BrianW

Yeah. Upton has 1-2 inches here. Rainfall totals look to be around 3/4 of an inch well inland, to about an 1 1/2 inches across the majority of the region, with an additional quarter inch of so possible Thursday night. Thus a storm total of about 1 to 2 inches is forecast for this system over a long duration of over 30 hours.

Danbury +8.0 New Haven +5.6 Groton +4.3 Bridgeport +3.6

Its all about the soil temperatures which are currently like +15 over the 10 year average and +10 over the 5 year average. The last real sustained cold here was back in late February.

Nice memorial you did for your companion. That is our rescue pup from Georgia Woody. We got him when he was 5 months old and he will be 2 years old in June. He's a Chihuahua/Dachshund mix and absolutely loves laying in the sun.

Your probably a bit warmer there in SW CT. You have tons of stuff growing and blooming as well? The daffodils are going to be flowering in another week or so here. Skunk cabbage came up about 2 weeks ago which is insanely early.

It was a live view from this morning from my ring camera. I had the patio put in last fall and that darker grass is kbg sod I installed last year. Its still a little dormant. I live a few hundred feet from the shoreline and we were recently reclassified to climate zone 4. I had some cold hearty herbs on the deck that grew almost all winter.

Crazy early spring underway here. Forsythia blooming and daffodils and other bulbs are coming up. Seems about 2-3 weeks early. Haven't been below freezing in almost 2 weeks and HVN is +5.2 MTD. First cut happening today and I have a ton of weeds to pull under my deck.

I use organic Milorganite but was just reading that fertilizer prices have skyrocketed. Russia is the world's largest producer. Now might be a good time to stock up on all your fertilizer. The Green Markets North American Fertilizer Index, already high, jumped 16% last Friday. Urea, a major fertilizer ingredient, went up 22%. Potash, another major ingredient (Russia is the top producer), increased 34% in Brazil, the world’s leading fertilizer importer. The price for standard “starter fertilizer” 10-34-0 is up 49% from a year ago and likely to go much higher.

I read its also estimated to cost like $13 million per mile for a large natural gas transmission line to be run to New England. The permits alone will never happen as NY and all of the New England states have legislation to reduce carbon emissions by like 80% by 2050. New England would be better off spending billions on more wind and solar than a gas pipeline. I don't think people realize how much potential offshore wind is possible in New England. Even factoring in converting everything to heat pumps we would have 5x the electricity we need in New England. New England could generate more than five times its projected 2050 electricity demand with offshore wind alone. Massachusetts has the potential to generate the most offshore wind power of any state, while Maine has by far the highest ratio of potential offshore wind power to its current and future electricity needs. For projections of 2050 electricity demand, the report assumes that U.S. buildings, industry and transportation will all be powered by electricity rather than fossil fuels by mid-century. https://environmentmassachusetts.org/news/mae/new-report-new-england-has-vast-potential-offshore-wind-energy

You can track the real time fuels and prices at ISO New Englands website. https://www.iso-ne.com/ Oil is still used on extremely cold days and hot high demand days in the summer. There are oil fired peaker power plants that sit idle most of the year and will turn on when the price of wholesale electricity goes sky high. During a cold snap I did the math and the New Haven oil plant was getting like 20x the normal wholesale power rate. The plant was making a few million in one day at those rates.

Great article explaining it. Why Is New England Paying The Equivalent Of $180 Oil For Natural Gas? The gas that lands in Boston has historically been sourced from fields in Trinidad & Tobago, Norway, and Russia. https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2022/02/01/why-is-new-england-paying-the-equivalent-of-180-oil-for-natural-gas/

Imagine if we had these prices in Jan Feb. The cheapest Heating oil at the New Haven terminal is $4.99 a gallon right now. New England prices on cash heating oil right.

The billboard I drive by that has the price listed everyday had $4.24 a gallon this morning. It was like $3.49 a week ago. Natural gas prices are up 60% in Europe and that is going to have a huge impact here. I can guarantee we are going to be sending tanker after tanker of LNG to Europe to cut off as much gas from Russia. The Natural gas futures for the summer in New England are sky high as well. Huge electricity rate increases are almost certain when utilities adjust to summer rates in June.

I posted a few weeks ago about all the military traffic here along the shoreline. Blackhawks formations flying really low at weird times like at like 5 am. It looks like either a big training exercise or we are on high alert. Im going to guess its not training. There are c-130s all over New England flying grids today and there is a Stratotanker going up and down the New England coast. You can track all the military traffic here when their transponders are on. Click U on the top right to show military traffic. Take a look at Europe right now. You can usually see all the flights into eastern Poland bringing supplies and the recon flights along the border. https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

Drones are going to play a big role. The Ukrainian's have been posting tons of videos using their Turkish Bayraktar TB2 with devastating effects against the Russian's. They supposedly wiped out out an entire column of Chechen fighters in one of the videos and have been hitting high value targets with it left and right. The guy who designed and its named after Selçuk Bayraktar went to MIT.

A friend of mine who was in the special forces and did multiple tours in Afghanistan/Iraq told me on Saturday that tons of really elite guy's from the US/UK/Israel and other countries were going in or already there to fight as volunteers. Sure enough I just saw buzzfeed has an article on it this morning. It also seems many countries are openly posting now that's its ok for their citizens to volunteer with Latvia even voting to change its law to allow people to volunteer. My buddy said its going to get interesting there soon especially with all the donated weapons coming in. https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/christopherm51/american-nato-military-veterans-fight-russia-with-ukraine

This one of the best sources for live stuff happening on the ground. Everything happening is pretty much being updated live there. Most people over there are using telegram. Looks like missiles where just fired from Belarus. I will also say it looks like the Ukrainian Forces are taking out a ton of armor and aircraft. Tons of videos have been coming out of helicopters being taken out and whole Russian convoys being hit. https://liveuamap.com/

Yeah. Protecting Groton is my guess.

There has been a crazy amount of military planes and formations of helicopters flying really low along Long Island Sound the last few days. Seems we are on high alert. I heard a squadron of F-35s stopped in Burlington VT the other night at 3am on their way to Europe and woke a lot of people up.

You most likely plugged the filter and nozzle when all the sediment got mixed up at the bottom of the tank when you added diesel. How old is the tank and what kind of filter do you have? If you have one of those old woven cloth ones they don't filter much at all. If you have the older one have the tech install the new style 10 micron spin on filter that looks like a car oil filter. Those will filter 100 times better than a cloth sock. A new nozzle and filter should have you back up running. Make sure the tech cleans and vacuums the soot out of the heat exchanger. Even a tiny layer can drop the efficiency big time. Yours is no doubt sooted up as it was probably running dirty for a long time before you noticed the soot. On a related note I am hearing stories of huge wait times for oil and propane deliveres in NNE.

@Ginx snewx Looks like the Thames and Connecticut River are frozen and snow covered pretty far North?

Really hard one to measure. I had about 3.5 when I went to bed around 11 and maybe picked up an additional .5 overnight so I'm going with 4 inches here.

Yeah. Looks like he's getting crushed right now.

Looks like the parking lot of the Ultra Violet strip club in Willimantic? I hear there's a better one in Tolland...