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anthonymm

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Everything posted by anthonymm

  1. anthonymm
    NWS said 4", saw a lot of 3-6" forecasts as well.
  2. anthonymm
    Very heavy rates. This thing won't really pick up until after sunset and then you're only looking at a couple hours. I'd be impressed if central parks final measurement exceeds 2".
  3. anthonymm
    Euro op, and every other physics based model except Canadian
  4. anthonymm
    God gfs is such a weenie model
  5. anthonymm
    Need a turn around with a KU in late january or february or else we’re not getting to seasonable snowfall. As bluewave said we need a regionwide 12”+ to have a chance at it. To give you an idea of how hard it is to get 25+” now, even if cpark got a 1’ snowstorm and nothing else this winter, they still wouldn’t reach average.
  6. anthonymm
    Throw out January for snow. Hopefully this winter doesn't disprove the "snowy nina december" rule. Was a nice stat that helped us figure out if winter was gonna be trash or not. Guess it's just really really hard to get above normal in the park now.
  7. anthonymm
    it does happen. 2013-2015 was pretty much wall to wall cold. it's just rarer now with CC.
  8. anthonymm
    Wow January looks damn warm until at least the 15th.
  9. anthonymm
    3.75" here in Jersey city. Looks like the park overperformed compared to areas surrounding it for a change.
  10. anthonymm
    That 4.3" in the park is probably higher now. has been snowing at a good clip since 7 in the city.
  11. anthonymm
    not necessarily. dec 2020 albany was the jackpot but the city still received a healthy 10".
  12. anthonymm
    Have a flight that lands at newark at 6:30 pm tomorrow. how screwed am i
  13. anthonymm
    PNA = king for the coastal plain. we simply do not get decent snows without it, with extremely rare exceptions.
  14. anthonymm
    I'll pay you a hundred bucks if central park really gets 1.5" of snow on the ground before christmas.
  15. anthonymm
    Yea's its kind of crazy how the holiday warmup is always a lock now. Pattern has been for several years now impressive cold early to mid december, and then a guaranteed 60 degree cutter some time around christmas or new years.
  16. anthonymm
    Funny how that works. It's amazing how the warmth is always so dominant and resilient now.
  17. anthonymm
    Looks like winter takes a break until sometime in January.
  18. anthonymm
    3" works as well (95% success rate) but yeah gonna need to see just a dusting more before the park officially gets 3". Would really not take much at this point lol
  19. anthonymm
    Can confirm. Just took a long walk there. It was deep..
  20. anthonymm
    what does the "3" la nina december in the park" theory have to say about this?
  21. anthonymm
    Temps overperformed big time before. When I saw it hit 40 in central park I knew there was no way they'd cool down fast enough to have numbers like 4-5" verifying. Cpark needs an arctic antecedent airmass well below 32 for forecasts to verify now...
  22. anthonymm
    Newark and JFK seem unaffected. Forecasts should verify there with about 3". Here in Jersey City im sitting at 3" with some more to go.
  23. anthonymm
    Well it's not misleading if they work out about 1 in 10 times. Which I think they do.
  24. anthonymm
    Looks like this winter will be significantly different from the last few. As we all know 3-4”+ in a nina december stacks the odds heavily to a 30”+ winter for our area.
  25. anthonymm
    Has got nothing to do with UHI actually. Long Island's been in just as much as a snow drought. UHI isn't a factor during snowstorms cause the snow rapidly cools the surface.
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