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Thundersnow12

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  1. Thundersnow12
    12/26/09
  2. Thundersnow12
    HRRR continues to dry up here. Not good. 3” will be a win
  3. Thundersnow12
    Joe says your LE thoughts are lol and can’t wait for GFS to verify
  4. Thundersnow12
    Poor Purdue
  5. Thundersnow12
    Geos magnet alive and well
  6. Thundersnow12
    Watching this one from afar in Colorado. Definitely a significant jump in the GEFS mean compared to last several runs on the MSLP/6hr precip plots.
  7. Thundersnow12
    NAM concerned. Joey not a fan
  8. Thundersnow12
    0z Euro tonight still looks decently solid so figured why not. Surface temps look marginal during most of the event but potential for a fairly juiced system overall (2.00"+ QPF over Cook county this run) and an area of some good snow amounts on the NW side looks possible. System of interest is still well out over the northern PAC and wont come ashore till Thursday evening.
  9. Thundersnow12
    Mid 60s out here Tuesday. What a snoozer so far back home unfortunately
  10. Thundersnow12
    There was accumulating snow across portions of the western burbs of Chicago in mid May of 2014. 5/16 or 5/17 I think.
  11. Thundersnow12
    Has been some very interesting GEFS members the last 36 hours or so
  12. Thundersnow12
    https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/winter-outlook-warmer-than-average-for-many-wetter-in-north
  13. Thundersnow12
    No talk of tomorrow? ND looks good tomorrow and eyeing srn MN myself on Wednesday
  14. Thundersnow12
    Victor Gensini and I have 5/14-5/25 blocked off for a trip to the plains, dependent on the pattern of course.
  15. Thundersnow12
    Victor Gensini and I are leading trip 3 with COD and we are out June 2nd-June 11th. Both optimistic as things look currently.
  16. Thundersnow12
    Departing Friday morning and probably chasing northeast/eastern NM on Saturday then some better days to follow across the plains. We'll see how the models shake out
  17. Thundersnow12
    Leaving on CoD's trip 2 next Friday.. 12z op GFS run looks like it came around to the GEFS members idea the last several runs of a good trof signal by next weekend and the week beginning 5/16 along with a good EML being able to come out with an open Gulf. We will see how things shake out but I'm fairly optimistic
  18. Thundersnow12
    Yeah the 12z Euro looks pretty nasty on Tuesday from srn KS to the Red River, dryline stays west of I-35 with 55kt flow at H5, upper 60 dews and 3,000-4,000 J/kg.
  19. Thundersnow12
    Verbatim the 0z Euro looks quite good next Sun-Tues (day 7-9) more so Mon/Tues across the srn plains..
  20. Thundersnow12
    My second trip leaves Friday and after a little break of model watching, I finally looked this morning.. The 0z Euro and 6z GFS have me cautiously optimistic for some good chances across the nrn plains beginning as early as Monday possibly but hopefully getting even better just after that.
  21. Thundersnow12
    Yep Victor and I have been loving Tueday down there. Anytime you get 60 dews in NM with solid shear, look out. We each have seen tornadoes on 5/19 in three different years
  22. Thundersnow12
    Yeah GFS ensembles are trying to latch onto the next weekend trough, maybe Thur-Sat or Fri-Sun before Memorial day and the 12z op Euro has it too.
  23. Thundersnow12
    The 0z Euro itself for Saturday does look pretty ominous even though it has the morning round convection, destabilizes behind into across north TX into western/sw OK with 4000 j/kg and dew points in the low 70's as that jet comes across. Our trip is probably going to leave very early Friday morning if something like the NAM ends up verifying for that afternoon/evening.
  24. Thundersnow12
    Yeah it really does look great beginning around 5/16 or a day after. The agreement continues to improve too. Loop the 0z GFS ensemble spaghetti plots on our CoD site. Good agreement right through day 9. The best thing is you get a good EML going during that period and the GOM just floods open as you keep reloading the west.
  25. Thundersnow12
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