colonel717

Show me that on Sunday and I'll maybe believe it. I'm not saying this is our last chance, but it could be. Extended warm up likely after Monday. Looked like GFS was brewing something end of the run on 13th after the warm up but way too far out.

Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm.

Glad it went south and now the follow up storm came south. CMC decent but a little too north.

4.5 days away pretty much in the bullseye. Like that will work out... Plus EURO has it way north and later. I'd like to see the models show it south of us for now. Then bring it north Sat and Sunday.

Too bad cant lock in GFS right now for this storm.

Anyone who follows Organic Forecasting method from a poster who follows the method... BSR - Case studies were examined and showed about three-week lag between a strong cyclone in the Bering Sea Region and severe weather or very cold weather over some portion of eastern two-thirds of the USA. "The BeringSeaRule, to my eyes - flirts with all time history It supported historical blizzard of recent days. All I'm gonna say right now."

What a brutal result this would be...

Looks like a decent line of snow showers is building from the west.

The guy who runs the site is a ball buster and can give certain posters abuse. But they have been around for a long time. Its 95% NY centric so you have to put up with that. As RDD said SnowMiser is a Pgh met in some capacity. He is from NJ so that is his connection there and lives in Allison Park now and works for NWS. If there is a storm like this weekend, I stay away from that site. I can't take all of the gloating...

Getting nice heavy squall now. Over running is nice but in general doesn't have the other dynamic effects. There's some I'm guessing 30-40 million plus people covering 7 states who saw very intense snow from this bombogenesis coastal. Extremely large area of 15 to 36 inches of snow. Yeah, always tough to nail the western edges of these storms and some get screwed by subsidence but they get pretty frequently, they pretty much eventually even out. One of the downfalls living here is not getting in on these kind of long duration intense snows other than once or twice in a lifetime. Some of the bombogenesis storms of the last 40+ years. February 18–19, 1979 (Presidents’ Day Storm) The Megalopolitan Blizzard of 1983 The Storm of the Century, 1993 The Blizzard of 1996 The Presidents Day Storm of 2003 Snowmageddon, 2010 Feb 5-6, Feb 9-10 The Christmas Blizzard of 2010 Winter Storm Jonas, 2016 The Bomb Cyclone of 2018 Feb 22-23 Storm These below weren’t as widespread. NY city doesn’t get as much snow as surrounding areas but can see how frequent they get 12+ storms in last 20 years. The North American Storm Complex of 2006: This complex storm system, which affected the Eastern United States in December 2006, dumped around 14 inches of snow on New York City. The Winter Storm of 2011: This powerful nor’easter, which hit the city in December 2011, dumped around 13 inches of snow on the city. The Winter Storm of 2015: This storm, which hit the city in January 2015, dumped around 13 inches of snow on the city. The Winter Storm of 2017: This storm, which hit the city in March 2017, dumped around 12 inches of snow on the city. The Winter Storm of 2018: This storm, which hit the city in January 2018, dumped around 12 inches of snow on the city.

Warwick Rhode Island, 5 miles from Providence has measured 32.8" of snow. This shatters the previous record, and is more snow than the Blizzard of 1978.

Paul is not my real name I just use that for that site. Its a Biblical reference to Apostle Paul.

RGEM would be perfect for Thursday.

I'm sitting at 45.5 in as of midnight. So exceeded climate. Imagine the airport should be pretty near climate.

What is that showing? I doesn't show up for me.

Had some nice bursts overnight, right after mid-night. Was surprised to hear the plow about 4am. I'd say this overperformed. Looks like the storm in the east under performed for many but those who got it are getting crushed. Central and southern Delaware, Central and Coastal NJ, Long Island, Rhode Island getting smoked right now. My brother in Delaware only got 8-9 inches. All afternoon yesterday the snow stayed about 10 miles away. Then he just missed on the good bands. I was frustrated for him.

I have never seen one of them come to fruition when it says slight risk. The storm today had moderate or high risk for coast areas when it first came out.

Can you imagine running out McKinnon, McDavid, and Makar for OT and losing. Loved the celebration after. Not a smile to be found on Canada. Imagine none of them will even display their silver medal. Nice to see 2 yinzers on the team and get the gold.

EURO looks loaded with chances. Brings back single digit to below zero temps near end of run.

I don't think I got more than inch. Weird that others didnt have accumulation on hard surfaces. I always say my yard is it's own microclimate. I must face perfectly north that it keeps me colder so it was able to accumulate on driveway and walkway.

@RitualOfTheTroutNew Ken looks to be in some good squalls. Didn't think it would stick on hard surfaces right away but it has..