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LordBaltimore

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Everything posted by LordBaltimore

  1. Steady light snow for past 5 to 10 minutes in southern Hoco. Gonna be an all nighter for sure but telling myself it's to catch up on work
  2. but will the snow be enough to fully cover said "short" pump is the question
  3. Time for a real storm. None of this mid stuff
  4. NAM nest is still the only non-suck (*cough* hi-res fv3) convective allowing model in range right now. Even if it's error prone at this range it's the only model that can pick up low end mesoscale features that could broaden the precip shield
  5. Wouldn't put much stock into QPF from any high-res fv3 models. IIRC, it has serious problems with that on the convective scales
  6. just got back from a jebwalk in kings contrivance. Was legit ripping snow for a few minutes. Been awhile since I've had a brain freeze from snow + wind
  7. was trying to reactivate my account from 2011 when I was like 16 but couldn't get the password reset to work. Was just a novice weenie back then, now I code fortran for GEOS-5 so I can weenie professionally
  8. agreed. Can't see the 12z yet, but previous euro runs want to relax the cold +tnh pattern past the 12th. We need deep snowcover now to avoid ugly above freezing days before the reload. 5" won't do it
  9. God bless America. Euro must be out to lunch
  10. model blends and multi-physics ensembles are the worst thing thought up by the NWP community in the last 20 years. It's the worst possible way of addressing model error
  11. can't recall the exact event, but I remember a couple of inches of sleet in downtown baltimore around 2017ish. The texture of it was crazy
  12. People misuse the ICON all the time. If you look at the data assimilation under the hood it's more like a global version of the RAP with 3denVAR and BC's used for regional models and such
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