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MarcmmKU

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Everything posted by MarcmmKU

  1. MarcmmKU
    What part is wrong? December 1997 and 2004 were indeed +QBO, + ENSO, and below normal. 2018 near normal. Refute the claim. These are numbers not opinions. You can be warm biased without literally lying like you currently are.
  2. MarcmmKU
    Huh what are you talking about? December 1997, 2004, and 2018 were all +QBO, +ENSO and below or near normal in new england. Incredible that you can spread misinfo like this and get away without anyone calling you out.
  3. MarcmmKU
    The upcoming east coast heatwave and the recent western snowfalls is a canonical la nina feature. Yet another sign we are not yet being influenced by + enso.
  4. MarcmmKU
    Nino isn't really in charge in the southern hemisphere either. If it were it'd be snowing feet and feet in the northern/north central andes of chile, yet it's bone dry just like a niña.
  5. MarcmmKU
    We'll need soakers like this once or twice a week for a month or two more to finally kill the on and off 2 year long drought.
  6. MarcmmKU
    Who said Boston's a big city (I kid)
  7. MarcmmKU
    December 2004?
  8. MarcmmKU
    Not always. Even northern new england isn't immune to literal torches. See December 2015. I am crossing my fingers we don't get something like this again.
  9. MarcmmKU
    Cold snow > Cold dry > warm dry > warm wet.
  10. MarcmmKU
    Not necessarily. I think 1997-1998 was ok for the interior. I think it's unlikely though that both the interior and coast get close to normal snowfall. At least one will probably be far below normal. The coast cause they missed out on a KU, or the interior cause it truly was an epic torch.
  11. MarcmmKU
    Food for thought is that this nino isn't really coupling well to real time observations in South America. A typical nino response down there is for lots and lots of precip in the central andes in Chile. So far bone dry and anomalously warm for may there, especially in a burgeoning strong nino.
  12. MarcmmKU
    Totally agree. I'm an avid skier and strong ninos make my gut sink. I am praying we don't see a repeat of 2015-2016 in Vermont. Would be a disaster.
  13. MarcmmKU
    For the interior northeast strong nino is almost always bad news. Coast can get a good fraction of their seasonal totals from 1 KU type storm, which are more likely to occur in traditional niños.
  14. MarcmmKU
    Very hard to escape -pna now. Was kinda a miracle this last winter was better in that regard.
  15. MarcmmKU
    Too much niña. We haven’t had a traditional classic niño since 2018-2019.
  16. MarcmmKU
    Looking forward to the king, February 2026, being written about.
  17. MarcmmKU
    Our variance is certainly very high.... Always makes the winter forecast a nail biter if you like snow lol
  18. MarcmmKU
    I do think uber strong ninos tend to me more negative for us than for you. Midwest is pretty resistant to terrible snow years. Not the case on the coast, even interior NE.
  19. MarcmmKU
    EWR cleared 50". Central park had some dubious measurements, especially with the December storms, and they stopped measuring after 9 am during the February KU when some of the heaviest rates of the storm occured... Wouldn't be surprised if they also easily cleared 50" of snow.
  20. MarcmmKU
    Yeah "shutout" is relative. If Stowe VT gets, say 80" in a winter, that's considered a shutout for them. I would consider 2015-2016 basically a shutout for the new england.
  21. MarcmmKU
    Fair. I guess the concern is that there’s basically no floor with super strong el ninos. Can be a total shutout almost even for people at very high latitudes and elevations.
  22. MarcmmKU
    What are your thoughts for north country? Obviously vermont always gets more than the cities but does next winter really have the potential to be as much of a stinker for the ski areas as 2015-2016?
  23. MarcmmKU
    I'm assuming the strong + enso event will pretty much guarantee a ratter ski season? Iirc, for northern new england they've never had a strong snow season in a strongly positive enso state.
  24. MarcmmKU
    Right, really a bummer what looked to be a good old fashioned winter was soured by a ratter february. Least snowy february since february 2020 assuming nothing pops up last couple days of the month. Miracle march is also unlikely since march stopped being a winter month for the city as of the 2020s.
  25. MarcmmKU
    Yup they lost it at around day 5-6 or so. Days 5-8 are very dangerous because they're close enough to take more seriously than 10 days out but far enough that the accuracy at day 7 is basically nil
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