Mesoscale Discussion 0147
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0317 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Areas affected...portions of central into northern Illinois
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 172117Z - 172315Z
SUMMARY...Moderate to occasionally heavy snow is expected to
continue for at least a few more hours across central into northern
Illinois. Up to 1 inch/hour snowfall rates are possible with the
heaviest bands.
DISCUSSION...KLOT and KILX dual-polarimetric radar data and surface
observations have shown moderate to heavy snow falling across
central into northern IL over the past few hours. While the 850 mb
cyclone centered over the IL/IN continues to propagate northeast,
away from the mid Mississippi Valley area, 20Z mesoanalysis
continues to show modest 700 mb WAA and associated frontogenesis
taking place across central into northern IL, where a saturated,
sub-freezing troposphere is in place. The WAA and frontogenesis will
continue to foster efficient dendrite growth within a
southwest-northeast oriented snow band across central into northern
IL for at least a few more hours, where moderate to heavy snow is
expected. Up to 1 inch/hr snowfall rates may accompany stronger
portions of the snow band.
..Squitieri.. 02/17/2022