

Had a dry spot through Ohio that filled in for us.

NAMs are going to be causing panic in other areas

NAM totals back up

It's way out of its range.

2010 was 3-6 the day of and the NAM kept going up if I recall. That was Jeff V infamous call of not upping his totals. There was way more upside with that storm. This one doesn't have high upside and it has been modeled well overall.

What are everyone's expectations and is there a total that if we don't reach it you view as a disappointment? Given how much time I invested, the consistency in amounts shown on models, I am setting my disappointment level at less than a foot. A foot is so rare here we have a great chance and to not make it would be disappointing to me.

There are several huge members on the GEFS. More benefitting our area than I expected. Thought there'd be more on the coast.

Not sure it was that or there was just more precip.

Euro looks like it is juiced

This one is in the bag... Time to focus on reeling in next weekend potential. We will most likely be a western edge hit if anything. I wonder how the snow pack after this storm will affect the next one. How will snow pack help set up the baroclinic zone.

Wow GFS totals went up so far. ended up about the same

Ha ha. Someone who I trust. He is from Cranberry and went to PSU Meteorology. He said just look at the precipitable water image and you will see how much moisture.

From another board on the latest PGH NWS discussion "I believe they are wrong but they are thinking the warm nose cuts further north through West Virginia. I think many mets (outside of content now) are underestimating the QPF that's going to come north. Part of it is that you really don't want to bust by predicting too high because you've gotten the masses in a frenzy, but I also feel that what has been shown this year is that you need to add 10-20% to the performance of the system. Maybe the warm nose does cut in, but I'll take my chances and say that that low doesn't hang on as long."

RGEM

ICON not letting go of high totals. That was ICON best run yet.

The heaviest snow is Sunday evening around 7. That would be nice. Average almost inch an hour last 12 hours of storm

3k looks better with a lot of snow left