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BrianW

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Everything posted by BrianW

  1. I still think the 91 corridor or just east near route 9 is going to get crushed later tonight...
  2. From Upton's AFD. The challenge regarding potential snow accumulations involves the placement of the inverted trough and associated enhanced precip along it as the shortwave passes aloft tonight. Discrepancies among the different models and among consecutive runs within each model continue, but generally favor a band higher liquid equivalent precip located in the vicinity of NYC to points west of the Hudson. Some guidance shifts this band over areas east of NYC late tonight, leading to a chance that forecast snow accumulations may need to be bumped up a little for areas east of the city, but for now have nudged up the numbers a little.
  3. It's going to setup right up the 91 corridor. North Haven, Hamden, Wallingford, Meriden, etc..
  4. HVN will jack. What a deep winter scene here.
  5. Might be a good time to buy heating oil before the incoming cold. I saw a billboard on 95 for $3.79 yesterday. Looks like prices have come way down.
  6. Yes EWR has dropped below freezing but the concrete jungle on the outskirts has not. It looks like August here and you guys are like 2 months behind...
  7. There still hasn't been a killing frost here.. I tried to get a fire going last night and there was like zero draft it was so warm.
  8. I'll give Forky credit. I'm unfortunately down near EWR for Thanksgiving. I don't even think they get winter here anymore...
  9. I got sent to Buffalo in I think Dec 2018 for work. There was a Bills game when I was there that like 10 inches fell during the game. Was quite the experience as it snowed nonstop for days. I also had to drive around in rear wheel drive service van that absolutely sucked.
  10. Why is there no names on who did the write up? I assume an Upton Met? Someone spent a lot of time analyzing it and writing the report. Why not sign your name on it?
  11. You should go check out the blooms down at Iggys in Narragansett.
  12. KGON with CT's high today of 75. That's got to be a record.
  13. Focus the next several hours will be across interior southern CT with upslope flow in a moisture-laden airmass with MUCAPE values of 500-1000 J/KG. PW on the 00Z OKX sounding was 1.97, shattering the all-time value. This is 4 to 5 SD above normal. This is clearly an anomalous regime we are in with respect to this northward late season push of tropical air. Thus there is a concern for a fine line of convection to develop as the front and max forcing coincides with the anomalous moisture rich environment later this morning. The potential is there for lower top convection possibly triggering a very short round of severe weather. Temperatures will likely approach records highs in a few locations like LGA, JFK, BDR, and ISP
  14. HVN +22.1 yesterday +13 MTD. Lol
  15. From Donsutherland1 in the NYC forum. Today was another exceptionally warm November day. Readings soared into the middle and upper 70s across the region. The warmth extended across northern New England into Canada. Records included: Allentown: 75° (tied record set in 1935 and tied in 1994) Albany: 76° (old record: 75°, 1994) Atlantic City: 76° (tied record set in 1961 and tied in 2003) Bangor: 73° (old record: 71°, 1938) Bridgeport: 73° (old record: 72°, 1961) Buffalo: 79° (old record: 76°, 1948) Burlington: 74° (old record: 72°, 1938) Caribou: 73° (old record: 67°, 1982) Concord: 78° (old record: 75°, 1994) Hartford: 78° (old record: 76°, 1994) Islip: 74° (old record: 70°, 1975, 2005, and 2015) Manchester, NH: 79° (old record: 75°, 2015) ***New November Record*** Montreal: 74° (old record: 66°, 1988) ***New November Record*** New Haven: 74° (old record: 72°, 1961 and 1975) New York City-LGA: 75° (old record: 74°, 2005) Newark: 79° (old record: 77°, 1959) Portland: 75° (old record: 71°, 1994) Providence: 75° (tied record set in 1994) Quebec City: 72° (old record: 63°, 2008) Rivière-du-Loup, QC: 68° (old record: 58°, 2008) Saguenay, QC: 70° (old record: 67°, 2008) Rochester: 77° (old record: 75°, 2015) Syracuse: 77° (old record: 73°, 2015) White Plains: 75° (old record: 73°, 2005) Caribou recorded its first ever 70° November temperature in 2020. Today, it recorded its second ever November temperature. Saint-Anicet, Quebec set a provincial November record high reading of 78°. Tonight, one will turn back the clocks one hour. In terms of weather, one will turn the calendar back to mid-September. Temperatures will again reach the middle 70s across many parts of the region tomorrow. On Monday, a few places could approach or reach 80°.
  16. NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... 330 PM Update: An unseasonably warm and humid afternoon continues across Southern New England. This is associated with an anomalously strong mid/upper ridge near 590 dm positioned over the western Atlc and southerly surface/low level flow. Despite some clouds and southerly breezes, many areas have reached into the lower to mid 70s (around 70 Cape/Islands), with a few spot upper 70s also popping up! BDL has already set its daily record for today at 77 degrees, and PVD tied its record for the date at 75 degrees. Dewpoints are quite high for early November, in the lower 60s which are about 4-6 degrees warmer than the normal high temps for early November!
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