FPizz

2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

We were.

Somehow he got its warmer now from it saying "1 degree C warmer than current averages." I don't know where the AI is pulling its stats from and it may be wrong, but no way you can read that sentence and think its warmer now. 

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

One of the more dramatic shifts from winter to spring for parts of the U.S.

 

 

Valentine Nebraska, Feb 20th -33, todays forecast high 69, 102 degree difference if that high pans out

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

55 degrees here right now. Feels great out there. It'll be interesting to see if we can hit 60 this week. We have a shot tomorrow and Thursday. At least upper 50s. 

The ice in my backyard area that doesn't get much sun during winter is finally melting.  It took a small hit yesterday, today is melting nicely. Seems like I have a paver issue though, so that isn't good.

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

I would go C- for most of the reasons you posted above. It got cold the day after Thanksgiving and stayed that way for the winter outside the week after Christmas. We also had stuff to track (unfortunately little snow to show for it) for most of the winter. 

If we had all these events and they melted in like a day or were washed away with rain, I would have went with the C-.  I like snow cover and even with the below average snowfall, having probably 30 or so days with full snow cover made up for the actual amount that we got.  Having a White Christmas was nice for once.  I am a bit glad now that the snow melted because we got a puppy and the darn thing loved eating snow, so we had to constantly take him out for bathroom breaks.   

12 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm going with a C+.....if we had reached seasonal avg probably a B but doesn't look likely now. White Christmas, 13 or 14 'events', cold asf January, a couple minor icing events. I'm comfortable with a C+

If 2 of those 14 events could have been of the 4-8" variety, this winter would have been a B and brought us to average snow totals.  Lots of snow cover days too even though we didn't get a large storm.  I am with you on C+.  It felt like winter for a long stretch this year.

23 hours ago, snowman19 said:

@donsutherland1 Any guess on when Joe Bastardi is going to post his yearly “March Madness is coming, delayed spring” tweets out and say March, 1888, March, 1958, March, 1993 and March, 2018 are the analogs? 

Man are you obsessed with him.  You might be his most loyal follower

1 hour ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Hasn't been our year since 2021. Something has gone awry this decade. I think what Bluewave says about record warm SSTs in North Pacific is leading to a stronger Pac Jet and faster Northern stream. As favorable as the North Atlantic might be, we need the pacific and northern stream to slow down. Until then, there will be no KUs, and we won't reach above average snowfall. 

Wow 3 whole years, what are we going to do!  One was a terrible year, one average and one a bit below average here.  The 90s had 7 bad years out of 10, but maybe you weren't born yet.  

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

This has been one of those cases where the 500mb anomalies have varied from the CPC official PNA index. Most of us on this forum would consider it a -PNA pattern when there is a deep trough sitting over Seattle. It really pumped the Southeast Ridge forcing the gradient further north than NYC wanted to see. 

 

Official to what you consider are two different things.  100 years from now when Bluewave the 5th is posting, he will look at official records and it won't say negative.  Probably similar to when you look at something from 100 years ago from an official site and scream about indexes.  

1.5" here.  The cocorahs map had it perfectly

5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

My post is based on over 60 years worth of snowfall data. The last 6 years was a microcosm of that larger set. So given that a warming climate means less snow, the snowfall average near the coast will inevitably drop under 20” regardless of if you include the last 6 years or not.

We'll be long dead.

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Everything always looks clear in foresight. And then in hindsight we can see what went wrong: block in wrong location, too warm, southeast ridge too strong, western ridge not amplified enough etc.

If only we could see exactly how things would evolve over the next 10 days. Then we would know exactly when to get excited.

I think people sometime don't remember things correctly.  Some of the "good" patterns people bring up from past years were only "modeled" good patterns and never actually moved up to hour zero to be actually real.  

10 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Sure made for a quick melt of the overnight snow.  Nothing left here.  More like a mid to late March type melt than the 3rd. of February.

If it was 37 and sunny all the snow would have melted too.  

15 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lol who are you following on twitter? i haven’t seen anybody “locking in” an exact repeat of March 2018. a 14 year old posting from his parents’ basement doesn’t count 

He's been saying the same tired line about twitterland for years.  You would think he would have discovered the unfollow button by now. 

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Just a bit inland Jan dep through the 26th:

DOV: -6.7
ACY: -5.7
TTN: -5.7
PHL: -4.9
BLM: -3.9

Warm!!

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

-3.8 for January isn’t cold? That’s pretty legit 

and less than 30 miles away it is closer to -6+.  He's lost his marbles.  The lower 48 is having it's coldest January in 37 years. But NYC and places NE of there are only -3 it isn't cold.  

An average year had 14" of snow through Jan where I am, and am currently at 13".  So, pretty average in that department.  I'll take it with the cold that has been around mostly since Thanksgiving.  It has felt like real winter.

23 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

March hasn’t been snowy here in years. Looks at @bluewavestats 

It has been 5 years, but the prior 3 to that averaged 16".  March averages a little more snow than December, but I always consider those months more hit and miss anyway

42 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

My 3 day lows in Hillsborough 

 

1/21: -1

1/22: -9

1/23: -3

Nice, 3 below zero days in a row.  Very rare!  

I just missed the 3 days below zero, -1, -5, 0.5

1 hour ago, Poker2015 said:

That's all? -6.1 right now and a friend in town is at -8.3

Yeah, something must be up with his Station.  I was -5 and I see Somerville was -8.  Looking at the ambient app, most places around the area were -2 to -9.  I see the other Hillsborough guy was -4.9

-0.4 this morning.  Back to back months below zero, pretty rare in this area.

5" even here.  Nice to see a mostly board wide 2-7" or so.

36 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Certainly a chance to beat the season lows and perhaps departures for Tue and Wed next week.

I got below zero one day in Dec.  Would be cool to do that 2 months in a row, that doesn't happen often.

6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I’m ready for spring 

Bluewave says Jan thaw next weekend, so get ready!

32/19 split here, max wind gust on my station was 39.  Forecast was 32

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Euro weeklies are cold in the east right through mid February .

Yup, just saw that