tavwtby

wife tells me it has begun in Winsted...son on snow table duty while I'm down here.

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Snowing in Atlanta atleast

yeah it's actually coming down good here in cartersville, not sticking to surface yet but boy am I glad I toughed it out and finished driving yesterday cause it looks like a dumpster fire on 81 now..WSW for Northern litchfield county, NWS alb says 5-12 before change, quite the range, I'd expect 6 imby maybe and a foot 5 miles away in Norfolk, they always get that microclimate snow with the extra elevation

just got to north georgia and on top of 20-30 mph gusts at 35*, wet snow is beginning to mix in, looks like a rough go for the upland SC area and north of Charlotte with ice, they are freaking out here because 2" expected, more NE towards the NC border it's funny how much different the approach is... I remember many moons ago while working in Houston, it snowed, was like a once in 20 year thing, city basically shut down for an inch

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I could see a foot there, but jackpot even with mid levels west?

Where did the H85 and H7 lows track in 12/14/1992?

This is where getting the mid level to at least stretch out, and if not totally redevelop on approach, would be huge..

is that the one that laid like 3" of IP across at least western CT? I seem to remember an early 90's storm that was similar to this setup where we got hammered with IP, after an initial quick thump and back to snow to top off, was a mess

what's preventing this from redevelopment off the coast? trying to understand why normally these would transfer, is it SST, baroclinic zone? why exactly would this not transfer with the amount of energy out ahead of it, or is that the reason why?

deform band from poconos up to Concord?

looks like I'll be having a fun trip from WV to GA on Sunday morning, local calling for a foot where I'm staying, and about 4" where I'm going...3 days to continue SE trend and at least hug instead of cut and change over, is today's system stopping to eastward progression of sundays system, which is why it's been showing so far west?

9 minutes ago, George001 said:

I’m thinking based on a blend of the big 3, we see a low track over Long Island and then go inland a bit into se mass, like a March 2017 type track. In my area, that means heavy snow to mix to rain. It’s a bit disappointing that it’s not all snow, but it is what it is. This happens sometimes in la ninas, the risk is storms running too far inland leading to rainier solutions, but hey I’ll take that over not having a low at all or watching DC get 2 feet while we get nothing. I’m probably gonna get a sloppy foot, im a little bummed about it because of what could have been, but that’s better than nothing. The NNE guys though I think they will be very happy with this outcome, it would be a monster blizzard up there.

I would not mind a hug track for my neck, a BM storm doesn't really hit me as good as SEMA and just NW, a 495 special, but a canal track I like for mby anyway, don't mind a bit of taint, I think it's going to be something similar though, at this range, has the s/w even come ashore yet?

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Who is your met and do you have him all to yourself?

HA!!assuming it's Ryan, as that's what was forecast this far out and discussed three pages back, no?

10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Yeah--Pete and Mitch ftw

kinda like my spot too for that run, still needs a bit more SE tho, but I take, even though I won't be there... where I'm going in GA now calling for 6-8 for Sun/Mon, crazy, gonna be a nice ride down this weekend

don't remember ever seeing the GFS show what looks like gravity wave convection off the coast, would this aid in redevelopment off the coast should the primary move more SE? also looks like H7 is closed off above the SLP this run, what happened to the nav? it lost the blizzard?

3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Minus 59 wind chill, I remember that game, had to hurt to be a player playing in that cold.

Here’s a look at the coldest games ever in NFL history | RSN (nbcsports.com)

I remember watching that one too, wasn't that also the year the chargers and phins played three OT the following week or previous week? imagine going from Miami to that or vice versa?? Green Bay has a lot up there too... back up to 1*, think I bottomed out right at 0 here

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I’m wondering if this one may slow some in future cycles … 

possible the upper level vort pulls it back some? have to wait and see what the Fri system does to the flow though I think

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

Should be a cold game in Buffalo Sat

yeah I was looking at the coldest games and remember that one in Cincinnati in the 80s where it was like-50 windchill or something crazy, buffalo had one on the top 10 in the 90s vs the raiders I think, Pats/Bills in frigid snowy buffalo should be a good watch...was looking at my upcoming trip and snow is expected, per WU anyway, all the way to GA, 2-4" there for Sunday/Monday

I remember years ago wiring a garage in middlebury at 5* during the day and wound up getting quick snow then sleet, and our 100 gallon propane tank ran out and they wouldn't deliver due to road conditions, early 2000s, that was the coldest day I've ever worked outside, take that over 105* any day though... just broke 0* here -5DP

at 1, let's see if I can crack 0 before we rise, looks like Sat we do again before possibly Sun Mon action, I will unfortunately not be home for

fropa at my door, can feel it, winds shifted to the west and are increasing, artic blast incoming, managed to keep the ground covered here, despite only having about 3 when the day started, not it'll cement in... so looks like I'll be gone for the best stretch of the winter, will be living vicariously through the forum though..

44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

No that is the first system that is a longer shot imho. It could produce something but I’d favor the one behind it which would be next weekend. 

appreciate the info, so I should be good to travel without hinder? I'm driving so that's my concern

had a nice glaze with mixed IP this morning, sitting at 33 now and drip drip...both batteries of my beater and wifes car dead, trickle charge in effect... Tues looks interesting for water pump failures

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro is definitely cooking up something big at 156 here. 

still looking at Thur Friday morning for onset for this one possibly? I'm leaving early Fri morning for GA, that would make for an interesting drive... know it's a ways out, but it originally was going to be a weekend event

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

12z EURO had a max temp of -10F at MVL here in the afternoon lol.

850mb at -32C .

Don't expect to make it out the single digits, maybe below 0 at night, be fun to watch the temp drop like a rock Mon

4 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Now that I have moved back to NW CT after spending 20+ years in Ellington, I can appreciate what you are saying with the benefits of coastal storms by being 35-40 miles east.  Growing up here in NW CT, we seemed to have more storms where p-type issues in SE CT was more common and those were the ones were we would clean up in NW CT.  My appreciation for the small weather variations in a small state has grown over the years having grown up in the snow capital of CT, then living on the eastern edge of death valley and then moving back to the hills.

I can relate to this, moving just 30 miles from wtby to Winsted, we avg like 30" more, we do get the few times a year where a solid LES band makes it through the cats and puts a good squall, and the ptype storms usually end up staying all sn while wtby turns sleet or even RN, it's nice, now with the possibility of moving to north georgia, might never see it again

guess we have something to track a week out again, although we all knew the pattern shuffle was going to happen after the 10th or so, speaking of which, damn it looks like maybe records breaking Tuesday/Tues night? not sure what it is for BDL, and surrounding areas, but looks frigid, especially at 850

25 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I drove back from Florida late March 1990, or 91 during a Nor'Easter. Snow started just north of D.C. Drove through it all the way to CT...in a Ford Escort! I'll never forget it!!

nice, must have been a fun ride! I'll be taking my truck this go around so no rental but still, she has 250k but brand new sneakers on her, hope it's not too much for her.. I'd only expect winter weather until maybe VA though

were this to pan out, it would suck because I'm heading out to GA on Friday morning, driving so that outta be fun, unless I miss it.. I drove back from Florida last month through that line which caused the F5 tornado outbreak in KY, was driving up 40 when the line came through, hardest rain I've ever driven through, small tornado path i drove past was pretty wild, don't want a repeat of that