tavwtby

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

behind a paywall. Weathertap. The best out there imo for desktop.

yeah was having issues with weather tap this morning, they back updating now?

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

thanks keep me updated, be curious to see your total

if I had to guess, seeing upstream radar, and the growth not improving, 3 would be my high end I think, we'll see if we can get the forcing a bit further north and west

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re in Winsted right? I always initially think WAterbury with your screen name 

yeah, Winsted for the last 8 years, was wtby most my life

1" on the nose.... congrats south coast and cape, your storm! still steady mod snow, meh growth, again was expecting this, happy it ain't rain or dry cold

closing on an inch here despite meh growth, pleasant refresher out there..23/22.

about the only time I wish I was still in wtby...

definitely picked up in intensity last 15 minutes, vis now under half mile, eyeballing.25" now, still meh growth, but expected...

22/18... first flakes around 0945, we coat... snowgrowth not spectacular but vis at just under a mile now... thinking 3 tops here... looking at the radar, it appears that a jog NW is occurring, am I reading that wrong?

think the 700 fronto will be the key, and as I said higher ratios, so hopefully we get a few hours of good growth... my area tends to do well in the 84 corridor divider events

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If you look at all the 700mb and banding output on Mesos.. there’s a nice signal of a heavier mid level band from about  DXR to BDL to ORH to Ray 

was thinking the same... probably why ALY is still sticking with 4-6" for Litchfield county... I could definitely see some banding setting up NW of the coast, with higher ratios to boot... still only expect 3 or 4 imby, but we'll see, about 12 hours from go so almost now casting

edit: also ALY went to advisory now at the 1500 update, so there's that.

ALY with a WSW up for Litchfield county and a 6 over my head... not sure if I buy that, thinking maybe 2-4 here now, based on trending

initial 3-6 here seems like a safe bet...model waiver has me skeptical though

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I may go 8-12 se of 84 and 4-8 nw. Sema 12-16.

seems reasonable, at this stage I would tend to shave 2" off those, but trends seem to be in our favor

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

What was that system in later January 2011?  I seem to remember an over-performer in about that same axis... quick hitting but still left like 8-15” in a very short period of time.  Jackpot like ECT to SE MA?

think that was 1/21/11 storm, iirc, got 21" in Waterbury on that one, but it may have well been the one before that... was one awesome month, good snow every few days it seemed, with a 12" norlun to boot...was also in Waterbury at the time

edit:1/27/11

7 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Agree 100%. Just to be clear, i said "in the cards"...def not my forecast or what im expecting atm. We're going in the right direction today and thats what matters right now.

I'm becoming a real fan of the GFS16 this winter (Dec 16-17, Feb 1-2) and looking back at the past 4 runs or so its had the least dramatic swings at the sfc and H5 from other models ive seen.

(Real quick plug, im working on updating the season-to-date snowfall map in CT, so this is for anyone who hasnt updated their new england snow page @Damage In Tolland @tavwtby @CT Valley Snowman @RUNNAWAYICEBERG @metagraphica @H2Otown_WX that would be very helpful to get it done. ty)

will be doing that in the next day or so, I been so busy with work I forget, but do keep my records so should not take long.

still SN-SN+ here, last clearing was storm total 15"~... but that was at 8, and the path way I cleared to do the driveway has a solid 3-4" on top of it, hopefully this continues to push in and pivot, have a good shot at a 20 spot here, and it's high ratio stuff too, never got above 25 here, winds are pretty impressive as well..

any reports from central NJ eastern PA? seems like that area has been crushing all day long, if I'm over a foot they've got to be close to 3... insane returns around that area

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

see? And you're good for another 6-10.

yup...paid off

25/24...13" winds 20/35mph gust last hour, and looks like this band over my head may stay a while...absolutely ripping...makes the month long snow lull all the worth it.

closing in on 12" if not more, hard to measure... just took a ride to the store, absolutely dumping snow and most of what I got fell from 2-now... crazy rates and nice light fluff

over my head now...

24/22...visibility in yards now...has to be over 6 by now. I will be going out after a meeting at 4 to get a few measurements for an avg. any reports of thunder today? apologize if it has been mentioned already.

choking flakes now...this is the goods

23/21 and now under 1/4sm vis... approaching SN+ here, 1.5 since 12:30 path clearing and most of that came in the last half hour or so... finally getting the good snowgrowth, if this can maintain for a few hours, we'll be over a foot... estimate 5-5.5" otg since onset.

any reports of verified blizzard conditions down on LI or coastal areas yet? I wouldn't be surprised if someone verifies over the next few hours as this bombs out