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NavarreDon

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Posts posted by NavarreDon

  1. Pensacola gusted to 47 when the “center” went by. Based on radar I’d say there was a strong possibility this became a TD just before landfall 

    Agreed, will they do post analysis & if so wonder what it’ll lead to?


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  2. Sometimes it’s a good idea to look at things downstream. This is part of MOB’s morning disco. I’d recommend reading the rest as they’re a damn good crew. This is what you want to see for a bigger Mnt/FH snow!

    .NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Sunday/...An upper level shortwave
    trough dives south over the Plains tonight, organizing into a
    closed low as it moves. The upper low moves east over the Lower
    Mississippi River Valley to over the forecast area by Sunday night
    as a decreasingly positively tilted system, then increasingly
    negatively tilted as it moves east of the forecast area late
    Saturday night through Sunday. A surface low that has developed
    over Texas this afternoon moves east-southeast along the northern
    Gulf coast to over the forecast area by early Saturday evening. A
    weak warm front organizes along the Gulf coast tonight ahead of
    the approaching surface low, but with relatively weak low level
    southerly flow ahead of approaching system, the front will remain
    along the coast. A strong cold front moves east over the forecast
    area beginning Saturday night, ushering in a colder and drier
    airmass.


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    • Like 3
  3. 3 hours ago, Maggie Ace said:

    Good morning folks. It's been enjoyable leading up to the storm. The WPC just updated the Surface Low Track forecast. 

    lowtrack_ensembles.gif

    Boom for you guys! The big boys at WPC put no stock in the quirky NAM runs. that low track is gonna be gold for the Mnts. I wouldn't fly over the cliff because of lower qpf totals in some areas. This tends to happen with models as the event draws near. Often times it's closer to the earlier higher totals. As with every big Mnt snow event the totals will vary wildly. Good luck to all of you!!!

    • Like 7
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