BrianW

Upton has 64 for HVN and a -5 departure Fri after near record heat that comes right back.. Temperatures ahead of the front will be 5 to near 10 degrees above normal, and around 5 below normal Thursday night into Friday behind the front. However, at this time no temperature records are expected to be broken. CAPE and instability will be mostly elevated Wednesday night and Thursday, with CAPE peaking 500-1000 J/kg. Forcing will be moderate. Therefore, used isolated thunder coverage. High pressure dominates into Sunday, moving offshore with a return flow setting up and temperatures returning to above normal.

Awesome sunset with the clouds rolling in.

Had to break out the 4 ply today.. what a special one.

82/72 with full sun since 10am. Another record month coming for solar production.

77/68 NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Forecast on track with no significant changes to the forecast. Another warm and humid day on tap for mid September on a SW-S flow. Look for temperatures despite clouds at times to get a good 10 degrees above the seasonal norms. Dewpoint readings will be well into the upper 60s along south facing shorelines, with lower to middle 60s dew points in most places. With the unseasonably warm and humid air mass in place there will be some instability out ahead of an approaching cold front.

What an absolute furnace here overnight..

You know its a special one when your overnight low is a degree or two off from the high...

Birds and insects.

81 with a low of 70. BDR and HVN are almost certainly putting up some record highs today NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... BUFKIT soundings indicate 850mb temps climb to around 13-14C this afternoon, which should yield low-to-mid 80s for most, or about 5-10 degrees above climo normals. In fact, daily record highs are not out of the question for ISP and BDR should temperatures end up a degree or two warmer than forecast.

I lived in Burlington in the early 2000's and just visited recently and was shocked at how much that city has changed. The amount of homeless and people just shooting heroin in public was nuts. City hall park was a depressing scene . My friend there says the amount of crime like shootings, car and bike thefts has been off the charts.

One of the hottest summers here on record. New Haven's (HVN) departures. May +4.2 Jun +1.7 July +4.2 2nd hottest July on record. Aug +5.6 Hottest August on record. Sep +3.8

Looks warm down here on the shoreline. Upton has 80s from Saturday all through next week here. In terms of weather, we looking at mostly dry conditions though much of the long term period. The only exception will be Monday and Tuesday, where we have just a chance of some showers. The best chances for showers will remain across the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT. Stuck fairly close to NBM for this range. If the front ends up being closer to the local area, expect rain chances to increase. Temperatures in the long term will remain in the 80s.

When GON throws up the max high temp in CT you know its going to be a special one....

Anyone else plant any morning glory? Ours went nuts this year. The growth rate of it is insanely fast.

Don't worry. A few more years and you will be in climate zone 7a...

You can really feel the dews out there. 79/68 with some light showers.

Try some organic fertilizer. I have been using this which is made from scraps from a distillery. https://www.homedepot.com/p/Purely-Organic-Products-25-lb-Lawn-Food-Fertilizer-LFJRDK1/204279747

What a special one with mid summer temps in September...

Congrats @Ginx snewx

HVN's rainfall. August was their hottest on record as well. July .97 Normal 3.36 August 1.0 Normal 3.55

CAPE and instability, especially across Connecticut, will allow for isolated thunderstorms into early this evening, before CAPE weakens. Precipitable water values remain around 2 inches, and with a combination of relatively slow moving storms and possibly training storms, could lead to locally higher rainfall totals. A shortwave approaches late tonight along the frontal boundary to the west, and this will spin up a weak surface low. This will enhance lift across the region late tonight and continuing into Tuesday afternoon as the upper shortwave and surface low track south of Long Island. Precipitable water remains around 2 inches, and the highest rainfall totals will be possible during the day Tuesday. &&

Upton's thoughts. CAMs depict the showers expanding in coverage later today as a weak frontal wave develops along the boundary, with the moisture slug gradually sinking south tonight. Much of the souther half of our area, including NE NJ, NYC, and Long Island, may remain predominantly dry through the afternoon, with the bulk of any showers over the Lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut. While an embedded thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out, withlittle instability and weak shear, not too concerned about a severe thunderstorm threat. The abundant available moisture however, PWATs climbing to around 2 inches per BUFKIT soundings,along with the potential for training, brings the threat of torrential rainfall. After collaboration with neighbors, decided to hoist a flood watch for all zones running from this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. RFC 1/3/6 hr guidance is fairly high over southern Connecticut and the Hudson Valley (where highest QPF lies). So while confidence isn`t particularly high given the longer duration of the event, along with expected rainfall rates generally under a half inch, short range ensembles are signaling the potential for heavy rainfall, particularly tonight into the first half of Tuesday, that could lead to flooding of urban and poor drainage areas. WPC has a slight risk for excessive rainfall outlined for the entire region both today and Tuesday. It should be noted that given the low water levels from the dry antecedent conditions, larger rivers and streams should be able to hold the rainfall without going into flood.

Turned out to be a nice mostly sunny day. Upton's forecast high of 78 busted big here. 87/76

Upton's latest map.

New Haven (HVN) had its hottest August on record as well. Average temp of 78.5 with a +5.6 departure.