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LordBaltimore

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Everything posted by LordBaltimore

  1. LordBaltimore
    The only downside at all to this winter was that it had the potential to be even greater. Some very minor tweaks and we could have had 2 feet on Feb 2nd, and another foot for the mid month storm. Would have been 60+ days of snowcover. This was a PHD level winter but it had the potential to be a nobel prize, once in a lifetime winter
  2. LordBaltimore
    To all the boxelder beetles that decided to come out and play when it hit 80 - RIP BOZOS GUESS YOU DIDNT PLAN ON THIRD WINTER
  3. LordBaltimore
    The dewpoints have been absolutely terrible today. Can't remember a muggy day like this with snowpiles still on the ground
  4. LordBaltimore
    I follow this stuff pretty closely. It's going to be bad for some time. Most of the oil wells in the middle east are shutting down because there's no place to put the oil. When wells are shut down it's difficult and expensive to start them up again. So basically 1/4 of the worlds oil supply is going to be missing for months. Gas will be getting very, very expensive.
  5. LordBaltimore
    I think my mistake was keeping the thermostat set on 68 for the couple of weeks in February before we moved in. It's an 1880's rowhome in Baltimore so insulation is probably not the best. Gotta load up on sweaters for next winter b/c no way am I ever setting it higher than 62 again lmao
  6. LordBaltimore
    I just got my first heating bill as a home-owner and now I don't know if I like snow anymore
  7. LordBaltimore
    With the exception of some imaginary snow that never came to be, this whole stretch starting last August has been glorious. Feels like it hasn't been hot in years and years now. Hope we can keep it up till May, do three months in the pen, then do it all again
  8. LordBaltimore
    Just wait until July. In April/May People notice it's warm out for the first time in awhile and think "lets go outside", then a good 50% of them get bored and go back to watching tv after about a few weeks. I see it every year.
  9. LordBaltimore
    My AC needs a new capacitor and I'm lazy so it'll probably take me a few weeks at least to fix. Would be perfect timing for a March/April full of backdoor cold-fronts
  10. LordBaltimore
    Not to deb but even aside from accumulations this isn't really a fun storm. Very sloppy snow, lots of puddles and mud everywhere. Not prime jebwalking conditions
  11. LordBaltimore
    I think the past few winters have really helped me appreciate how much variety we have in terms of snow-events and gradients here. It's probably the best thing about Maryland winters that you can live in a place that averages 10" a year and there's still going to be some storm where you jack over someone with a 50" climo. This event is a northeast gradient, earlier this year was South-east, climo obviously favors North-west/South-west but we have it all
  12. LordBaltimore
    Trammel Starks Pier 32 is mandatory for sn++
  13. LordBaltimore
    This is a zero sum game. Someone elses snow is snow that isn't yours. Tale as old as time. 32 degrees right now in Columbia
  14. LordBaltimore
    All the haters killed its self confidence
  15. LordBaltimore
    They kind of do just given how delicate the set up is. There's some kind of bifurcation point here and we're riding the boundary line of that
  16. LordBaltimore
    Can't be said enough. The GFS is a perfectly fine model. It doesn't verify as well as the Euro because with all the work on the dynamical core and DA system there's a backlog in all the other bread and butter parts of running a model - obs QC, error parameterization, physics parameters, bias correction etc. etc. It's not "broken" and a few bad performances doesn't mean it will always do worse than other models.
  17. LordBaltimore
    If we can be sure of anything it's that accumulation on road-side snow piles will be amazing
  18. LordBaltimore
    Wet ground matters because it increases conducivity. But then that becomes a factor of ground temperature which is still quite cold because of the snowpack. It's not nearly as much of a factor as it normally is
  19. LordBaltimore
    People have this idea I think that the quality of models is more different than they really are. Like I remember someone saying yesterday that the GFS takes multiple cycles to flush out bad initialization data. That's literally how every single modern weather model works. It's called 4dvar. It's something that would impact the Euro too
  20. LordBaltimore
    What's that guys? Do I hear CAVING from Euro's room?
  21. LordBaltimore
    GFS isn't anywhere near the best model but the pessimism here is way overblown. It's still better than the GEM, ICON, and you can't just throw out what it says
  22. LordBaltimore
    They're focusing on getting JEDI to one day work instead of tuning the old DA system. It will get better once people actually work on it
  23. LordBaltimore
    I really, really, really need this sunday to be a MECS just so I can see the look on peoples faces when the last bit of snow finally melts only to be replaced by a fresh foot the very next day
  24. LordBaltimore
    Not bad for pity snow
  25. LordBaltimore
    I would not trust the CMC on boundary layer temps at all. It's just not in the same league as the other globals
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