tavwtby

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It could just be cyclical or Scooters “regression” which I have never bought one bit. That’s the same as luck. Weather happens for scientific reasons.. reason we will all never fully understand or grasp .. But it’s been an undeniable trend since the 80’s. Maybe it continues east out into ocean the next 25?

definitely cyclical because I was looking at other data from another station further away a bit, with longer data history and prior to when the one closest began recording and the almost sinewave like pattern is present, goes up comes down, and some anomalies in between, but overall, peaks and valleys, sun activity perhaps, interesting read about the winter of 55-56, where there were like three big noreasters within two weeks, that year was the biggest here with 177", I obviously didn't take that data but that began the period of over 100" winters until like 71-72 where it tapered off some, interesting stuff

2 hours ago, codfishsnowman said:

Even back in the awful 80s NW CT had some ok events and more odds and ends, back when the averages peaked for you there was a much more common type of coastal where the rain/snow line was along I-84 and the Litchfield hills would get clobbered through the berks up to Albany

the 80s actually weren't that bad for this particular locale, had some decent seasons, I wasn't here of course but the obs from the station I made the list from averaged over 80" for the decade..90s were a bit more, the oughts were a bit less, then the teens were rising but lower than 90s and 80s, if that makes sense, now we're off to a crappy start to this decade... we'll see what happens next few weeks, I just want spring at this point, get to planting

2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

wow. 30" there is like 15" here, rough season for the NW hills. seems to be a thing over the last several years

yeah since 13-14, we've had 3 legit ratters here, I mean under 35", the first two winter here were awesome, had like 30" pack, and 8' piles, but yea, been a tough stretch

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

If you have any final reports please DM or @me and ill have a map out tomorrow.

Still can't even get to 30.

This winter can burn in hell.

yeah man, have a feeling we don't see much more this season, just one of those years, need 1.5 to crack 30 here, some in the subforum got that in one shot in the blizzard, shows just how diverse the weather is in NE, more specifically SNE, such a difference for such a small distance, this I noticed really well when I moved to Winsted from Waterbury, nearly double the snowfall

at 28.5" on the season so at least better than 15-16...the average here since I moved from Waterbury is 63, total average since 1932 from the closest station and my obs since 2013 is just over 82, I did avg by decade and it's been going down since the 60's where the avg peaked at 118", and it steadily rose from the 30's to that peak, plot is interesting

I thought North ORH or north middlsex cty would jake, is that the case?

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

i hear that, thanks for the report. do you have an exact measurement you're going with for Winsted?

yeah I'm submitting in between that, 4.75 sn/ip/zr mix

still have yet to get above 6" in an event this season, I think I can't remember what I got in the "blizzard"

this crap sucked to clean, hard to get a good measure, but I got 4.5-5" of absolute cement sleet ice garbage, blower wanted nothing to do with it either, can I get one just pure fluff snowstorm this season, jesus

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

We will need the secondary to pop methinks

don't think that helps anyone WOR, if it in fact even happens

paws and pellets...

about 3 here and flipping back and forth between IP and SN, AWT at the CT MA line

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The mesos look like they try and temporarily stall the sleet line just south of the pike or near the RI/MA border for a couple hours near 14z-15z. If that happens, that's how we'd pick up the 8-12" amounts I think...versus more like 6-8".

yeah I imagine we waver here for a bit after thump

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think people still see the weenie maps and anticipate those totals 

I don't think most people look at anything but surface, I try not to even look at them and focus on temps at all the levels of the atmosphere, fascinating stuff, I still struggle with deciphering soundings though

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

nice blotch of heavies over my head there, ha

29 minutes ago, snowman21 said:

They must have heard you because you're now in the warning as well.

funny thing is I sent an email, maybe they did, just seemed odd that all confidence around me north, east, west was for warning criteria and not here

not sure why this won't post, but I'm now completely surrounded by warnings..ha

26 minutes ago, snowman21 said:

I think they can only have one advisory up, so you won't see an advisory plus watch. The watches will eventually be upgraded to warnings or downgraded to advisories.

that's what I mean, we're within 24 hours, an advisory can always be upgraded, I'm surrounded by warnings and advisories, but we remain a watch? I expect the afternoon AFD will lock something in, just surprised that south of me is advisory and 5 miles to my north is warning, have to be some serious doubts for this area to not upgrade/downgrade at this time frame

I'm a bit perplexed that ALY has still a watch up and not at least a WWA for Litchfield cty, perhaps WSW for Northern litchfield county?

first call was 8-10 here, thinking that may be conservative, that 11 I spat out earlier may come to fruition, could see some very decent amounts NORH me thinks

Just now, wxsniss said:

Ignoring NAM, strong guidance support for this... they ticked higher totals further south... love how relatively uniform this is across much of the SNE forum:

again...we take, region wide event, nice

58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hammertime goes 6-10 from HFD North 

we take

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

You guessing you get 11 or guessing Narcan cuz Ray's Narcan says 16

for my area wow, I was guessing it had me at 11, I'm not going that high, I'd say ceiling is 10 here, but this winter is full of suprises, I am close enough to consider the pike region I guess, like maybe 20 miles away

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

9.1

Winsted? I'm going to guess 11