uofmiami

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

This cell is insane. Because I'm right on the edge it goes from nothing to deluge every few minutes. 

Now got 2 huge claps of thunder at the office as cell got stronger.

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I'm glad that cell in Queens/Nassau is literally a few blocks to my east and it just barely pulled away from me.  

I'm still on the edge and I am getting random little bursts but a mile east of me is catastrophic. 

Stay on the edge, streets have nice size rivers of runoff going down them.  I'm sure the usual poor drainage areas are flooded.

About damn time:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
227 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Bronx County in southeastern New York...
  Northwestern Nassau County in southeastern New York...
  New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York...
  Queens County in southeastern New York...

* Until 530 PM EDT.

* At 227 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.

7 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Yea the part that pulled away was in NE Queens. 

It looks like a tail is holding on in southern Flushing/Briarwood. 

Flood advisory issued so far.  See how long they wait to pull the trigger on issuing a flood warning.

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I just went through it and the drops were the size of silver dollars. 

But it's finally pulling away slowly. 

Looks like it's back building towards Flushing on my radarscope app.

NE Queens and NW Nassau are probably going to get flood warnings in 20 or so minutes.  It's pouring in Great Neck and the line isn't moving at all.

96.5 in Muttontown & 95.9 in Syosset for the highs today.

97.7 in Muttontown & 97.1 in Syosset for highs today.

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Yes we will again. The cliff walk is incredible. We are staying on Goat Island for the first time. Newport is a hidden gem 

Goat island, wow that brings back memories for me. Stayed there 30-35 years ago with the family, when I was a teenager. The pool water was pumped in from the ocean as I recall and it was in the upper 50s. Myself and my stepdad were the only ones that swam in it.

Enjoy your trip!

89.4 in Muttontown & 89.0 in Syosset today. Nice summer day IMO. 

91.1 in Syosset & 90.9 in Muttontown for highs today.

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I was going to joke how NYC's urban heat island has expanded to a third the size of the United States because only concrete apparently is responsible for elevated lows (nevermind the fact that UHI has been baked into the averages for decades) but your post is very informative so I didn't want to reduce it down to a joke. 

Just give me lower dewpoint temps PLEASE, I'll take mid 90s until the end of August if I can just keep dews under 55. 

That's a good joke, haha.  NYC's UHI took over the NE.

The anomalies on the lows in the NE are off the chart though, makes for a very hot summer, as we are experiencing.  I think Bluewave posted the map where most of the NE is having a top 5 warmest July, which isn't a surprise with lows being so warm overall to normal.  It's really a continuation of the high DP pattern we've been having ever summer now.

As if we didn't know...

Next week's heat pulse won't be as hot as the June shot we had perhaps...

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Wow nice....that's a welcome change for a couple of days.

Looks to be a brief break of one day only, but it'll be welcomed for sure.

12 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

i was watching the weather on news 4 ny and they said dewpoint friday will be in the low 50's and saturday in the upper 40's is that true?

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 484
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   130 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Connecticut
     Massachusetts
     Northern New Jersey
     Southern New York
     Northeast Pennsylvania
     Rhode Island
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
     1000 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage and intensity should increase this
   afternoon across the region amid strengthening large-scale ascent
   and airmass destabilization. Moderate to strong buoyancy coupled
   with moderate vertical shear will support organized storm structures
   capable of large hail and damaging gusts. Large hail will be the
   primary risk with the early-stage cellular development while strong
   winds will be more likely once storms transition towards a more
   linear mode.

That's from July 3rd!

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

that's surprising that the director didn't have WIFI or some sort of internet connection....I can see that the camp didn't it's in a very remote area

Starlink mini would have be sufficient, especially in today's world.  Hell I have one as a backup in case something catastrophic happens and cell, etc doesn't work, assuming my WHG gives me power.

22 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Just was in Aruba for a week, that was enough of that, lol

You should have been in Paris & Corsica with the heat wave over there.  Paris was oven last Monday & Tuesday with their version of A/C when I was there.  At least in Corsica you were able to cool off in the water.

4 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Upper 60s are now popping up on the north side of Queens/Nassau.

68 at both my stations. Feels refreshing out after the heatwave. 

96.0 (Muttontown) & 95.1 (Syosset) for the high today, a tad cooler than yesterday.

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

I am on the beach and it’s still hot. Not much of a sea breeze

Cool off in the water already, lol

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Where's @forkyfork? I thought he liked this garbage 

Passed out from the heat 

11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Today was a historic day for June. Numerous monthly records were tied or broken. Preliminary high temperatures included:

Atlantic City: 102° (old record: 99°, 2010)
Bangor: 97° (old record: 93°, 1938, 1963, 1975, 1995)
Boston: 101° (old record: 95°, 1976 and 2013 ***New June record***
Bridgeport: 95° (old record: 94°, 1966)
Concord: 100° (old record: 96°, 1870 ***Tied June record***
Islip: 101° (old record: 96°, 1966) ***New June record***
Manchester, NH: 102° (old record: 95°, 2013) ***New June record***
New York City-Central Park: 99° (old record: 96°, 1888)
New York City-JFK Airport: 102° (old record: 97°, 2010) ***New June record***
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 99° (old record: 96°, 2013)
Newark: 103° (old record: 99°, 1923) ***Tied June record***
Philadelphia: 100° (old record: 99°, 1923)
Portland, ME: 99° (old record: 93°, 1976) ***New June record***
Poughkeepsie: 100° (old record: 94°, 1945 and 2013)
Providence: 100° (old record: 94°, 1980) ***New June record***
Westfield: 100° (old record: 94°, 2013)
Westhampton: 100° (old record: 90°, 1966) ***New June record/tied all-time record***

One more day of extreme heat is likely tomorrow / Temperatures will likely top out in the lower and middle 90s in much of the New York City area and upper 90s in the hot spots in New Jersey tomorrow. Afterwardy, it will turn cooler for Thursday through Saturday before temperatures warm again.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around June 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late summer.

The SOI was +17.57 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.610 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 80% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.0° (1.0° above normal). 

 

You can put 100 up for LGA with the 5pm observation.