packbacker

FWIW....Weeklies still show early Feb back to AK ridging and shows building poleward.  Keeps it through end of Feb too.  

21 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

So we have 3 chances of snow next week possibly: clipper, coastal storm, frontal passage. No, no, sprinkles, is how those will work for upstate.

actual southern slider next Fri/Sat= rain! So I wouldn't get excited if I lived in the CLT to GSP corridor !

Warm rain isn't exciting?  I think it's great.  got some nice 60F showers today.  Will have to cut the AC on tonight.

You guys (GSP to CLT to GSO) always rock Feb...it's coming.

10 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

We haven’t even gotten under a WSW yet. We’re usually good for at least a couple of non-verifying WSWs.  Give it time.  Besides, 70s in winter suck.  Everyone knows this.

By the way, if you haven’t seen Red or Red 2, you’re missing out.  Great movies.

Last week was a nice event, was nice to get a few hours of accumulating snow.  Any snow is nice, realize times have changed big snows don’t occur here anymore.  

Havent seen Red, will check it out.  

37 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

If it's not gonna snow, I wish it would just be in the 70s! Dry cold sucks!

We already got an 1” of snow...Raleigh doesn’t do multiple events in a winter.  Bring on 70’s.

11 hours ago, Cold Rain said:

Where is Pack?  How much did he get, I wonder?

I got 1.5", most in 3 winters.  Nice event...now bring on spring.

That snowhole was tough...we could have been 3-4" if that band had shifted a little NE earlier.  Missed 5" by 20 miles I think.

Just now, rduwx said:

pack!....

Just kidding pack!

LOL...I know, I think it's me too.  I honestly don't think it will ever snow here again, not saying it needs to be 10"+ event, but a 3-5" even between 85 and 95.  That seems like the impossible.

This is way more impressive then getting 1-2" of snow.  None of us in Raleigh would remember a 1-2" event but we will remember the snow hole.  That band to our west will eventually snow itself out and may bring us some flurries, but doubtful.

2 minutes ago, Solak said:

What are the chances of the event being over before the snow hole fills in?

 

Loop the radar, you can see the band to our southwest dying out.  50/50 we get blanked completely.   Probably a dusting though is my guess.  Maybe 70/30 for a blank.  

2 minutes ago, rduwx said:

When I look at the radar, I just have to laugh. 

The snowhole will be more impressive then 1-2” of snow.  I just expect it now...something always happens.  #snowshield.  

26 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said:

https://twitter.com/crankywxguy/status/948661439471943680

Good lord. This is essentially the equivalent of the thing stopping, turning, and going around us.

Yep, that band will not lift NE   

This is how it snows north-south-east-west of us.  Happens far to often.  

It's running out of space to go now.

5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Pack and cold rain, send me pics of your flizzard man!

I will break out my telescope...it's a virga blizzard at 2500 ft. 

Just now, Tar Heel Snow said:

How is it physically possible for this to happen lol. I know we're only at the very beginning of this event, but like, this has to be deliberate, right?

Yep...every time.

The band to our SW will die out before it shifts over us, the band to our east should hit a brick wall as it gets just passed I95.  This is shaping up to be a classic Raleigh snow hole.

I love circular virga events around Wake Co.  I anticipate this to build more and more so it looks like a donut 

1 minute ago, No snow for you said:

I’m about to quit the weather. I have a client on the battery that already has 2 inches and now the euro gives them another 6. We haven’t gotten that in years at gsp. 

LOL...well this is like a 1 in 100 year event for them, bet it's great down there.  Hopefully we get 6" event before there next one.

Raleigh can't even do virga right.  It's almost made a complete circle.

I can smell the virga....only a matter of time.  

1 hour ago, uncjibble said:

It just got more and more depressing so I stopped at 6! I did find this one though, proof that we can get big snow in Raleigh!

 

 

Jackpot was 30 miles...this one sucked too.  We won’t be happy until it snows only in Wake County and it rains or dry slots everywhere else. And it has to do that like 17 times to even things up.  

13 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Gonna be hilarious when I get more snow than Pack!!

Radar says it's possible!

Like I said...somehow, GSP to CLT to GSO to DCA will get more snow then RDU.  Always does.  And of course SAV and CHS.

Rule #1:   NAM's are only good for detecting warm noses.

Just now, DopplerWx said:

hrrr has shifted precip east each of the past 4 runs, very similar to the new nam. uh oh...

Well the NAM's are going to really tick east.  The southern h5 low initialized much weaker then previous run and more positively tilted.  The 3km will whiff PGV.  What a terrible bust for this will be for them.

Crud...kids get out 2 hours early for snow.  They were crushed last year after the Jan debacle and now have to explain there won't be any snow...they can go play in the leaf pile I guess.

Just noticed 12km shafts PGV.

Just now, rduwx said:

I'm trying to stay positive but just have this feeling we're not going to see much in the RDU area.  I told myself I wasn't going to get sucked into weather this winter and here I am again.

I said the same thing...we are like degenerate gambles, we just can't pass up a good craps table.   

12km sees the Wake Co snow shield...LOL

What the heck