Jump to content

MarcmmKU

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    114

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by MarcmmKU

  1. MarcmmKU
    I see a lot of ice storms for the interior.
  2. MarcmmKU
    March 2026 in the American west seemed absurd too until it happened.
  3. MarcmmKU
    Getting very nervous about this winter being a 2015-2016 like bust in vermont ski country. Same atmospheric patterns in place, in an even warmer background climate. Yikes.
  4. MarcmmKU
    August is now too humid to easily produce 100 degree days.
  5. MarcmmKU
    50s and rain all the way up to the summits of the ski resorts.
  6. MarcmmKU
    As bluewave said none of the modelling will pick up on a 10 F + month until it's very very close to occuring. I'm expecting a torch month (almost certainly december), with january and february above normal by 5-6 F rather than 10.
  7. MarcmmKU
    If we can finally eradicate the boiling oceans in the western pac and get a strong +PDO for the late 2020s it will be worth it, even if the coast gets 0 snow all winter long.
  8. MarcmmKU
    I think the warmth will unfortunately be overwhelming for people near I95. You don't get a nino this strong without at least a 10+F month, and most likely all the storms will lack adequate blocking because the NAO will be very positive as well.
  9. MarcmmKU
    The real losers with these very strong el ninos are the ski resorts and skiers in the east (sad for us). 90% of other people prefer less snow and highs in the 50s and 40s instead of 30s and 20s like the last winter.
  10. MarcmmKU
    Hopefully all this rain means a great fall foliage season. The last few have been rotten because of severe niña induced summer droughts.
  11. MarcmmKU
    Worth nothing that if you get far enough north and or high enough in elevation in new england the correlation between cold and snow becomes almost nil. The climo there is cold enough that a 5-6 F + winter does not meaningfully affect snow odds. If you plot snowfall versus temp for a place like Stowe VT it will essentially be a random scatterplot with no correlation.
  12. MarcmmKU
    Yup, even down here in the swampy hot coastal plain suburbs of NYC the snow last winter was nearly all blower powder. Very odd for us. Only the mid december storm was wet.
  13. MarcmmKU
    It will keep happening all the way through winter. I bet one of those times it might phase with the polar jet and sparks will fly.
  14. MarcmmKU
    NYC bullseye storm. We deserved a soaker, lately we've been missing storms to our north and south.
  15. MarcmmKU
    The wet paste low ratio dense snow is the prettiest looking. It clings to everything and whitens everything up better.
  16. MarcmmKU
    All I know is that we are way past due for a cold and snowy march. Every march for the NE coastal plain since 2019 has been basically a total shutout for any type of wintry weather. Total march snow since 2019 for central park= 0.5".
  17. MarcmmKU
    Will it miss the city to the south?
  18. MarcmmKU
    I'd imagine a ton of record high minima were broken last night.
  19. MarcmmKU
    I'd consider it a godsend if its only +6 for the interior. That's very workable for anyone north of albany.
  20. MarcmmKU
    Pray for Stowe.
  21. MarcmmKU
    Amazing we finally hit 100 and it happened in an el nino summer. After all these repeat ninas we couldn't do it. Makes no sense.
  22. MarcmmKU
    For anyone on the I95 the 2030s should be significantly snowier than the 2020s. Hard to do worse than rock bottom.
  23. MarcmmKU
    Do you have any early thoughts about December? Especially for elevated interior new england? I'd be happy if it's better than the washout disaster ski month that december 2015 was.
  24. MarcmmKU
    Sure. Snowman didn't say that though. He said regardless of strength.
  25. MarcmmKU
    snowman made the stronger claim that +qbo, +enso decembers are a slam dunk always warmer than normal REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH (his exact words go read it). 1997/2004 are weakly +qbo. He's wrong.
×
×
  • Create New...