Jebman

DL is ALWAYS chasin' the Snow!

I crave George BM- Grade rain here in Buda! Too damn bad Austin is way too far west for the Record Nino. Maybe next time, in the early 2030s.

Congrats on the Rain, DMV Region! Havin' fun yet? It's September now and the Nino's effects should be growing day by day upon the 500 Millibar pressure surface over the CONUS.

Beaumont TX will get about 12 inches of fresh rain. Austin? Not so much. It's all about downsloping and hot as hell for us lol. We'll take what we can get, but you all know the old saying. Beggars can't be choosers.

This is primarily the reason I now expect normal precipitation for Austin thru September in 2027. For this autumn and winter, maybe a couple of inches, and some drizzle. All of my hopes for at least replenishing rains in Austin are utterly DASHED. Texas WILL run out of water. We will run out of the water because of a catastrophically dry Record El Nino, then we get a catastrophically strong Nina. That strong Nina, in 2027 or in 2028, is why Texas will break so many high temperature records and get so damned DRY that the groundwaters WILL run out and the Colorado River will get lower than anyone in living memory can ever recall. At the same time, the tech buildup in Austin will cause many many many people to move here accelerating the water uptake with nothing to replenish the water reserves. By 2029 water will be so expensive many will move east into the mid South where there is much more rain. There is a reason all the trees down here are a third of the height of trees in N Virginia. It's dry. We are so forsaken by life-giving rains, that even during the 40 day rain event of deep antiquity, we probably got 40 days of light drizzle. We are used to this. It is NO surprise. Of course we got missed by the strongest El Nino in history! I have always wanted to be caught right in the middle of a record 489 billion year flood for the Ages. Of course, I am shyte out of luck and always will be. This is a very east-based Nino, moisture plume will orient very far east,(well-away from south central Texas of course) record Nino or not. If you like sunshine, no floods ever, and east based Ninos, come live in Austin. We will have plenty of sun all winter and the average high temperature in January in Austin is 60 degrees! We have the best weather in the entire world, especially if you don't mind perpetual drought and rapidly diminishing water reserves! Damn I have got to get out of this place! I wanna spend a few years in Cherrapunji, India. Trust me, that place gets plenty of rain! Nepal stole our flood event. Damn!

Ben Noll is correct. This El Nino means serious, serious BIZNASS!

Got slammed pretty good by storms with 45 mph gusts and that piled up 2.5 inches of heavy, wind-driven rain. Hello, the very beginnings of El Nino! We are up to 38.4 inches on the year. Normal rain for the entire year is 30 inches.

I wonder how often the PDO state keeps ninos from affecting the N HEM 500 pressure surface? Or gets close?

Wow guys. I am frackin' Jealous! Enjoyin' the Nino yet? Havin' fun yet? Got that ark built yet lol?

That's called you are beginning to experience some of the early effects of a record-strength El Nino. Early cold fronts cooling things down. You will see considerably more rain than you are accustomed to in August. It will be cooler than normal and much rainier than normal from here on out.

More and more and more rain, lol. Congrats! It's gonnabe a broken record very soon.

Might change over.

Don't look now DMV but more rain coming up on you this time from the SSE. I think the Mid Atlantic is already getting El Nino'ed some.

We have a winnah! Although I am also a Gen Z and Millenial playlist person, heavy on Playboi Carti and Ken Carson.

This, is why you need to build your own Ark. This record Nino ain't playin' around. The DMV is right in its crosshairs and its loaded up for bear.