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hazwoper

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Everything posted by hazwoper

  1. Sorry meant the vorticity map. Those maxes are far better at predicting where the energy is going.
  2. The 500mb shows the vort maxes farrrrrr better.
  3. Yeah, but it is a pretty massive spread. Plenty of time. EDIT - in fact the spread is actually wider earlier on at 138hr as opposed to 144 which tells me they are having a hard time handling the upper level steering that has been showing it tuck back into the coast at that timeframe.
  4. 5 days out from yesterday's storm we were all thinking either suppressed south or low impact all snow......
  5. I've doing this for years. Believe me, there is plenty of time. GFS had this storm as a bomb of Friday, lost it till early runs today. There is plenty of time.
  6. Same, although we were planning to stay Saturday night. Going to hockey game at stadium.....
  7. This may end up being the longest duration sleet event I can recall in these parts. Sheesh
  8. Anxiously awaiting the 0Z runs. I feel like the NAM in its over wet bias is also a tad warm. I also don’t like the all snow output from the GFS for obvious reasons. I suspect a last minute shift a tad south on the mesos as we get closer. JMO
  9. Well, the GFS has been crap for years now, so the fact that it was last to shift north has me excited.
  10. First system I felt strongly enough to come on and discuss in a LONG while. hello all!!
  11. In a mountainous island like Jamaica it absolutely is true. Obviously winds will be devastating at the center, but the biggest impact for the island will be the sheer amount of rainfall from this event that will be exacerbated by topo with mass amounts of fresh water having nowhere to drain during the height of the storm due to surge.
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