NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Raised temperatures significantly across Long Island over the next several hours as thin high clouds and relatively light flow have already allowed temperatures to jump into the mid to upper 50s this morning. Ultimately expect further increases to be fairly limited as stronger southerly flow ushers in colder air off the ocean. Elsewhere, raised temperatures across northeast New Jersey and New York city a few degrees as the warm front has lifted north of these locations. Overrunning moisture will allow high clouds to continue to stream into the area this morning as a stationary front begins to lift north as a warm front. A cold front will then approach from the west. With the area warm sectored today, warm conditions are forecast on a rather strong southwesterly flow. Highs should top out in the lower 70s across portions of northeast New Jersey and around 70 for portions of New York City (away from the ocean). If temperatures continue to remain warmer than forecast this morning and/or breaks of sun occur later this morning into the afternoon (currently mostly cloudy conditions are forecast), then even warmer temperatures are possible. Went with the NBM for highs, but its worth noting that NBM 90th percentile shows middle to upper 70s across portions of northeast New Jersey and New York City.