FPizz

34 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

No, not technically. 

Astronomical seasons line up better around here most of the time than met. seasons.  

6 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Good question - cpc doesn’t make that clear in their weekly enso reports. 

But I found this:

Thank you!  So weird that it is compared to such a small data set.  

2 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Have you seen a recent sst map? and the forecasts?

Orange and red everywhere, except for a few small blue spots. Frankly, it tells me everything I need to know about this issue. 

Do they adjust the sst maps to the 1990-2020 baseline or is that only done for air temps?  

28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I think every model has at least 2" for us by Monday. The gfs shifted the 3 to 5" amounts north of the area though

Saturday on the CMC and Ukie didn't look too bad now.  Even on the GFS

22 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Define the purpose of monitoring "just the arctic" when the "spirit" of doing so is for on-going climate monitoring. 

This is a Global problem - it should all be contained.

20 hours ago, bdgwx said:

Several months back I suggested that if the shenanigans kept up in the Antarctic then perhaps it might be time for a dedicated thread. The data collected by the IPCC suggested that sea ice extents may increase through 2030 at the very least. Yet here we are with record lows. Perhaps the time for a dedicated thread as come.

Yes, this thread has existed for years for the ARCTIC.  That is why I suggested a thread for the Antarctic.  We went from highest recorded to lowest in what, 5 years?  Make a thread for it with all the data you can gather or just to monitor like this one.  It might already exist in the 30+ pages, but probably got buried.

11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It seems we should all be more concerned with this …

Sea ice extent in Antarctica drops to record lows in 2023

Area of the ocean with at least 15% sea ice by year, 1981-2023

Source: National Snow & Ice Data CenterGraphic: Parker Leipzig, CNN

 

Start a thread.  This is for Arctic.  

23 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Warning for somerset and Hunterdon 

That brought some thunder here, but only .08"

58 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Maybe we are stuck in a long-term run of bad winters….the last time that happened was the 13 year period from 1979-1992. A consecutive run of epically bad winters, all in a row. Really has not happened again since then…..

There were no blockbusters, but there weren't many total duds either in cnj. It was rather average, and I actually averaged more snow in the 80s than the 90s

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

Only at .15.  Maybe I'll reach .2. 

I was off. I got .38"

14 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Rain is still light enough here that it’s not setting the ground underneath the trees. 

Only at .15.  Maybe I'll reach .2. 

Finally heard thunder a few times here.  Seems like forever.  Only light rain though

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks to be transitioning to a rain event with the strongest segment of the line heading towards south jersey

yup, was just thinking that too. 

Some nice steady rain here.  I'm not sure if those heavier cells can get north enough and hold to reach me.  Guess I'll see soon.

Only .08" here yesterday.  Hoping Saturday clears out faster. 

10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

The line that looked good in eastern PA really weakened. 

Yup, started to weaken as it split my area then deteriorated

11 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Nice line developing in eastern PA, see how much recovery we can do after this initial band

I should have clear skies here in a few.  That might help some recovery

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Not even enough here to knock the dust down 

Is that cell just to the SW of Metuchen going to get you?  .03" here so far.  Monday I was just west enough to get a nice rainfall.

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

No hail anymore? 

Hail reported on Radarscope in that cell just west of Piscataway

18 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

That's possible but it would be very isolated. For most of us it's just this band of showers that will be moving through shortly that will deliver a tenth to quarter inch of rain at most. 

Yup.  Rain just started here.  I'm hoping for .25"

1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

Yes.  Which goes back to the old debate about using the most recent 20 or 30 years for "averages" but using all of recording history for the "records".  

Yes, this always annoyed me.  Why don't we use the whole history for our averages?  We can easily look at a graph and see that the past x #'s of years are trending up, etc. to see a trend.  

11 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

All this cool talk but I think June still would've been slightly AN using the older averages and May definitely would've been AN. 

But I guess less hot is the new cool nowadays 

The further west you went June would have been below for that period too, but we are several years past older averages, time to move on.  

.87" here yesterday.  

Getting some light rain

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Send rain 

Through day 10 Euro not too biting on much rain for the area.  GFS and CMC a little better...time will tell I guess.