IUsedToHateCold

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS on February 4.  Find the puffy coat, and firewood….throw in the windchill…. 

If the temperature ever reaches -6 degrees in Bowie, MD I will buy every member of this subforum a beer. I’m not joking.

I can come back to this thread after a few days, see the number of posts by Ji, and instantly know things aren’t going well 
 

Here’s to hoping it turns around soon. 

28 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said:

Might as well start a February Mid/Long Range thread at this point. January is cooked for the Mid-Atlantic. Forget about measurable snow.
Nothing will pan out for this month.
Heading for the Reaper.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

There are open rooms in the Panic Room. Hope to see you there…. Soon

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB Extended GEFS control for the 35 day period, yah, I know but this place has gotten so depressing…and you always must have hope as you get ready to start the New Year!

This says there is a Jan 2016 repeat + another MECS on top of that. Lol. 

4 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

GFS fantasy run

Just looked… that’s going to make some people happy 

14 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Florida stole our snow 

 

Unreal. 

6 degrees for the low. Now up to 14. 

9 degrees in Bowie! Walk earlier was fantastic 

11 here in Bowie. 

Once temps drop into the mid 20s any wet roads will start to freeze. Still looking pretty wet out there at 30 degrees 

32 and mood flakes. Flash freeze is almost certainly going to be an issue around here. We dropped 13 degrees in less than 90 minutes 

Finally changed to snow! 

The DC hole is real

Definitely getting the graupel mix in the heavy band now 

Sun peaking through to the east as the line approaches. Surreal.

The big slug of precip is approaching 95. Assuming that’s where the front is.

44 and rain, eying the front to the west

Just now, anotherman said:

Not for a few days, at least.

Anything that sticks won't melt, but the moment the precip changes to snow won't be the moment it starts sticking. Temperature will be dropping rapidly for sure, but the ground needs to get cold enough and that will take some time. Without some sustained precip behind the front we get zero accumulations. Northern locations probably do get some accumulations because they are going to get more precip per the models. For us down by DC it's not looking great - perhaps a burst changeover to snow and then that's a wrap. Things could change, but it doesn't look great. 

3 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

how is that dry lmao, literal 40 dbz snow on changeover. if you can't enjoy that, you should move to buffalo bc your expectations are way too high. 

Yeah it's going to melt though. Will be pretty to watch briefly. 

10 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

hrrr just keeps getting better and better for tomorrow. not sure why is there is some zr bc the whole column is below freezing so best to ignore that and think of it as snow

Really need what the GFS was spitting out a couple of days ago for my location (a nice straight wall of precip on a N/S axis). This just looks too dried up. Other models are even drier. At this point I'd take .25 of accumulation, but even that is probably not happening. 

Sigh. 

Up to 52. Hoping to stay dry slotted so I can take a walk later 

49 degrees. We torchin' I'd love to take a walk if it's warm out later and there's no rain, but knowing our luck the rain will pivot and we'll get it straight through. 

44 degrees. Warming up fast. Makes running boxes out to the recycling bin a bit more pleasant. 

2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

To be fair we have about $10k worth of extreme cold weather mountaineering equipment.  Descended mount rainier at -20F ambient with thunder snow and lightning BELOW us on the way down.  This is downright luxury compared to that lol.  Unlike mountaineering...in this case if it gets too gnarly we can just get in the truck and drive home.  The current non-mountaineering benchmark we had was 4 days/3 nights snowshoe backpacking at the Dolly Sods where the temp never got above zero the entire trip.  This ain't our first rodeo.  

Awesome! Should be a blast then. Have fun!

5 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

What? Yes it is. 95% of the time, our snowstorm is their snowstorm and vice versa and our temps are within a couple degrees of one another. Sometimes, they partially hit on Miller B's that whiff us because they develop too late but it's essentially the same. Even NYC is pretty similar outside of the Miller B's or the rare west to east storm that moves north of us but south of them and they get some snow. New England is a different story.

PHL is 50 miles north of Baltimore and that can make a difference in snowstorms. I would say it's similar, yeah, but not the same. The argument is largely semantic though, arguably no two places have the same climate. I just can't stand to say that they are the same when they get snowstorms that we don't.