BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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Slight step back. Low goes from Emporia to Chesterfield to Warrenton...plenty of time for adjustments.
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Top 5 for that date in Dec maybe? That is plausible.
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I think we have to wait until Jan.
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I still think I can get an inch or two here. I don’t think that’s unrealistic for my location west of 95. If I go to pure rain for hours then I might have to reconsider. EDIT: nevermind I looked at the GFS closer. I still think I can get 1-2 inches of rain here.
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I’m ready. That positive snow depth change map changed my whole outlook. Back wanting first flakes.
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That’s double what I thought for my house. Overperformer?
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You’ll be slightly less disappointed perhaps. I’m 5 miles NW of Manassas up 619. Hopefully you are further NW. But welcome to the hood. Need to get you and Wonderdog to Atlas for a beer sometime.
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I think we get a period of snow that accumulates on the grass that mixes with sleet and rain...I go over to plain rain with sleet mixed in by around dinner time and then all goes back to snow and ends by 10pm and we get 1-2 inches of slush. We initially get a watch that gets converted to a WWA tomorrow. And we hope for another event and do it all over again.
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IDK we are getting close now. We don’t have to hug it but can’t ust toss anything less than favorable. Better to just toss our previous thoughts and hopes and analyze what’s coming in now while considering the sources, efficacy and biases.
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It would allow for better thermals at least that’s part of it
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Having gone to bed at 930 and just waking up to scroll back through the pbp for the 0z runs I realize what a memorable event this is shaping up to be for PA
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Yep
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The precip totals are there for widespread 20 plus if it was colder.
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Wish we still had the Heavy Snow Warning. Multiple hazards are fun
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Subtle differences but big impact. Almost doubled my snow by bringing the higher totals SE. 20 miles made a difference on the margins. No complaints here.
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Yeah most times he was right. Damn you Bob.
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Or Bob Ryan..he still sees no sign..no sign of snow in our region. I always wanted to hit him with the golden snow shovel
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Tough one. 12 inches is a lot for snow when it’s not cold smoke. I’d go I under.
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In Va take that dotted line and swing it more southward than that.
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I 95 is the fall line
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Yep. My zone forecast says snow likely then snow. You’ll do fine. Any more ticks SE and you are in the zone.
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p25.
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We are due for a tick west...a step back..a minor adjustment in the noise that takes away half the previous runs snow
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Yeah. When you get pingers I should be on high alert and tell the others.
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We’ll trade obs on Wed! We should all start as snow God willing
