psuhoffman

Right now I’m just steamed some town 8 miles northeast of me reported 5 and I only have 4.5! I think I’m gonna stew over that all day!!!! seriously though I don’t dislike these minor events. Even up here they make up the majority of my snowfalls. But it’s not what I like to track. Like @Bob Chill said, the payoff on tracking some meso scale 50 mile wide band of snow from long range is awful. You can’t pin these small scale local events down at any range. It was pure luck it ended up over me. What wasn’t pure luck was that I got 4-5” instead of 1-3” because of my elevation. I can max out these little things. But Imo it’s a waste of time to track them from distance. I start paying attention when they get inside 24 hours. Big synoptic events I’ll track at range. Both because you have a slightly better chance of pinning them down at range and the payoff is bigger. But even up here I know on average I only get a couple 8”+ storms a year. I don’t get mad when they don’t happen. I’m not complaining over small snows. Just not interested in spending hours a day tracking them.

~4.5” on the board. 26/23. Light snow still falling.

Steady light snow continues. 28/24.

It’s tricky because the games have outgrown most traditional winter sports venues in terms of infrastructure requirements. Lake placid NY for instance could never host by todays standards. But there aren’t that many major cities like Salt Lake that combine the close proximity to winter venues and the necessary infrastructure. Combine the corruption and often crazy cost and most probably don’t want to bother.

Sorry. Had it back in December. Sucks. Good luck with recovery.

Getting pretty optimal snow growth too. I would guess pretty high ratios here based on the look of the dendrites.

Been stuck between bands mostly. But I’m getting the typical help from being on the ridge. A couple degrees colder and a little bit of upslope precip enhancement goes a long way in marginal events. Probably why looking at coop records around here I didn’t see any total shutouts years up here. Even in a horrible year this area eeks out several minor events this way.

30/24

I suspect these type events are becoming more frequent due to warning. Anytime we’re on the warm side of any boundary temps skyrocket. Thankfully it does still get cold though on the other side of the boundary. Snowing pretty good. Solid coating. 31/22

37/21

I didn’t make it up this weekend. 7 year old is sick. Curious what the snow conditions were today? Did they recover from the rain/freeze?

Calm down. We have numerous out of region contributors which we are cordial with but we know they are posting in good faith and making positive contributions. Couple things… just in case you are legit. We’ve had a rash of trolls over the years who come in here and take on a few different characteristics. And you sort of (maybe accidentally) exhibited some of them. 1. you’re out of your region 2. You’re not posting the right content in the right threads. 3. You started off with a bunch of “winters over” posts in a snowstorm thread. 4. you then posted a JB tweet. His cred is about as good as Judas in here. You came off as a troll. If that was inadvertent sorry but then you do need to do better. Pay attention to what thread you’re in. Post long range stuff in the long range thread. Maybe don’t start you’re very first interaction as an outsider guests in another region with a bunch of deb stuff. Maybe introduce yourself. Just some suggestions if you are in fact posting in good faith and not a troll

Damn I just got my popcorn ready. Oh well back to tracking snow. 41/23

I was being sarcastic as well.

Ok this has nothing to do with anything but why does the eps not start running for like 30 mins AFTER the op finishes at 6/18z? Every other system the ensembles run immediately after the op and the Gfs they begin before its even done. Just curious what they do during those 30 mins? Coffee break?

I’m rooting for ya.

Me too. Only exception was one time after the NYC forum had a bunch of boobs in here acting like clowns I went over in there are started a sh!t storm as retaliation. I didn’t say anything that was untrue…just a bunch of stuff they didn’t want to hear.

Ya I haven’t been silent in the long range thread because I decided to keep all my raging optimism to myself.

Look at that. Why are we wasting our luck with some stupid 2” event. Why can’t we Jack like this when it’s one of the numerous 20”+ storms near the east coast in the last few years.

Dunno I still think it’s been less jumpy since the upgrade. It still has flaws but if you know when to adjust for them it’s been less prone to crazy tangents. Those are what used to drive me crazy. I can account for a models errors so long as it’s somewhat consistent. But it’s back to being second best to the euro that’s for sure. It was always more the euro had a rough patch making the Gfs seem better by comparison. That said I do think the Gfs is incrementally better now.

I’m fairness to the Gfs this is not the kind of setup where it should be used anyways. We wouldn’t even think to use it to place meso scale features in a larger scale storm. This is no different just makes it look worse since there is no larger synoptic feature to hide its meso scale deficiencies within.

Not only is it placing the banding in a different location it’s oriented completely off from all other guidance. If it did happen to be right by some miracle this would be far more impressive than it’s coup Jan 3 where it was right first at 4-5 days out.

hopefully my car thermometer is just on something. Maybe it couldn’t wait for a the “snow” later.

Unfortunately it’s a fairly meso band associated with the jet enhancement. So it’s not going to be a forum wide flush hit. That option died when the option of getting some stream phasing and a legit coastal went poof 4 days ago. Given a combo of where most live AND where has been screwed pretty hard this season…it’s close to best case. Stripes the urban corridor pretty good and if one side has to take one for the team I nominate the SE 1/3 this time. And yes I’m obviously incredibly biased. In a non biased way given the very marginal boundary and the trend warmer recently I’m not sure how much good heavier precip SE of 95 would really do anyone anyways. Hence my “it’s close to a best case scenario” comment.

NAM nest is close to a best possible outcome.