packbacker

I predict the NAM slowly fades to the EPS.  Already at 27 there is more separation between the two waves.

23 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Hmmmmmmm , who am I going to believe: Packbacker or Allan Huffman?? Tough call! SMDH

Or do you believe the GGEM ensembles.  I have more digital snow from this model then any model...even the NAM's.

7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

You should just go off!  You know how it’s gonna turn out already.

Yep...no way the Euro busts this bad.  Well it did bust a few weeks ago and last January...both shifted way west inside 48.  Guess we have to watch for another day.  I hope the NAM’s are a whiff.  

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

About 30 minutes from being reversed NAM'd , or GFS'd , if you will

Well RGEM is coming in with a later phase then the NAM's.  But, it's closer then it's previous runs.  Looks really close to the 6zGFS actually.   But it's fractions away from the NAM's.   NAM's at 48 is neutral almost negative and RGEM is neutral almost positive.

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

Why you mad, you know the sleet at you and CR's house, is still falling at this time!

LOL...because it's sleet and we get snow holed.  NAM has it pulling away at this time, nothing after.  The 3km is nuts though.  

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

Yeah, everybody high diving with the NAM runs! I even got excited for a moment, but then realized it was the NAM and a coastal storm , which equals 0 for us! Don't worry, we will get plenty of rain when the warm up hits!

LOL...I know, we need another model to show this...besides the NAM's and it's cousins (SREF's).  But, it's pretty to look at.

Can't help but laugh....Raleigh's snow shield even works on fantasy NAM snow now.  

2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

I'd hardly call the NAM a whiff, so we be 1-4!

NAM is for suckers.  UK has a beautiful negatively tilted trough but a SLP the same longitude as Bermuda.  What the heck....it literally will not snow in Raleigh no matter what. Time for bed.

This isn’t coming west.  Models are all locked in for a coastal scraper.  0-4 tonight on model runs...

6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Glad I don't have Twitter! He's almost as bad as JB! I would love for Wilmington to get 6-12" of snow, while DC gets squat! 

Somehow the MA will get more snow then eastern NC...haven’t figured out how but it always works out for them.  

We get it DT...it’s only going to snow in s-NE and Maine.  100 tweets on that today.

9 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

When Jacksonville FL has had more snow than us, we really suck! But , the 8th-11th storm has been showing for several days in various forms ( rain vs snow) and we bullseye this morning, what could go wrong!?

Sprawling HP's rotating through. That is a big Aleutian low.

5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Hold the phone!! Check out the 6Z GFS! Before everything folds and torches, we have our blockbuster Jan 10th storm is back from the rainy dead! Good snowstorm and perfect set up!! On that run, it comes about 2 days after a rainy cold front, crashes into S Cali, then rolls across the South! This will be the one, forget all about these recent 0-4 missed!

I'll take it!  We've missed west/south/north and after Wednesday we will miss east.  Mother nature is running out of ways to miss us...though I guess she can start the cycle all over again.

Well this sucks.  After the past two winters and watching Atlanta get 6”+ a few weeks ago to have this amount to nothing...definitely will be the worst winter in my lifetime.  No torch in sight either.  Ugghhh

We get a bunch of sucky model runs tonight going to be pissed I didn’t go to bed....so far 0-1. 

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

Looks like a January thaw!

Looks like Raleigh’s patented sleet/rain while you and up to GSO get a foot pattern.  

This atleast doesn’t look boring. 

Here comes our cutter...we won’t miss this one off the coast.  

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

People thinking they are going to get wintry precip out of this unicorn coastal storm! LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLO L

I am chasing to Boston if they get a 950 low off the benchmark.   I am going to see snow this winter...just know I have to travel for it.  Was hoping that Boone would get a big one.  

GEFS just won't quit...

This doesn’t look “to cold”

Book it...Mack special.  

Impressive seeing the EPO refuse to breakdown and the AO helping out.

I got dibs on the next storm thread!  Day 10-12 definitely a signal for an AppsRubber...EPO is still negative, we have lost the bloody Cali ridge and and we have an atlantic ridge now.  That will help amplify waves and hopefully stop them from accelerating off the coast.  Always a good sign to see California wet with a strong EPO/AO block.

Just now, rduwx said:

I can't remember the last time I got over 5" of snow.  Maybe 12/2010?  Growing up in Cary, it seemed like we got a good storm every year.  We can't buy one these days.

That was my last 6” event and before that it was 2004.  Just pathetic.