Interstate

I picked the wrong month to quick drinking

My son’s baseball practice in Glen Rock PA should be fun. 11-3

36.5/34.7 after a high of 39 here 21057

I can tell you right now the ground is still frozen solid.

RGEM came around finally

It is sunny here but losing heat. Down to 37.8/35.1. The dewpoint has not budged.

Does it take into consideration todays rain?

38.1/35.2

I don’t even expect more than an inch here in 21057. I am even under the WSW. These types of events never work out around here waiting for the cold.

I was just going to post this. Better for the northern counties.

Is this just for reporting stations or can you do it for any location?

Yep as it should be. That is the way the cold air will be coming in. it is all about how fast the cold air gets here.

When was the last time we got a Miller A?

I will be happy to have snow on the ground for 2+ straight weeks. When was the last time that happened?

Yeah but for most of us the spells doom. Another shift like that and we are blanked like the RGEM. Which was even worse.

Well the GFS just went way NW with the heavier snows. Relatively speaking. Cold air usually comes in slowed than model.

Model guidance appear to have delayed somewhat the advance of the Arctic air across the local area Sunday compared to recent days with the Canadian model being the slowest model. Anyhow, a second stronger area of low pressure will pass across southern VA Sunday afternoon with the ECMWF indicating the low pressure center passing across northern NC, GFS across southern VA, and Canadian model across central VA. This will bring moderate precip across the area Sunday, before exiting Sunday evening. Limitations for a big snow storm are fast movement of this system (i.e relatively short duration of precip 6-12 hours), and lack of a closed upper air system. However, it looks like there could be a 6-hr period, mainly 18Z Sun-00Z Mon where precip rates could be quite heavy. Winter Storm Watches were upgraded to Warnings where cold air will be locked in place, but expect additional Advisories to be issued later today or tonight further south where temps are more marginal/questionable. Precip will exit early Sunday evening with very cold air filtering in on brisk NW winds. Extreme Cold Watches remain in effect and may need to be extended south and east.

I doubt there will be. Most likely a WWA. I think getting 5 inches uniformity will be hard out of this one.

RGEM still says no and is even worse.

Watches and warnings don’t make it snow. I am under a warning my PAC is only got 2-4 inches.

Anyone see the moon around 9PM tonight. It was crazy big. I have never seen it look so big in my life. I wish I would have gotten a picture but I was driving.

Famous last words.

The CMC and RGEM have not moved for days

This is my fear. Models always over do the speed of cold air

You should be loving life with this run.