psuhoffman

If I get 11” I’ll sing the Canadien anthem to start my next zoom

It’s pretty much done at this point… hepderps wins the 0z

And I just got done with the 18z… not even over at this point.

The issue for the 95 corridor is simply a dryslot on the NAM.

Steve Hoffman is inviting you to a scheduled Zoom meeting. Topic: American Wx Zoom Time: Mar 11, 2022 10:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82300500338?pwd=NVk5enFJRlZJUHdhYVFRY3dmRFFTdz09 Meeting ID: 823 0050 0338 Passcode: 391582 One tap mobile +13017158592,,82300500338#,,,,*391582# US (Washington DC) +13126266799,,82300500338#,,,,*391582# US (Chicago) Dial by your location +1 301 715 8592 US (Washington DC) +1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago) +1 929 436 2866 US (New York) +1 346 248 7799 US (Houston) +1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose) +1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma) Meeting ID: 823 0050 0338 Passcode: 391582 Find your local number: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/keD8h4WQ7L

The old zoom meeting link is no longer active. I don't have time to email everyone a new link. We had no problems all winter using the same link so I am just going to post it here. If we end up having issues...then I can always go back to using a secret link through emails. I will be in the zoom around 10pm. Steve Hoffman is inviting you to a scheduled Zoom meeting. Topic: American Wx Zoom Time: Mar 11, 2022 10:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82300500338?pwd=NVk5enFJRlZJUHdhYVFRY3dmRFFTdz09 Meeting ID: 823 0050 0338 Passcode: 391582 One tap mobile +13017158592,,82300500338#,,,,*391582# US (Washington DC) +13126266799,,82300500338#,,,,*391582# US (Chicago) Dial by your location +1 301 715 8592 US (Washington DC) +1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago) +1 929 436 2866 US (New York) +1 346 248 7799 US (Houston) +1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose) +1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma) Meeting ID: 823 0050 0338 Passcode: 391582 Find your local number: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/keD8h4WQ7L

Already down to 44 here.

I could open the zoom after I get the kids to bed. Like around 10.

Again we will see. The hrrr only goes to 18 hours. If the new system goes to 60 or 84 like the NAM…well people will be like…. by the time the storm gets here!

We will see. I predict it won’t be fun having to read through 3 pages of trolls causing freak outs after every hourly hiccup run. I hope I’m wrong. Maybe we’re ready. But I have my doubts.

@Weather Will is slacking

We’re going to have to put in some sort of ground rules when that happens or you’re right it will probably be a train wreck.

I don’t think we get much rain. Most of the precip is behind the front.

I thought I was being bold when I made my map a few hours ago…then 18z said hold my beer.

You’re going to drive yourself crazy if you pay attention to every hourly hrrr wobble. God help us all when the new NAM replacement and short range ensemble system go live and are both hourly!

Still waiting for your what can go wrong post lol

Deep creek looks like a terrible place for this event I was supposed to go to snowshoe tonight with the kids. Decided to stay here for the storm and go tomorrow evening. Kids would rather play in the snow here anyways, it will be too windy to ski comfortably tomorrow, and I think it’s going to be a better even here! Snowshoe MIGHT end up with a higher total if they get some decent upslope but the more dynamic event will be here Imo.

10-1 is still 5-7” for much of the area. Also I’m not convinced some of the ratios in the 1-2” per hour banding won’t be pretty high

DAYUM

I need to go do something with this…might take a while.

Lol ya it feels like looking at those old school MRF unisys maps

We all know the faults and biases of WxBell but at least they do seem to use the most sophisticated snow accumulation algorithms available and they calculate it hourly when hourly data is available. The SV maps seem to calculate using less sophisticated metrics and can be way off when it’s a borderline setup where calculating 1-2 hours wrong or misplacing the snow/ice/rain line a bit can have a huge difference.

you forgot the key. @mappy does not approve

I added start times, wind vectors, and DC escape routes just to make it more clear!