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Posts posted by NavarreDon

  1. Sometimes it’s a good idea to look at things downstream. This is part of MOB’s morning disco. I’d recommend reading the rest as they’re a damn good crew. This is what you want to see for a bigger Mnt/FH snow!

    .NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Sunday/...An upper level shortwave
    trough dives south over the Plains tonight, organizing into a
    closed low as it moves. The upper low moves east over the Lower
    Mississippi River Valley to over the forecast area by Sunday night
    as a decreasingly positively tilted system, then increasingly
    negatively tilted as it moves east of the forecast area late
    Saturday night through Sunday. A surface low that has developed
    over Texas this afternoon moves east-southeast along the northern
    Gulf coast to over the forecast area by early Saturday evening. A
    weak warm front organizes along the Gulf coast tonight ahead of
    the approaching surface low, but with relatively weak low level
    southerly flow ahead of approaching system, the front will remain
    along the coast. A strong cold front moves east over the forecast
    area beginning Saturday night, ushering in a colder and drier


    • Like 3
  2. 3 hours ago, Maggie Ace said:

    Good morning folks. It's been enjoyable leading up to the storm. The WPC just updated the Surface Low Track forecast. 


    Boom for you guys! The big boys at WPC put no stock in the quirky NAM runs. that low track is gonna be gold for the Mnts. I wouldn't fly over the cliff because of lower qpf totals in some areas. This tends to happen with models as the event draws near. Often times it's closer to the earlier higher totals. As with every big Mnt snow event the totals will vary wildly. Good luck to all of you!!!

    • Like 7
  3. It’s looking great for almost everyone in the Mnts & Foothills. As for the FBRV snow hole Jason made some great points. I’ve seen it be way overdone by the models with this set up. Not saying it’s not correct but I’m skeptical it will be as dramatic as depicted. As always with SE snowstorms nothing is certain but as far as modeling, setup’s, ect it doesn’t get much better than this!!! Strap in fellas it’s gonna be a wild one.


    • Like 4
  4. By the way, we’re heading to Black Mountain.  For many reasons:
    • Happy wife, happy life.  =)
    • Cousins with whom the kids can play in the snow.
    • (Who am I kidding?  I will also be playing in the snow.)
    • Pretty much guaranteed snow for the duration of the event.
    • 8-inch floor, according to the graphic posted above.
    • Monumental snowstorm experience.
    Let’s do this!  Can’t wait!


    • Thanks 1
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