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LordBaltimore

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Everything posted by LordBaltimore

  1. Betting odds on OPM closed Tuesday? Gonna need a bit to bounce back from this allnighter
  2. HRRR has been showing pure rain along and east of 95 at the very tail end of the storm for the past few runs. Imagine it's overblown but hoping that doesn't get anywhere close to verifying
  3. getting out of that subsidence zone really changed the game. Should be able to at least match expectations
  4. Very heavy rates for past 30 minutes or so. Predominantly spikes and plates, no huge individual flakes but plenty of aggregates
  5. Jeb, you ever think about how even 80 years from now when everyone posting here is dead and gone, people will still be taking walks named after you lol Snow picking in Columbia, on the verge of measurable now on most surfaces
  6. Flakes have arrived! The lightest of flurries rn in Columbia
  7. If you wanna be even more envious, by that time cars will be electric and most city buildings will have replaced furnaces with mini-split type heat-pumps so they'll have no UHI to worry about
  8. Nothing yet in Kings Contrivance. Hoping to get a flake or two before this little band moves out
  9. Looks like T-15 mins for first jebwalk in Columbia
  10. Who tf are all these people talking about sleep in the storm thread. Disgraceful. Weenie rule says no sleep if a storm starts before 5am
  11. I had no idea it was even an option for the GFS. That's awesome if it happens
  12. I'm just glad the models don't seem to be backing off the +PNA anytime soon
  13. This will literally be the most difficult thing to shovel most people have seen in years. God help anyone who doesn't put up their wiper blades
  14. If it doesn't get to zero IMBY tuesday morning like the Euro promised for the past 5 days then they should throw that whole model in the trash and start over
  15. fresh, powdery snow has the highest albedo of any surface. Light gets almost completely scattered. Ice and sleet are a bit more translucent if you look at them closely
  16. ice has a slightly lower albedo than snow. I don't believe slight variations in albedo based on snowpack quality are something most models handle, it's usually snow-covered/not snow-covered
  17. I'd imagine besides the depth of freezing layer there's also variability based on if the drops contain ice nucleating particles which then becomes a matter of if they were homogenously nucleated in the first place. Probably no way to tell
  18. somewhere out there the gortons fisherman is about to get his dinghy stuck on a sandbar, covered in freezing spray, blasted by a winter storm, and then capsized by gale force winds
  19. Could see the draw if you're holed up inside. But if I remember right from college there is literally nothing worse than underdressing for a jebwalk stoned
  20. I'm coming around to this event. It's not a big dawg. It's not a cold powder blizzard. But it is a good old fashioned deep winter beat down. Even the best 15+ ratio storms get depressing the next day when they compact. This nasty, sleet hardened mf will be looking the same on Feb 5th that it does early Monday morning just with some extra soot and maybe a few more snowfalls on top
  21. I'm telling you guys, the bay *will* freeze up this year. Maybe not 1977 style but as close as we can get with modern climo. Get ready for bay bridge ice-jam pics Best part is when that happens places near the coast will decouple from their normal water moderated lows
  22. fortran has to be the single most underrated language of all time. It's the perfect mix of low-level enough to do resource management and easy enough to not require someone who is purely a software engineer. And I say this as someone who grew up with python, matlab and c++ lol
  23. I'm exaggerating a little. Obv the model is important, but DA is more important. It was a stupid idea to take on a DA system written in c++ and coded mainly by people outside the field. Most people in this profession are old, they aren't going to learn that shit. And it was effort and money that could've just gone into adding more ensemble members or doing an ensemble of 4dvars like the Euro. But they had to have the shiny object oriented gamer software
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