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Thundersnow12

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Everything posted by Thundersnow12

  1. HRRR continues to dry up here. Not good. 3” will be a win
  2. Joe says your LE thoughts are lol and can’t wait for GFS to verify
  3. Watching this one from afar in Colorado. Definitely a significant jump in the GEFS mean compared to last several runs on the MSLP/6hr precip plots.
  4. 0z Euro tonight still looks decently solid so figured why not. Surface temps look marginal during most of the event but potential for a fairly juiced system overall (2.00"+ QPF over Cook county this run) and an area of some good snow amounts on the NW side looks possible. System of interest is still well out over the northern PAC and wont come ashore till Thursday evening.
  5. Mid 60s out here Tuesday. What a snoozer so far back home unfortunately
  6. There was accumulating snow across portions of the western burbs of Chicago in mid May of 2014. 5/16 or 5/17 I think.
  7. The early WSW's from DVN yesterday before noon should've never been issued. Could've waited another cycle or two.
  8. Euro isn’t out for another 30-45 mins and can we stop with the unrealistic 10:1 maps as ratios won’t be that high
  9. Plumes mean with another nice bump...ORD mean up to 7.5” but still a lot of spread from clunkers to 12-15”
  10. Defo/pivot feature end up further south but barely moves and ends up still good
  11. Euro going south and weaker. Brad Maynard on speed dial.
  12. Euro bumped back up again. 4-5" for Chi metro
  13. Advisories expanded north so LOT agrees.
  14. Can we get a motion to ban 10:1 maps? Rarely is the case where ratios are 10:1 an entire event and take northern Illinois for example....climo ratios hover around 12-13:1 anyways. Kuchera can be overdone at times but will do a much better job with changing ratios throughout an event based on the temperature profile.
  15. RGEM seems to be more bullish stacking snow due to it having colder sfc temps. By 3z tomorrow night it has 28-29 while most guidance is 31ish.
  16. 1-2" outta do it here. GFS/NAM on their own.
  17. Yeah, 18z NAM has nearly 24 hours of snow for the Chicago metro area when you get added support on Thursday.
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