colonel717

Some big potential in some of these.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Winter 2026/2027 First Forecast: Super El Niño Drives a Major Weather Divide

https://x.com/WeatherCast3/status/2089934351911858402

I'm not used to all of the snow positivity this far in advance for winter. Being set-up for the ole rug pull...

Looks like CPa and west could have snowy Dec

The clickbait sites hype begins,,,

Surprised we are seeing some positives in the long range models at this point for winter. We will see if we get surprised. https://www.farmersalmanac.com/farmers-almanac-2026-2027-winter-weather-forecast Winter 2026–2027 is shaping up to be a season of sharp contrasts, with an active southern storm track, quick bursts of snow and bitter cold across the North, and a tricky mix of rain, sleet, ice, and heavy wet snow in the Northeast. Keep the shovel, rain boots, and ice scraper close—this winter may bring plenty of surprises. A Tricky Winter for the Northeast The Northeast may face one of the season’s most complicated winter patterns. Coastal communities could receive more rain or mixed precipitation, while inland areas may be hit by several rounds of heavy, wet snow—particularly during January and February. Small shifts in storm tracks and temperatures could make the difference between rain, sleet, freezing rain, and accumulating snow. Residents should be prepared for forecasts to change quickly as storms approach.

I think there will be additional chances especially for your area around 4/28-5/3

Looking at some initial signs for next winter JAMSTEC April update includes first DEC-FEB forecast.

Snow in May...? May see some flakes early next week. I have no desire for A/C weather. Have not turned it on yet, but may need to this week. The polar vortex split attempt (wave-2) that occurred back in early Feb will significantly impact our large-scale wx pattern in late Apr & May as the circulation & temperature anomalies from it propagate into the troposphere, leading to increased high-latitude blocking (-NAO/-AO) https://x.com/webberweather/status/2042246921671336290?

Looks like we could see some decent squalls if they hold together

I am not ready yet...I have been getting some sleet and some heavier snow squalls. I'm good with not getting fully into spring for a few more weeks.

Love these squalls

Heavy snow here, Wow. Almost whiteout.

Heavy snow here now. Laying on mulch and roofs so far

Hrrr like Beaver Co thru Cranberry

Yeah here too. As I lay here with power out unable to sleep because my neighbors generator is obnoxiously noisy. He just got it installed last week. I can't believe how loud it is. My power just came back and his generator is still running.

Live reporting on the storms https://youtu.be/FJoVzDHD9tc

https://x.com/judah47/status/2029596864182452288 Judah Cohen @judah47 I can't emphasize this enough. Yes a #PolarVortex (PV) split happened but the predicted #cold for 3rd week of March in Eastern US isn't related to the classical downward influence. Instead it's our familiar friend the PV stretch, textbook looking at 100mb, NAO is raging positive!

https://x.com/judah47/status/2028819681486745883 Bad habits are hard to break. As I wrote in yesterday's blog, #PolarVortex (PV) splits this week but the PV all winter really just wants to stretch! Split rapidly transitions to another robust PV stretch & with rapidly expanding cold across North America. Beware the Ides of March

Both the GFS and AIEuro like 12-15th to bring winter back.

Judah Cohen blog on PV stretch https://published.aer.com/aoblog/aoblog.html#PLS