well if it's stable and that time stamp is 14 Jan...that's half the month. still the optimistic side of me thinks it will turn around or we will see a totally different look come next week. hope is not a plan but despair is not either.
Many thank you's for taking the time to post that. At least we know what we are likely up against based on those analogs so I have a totally different mindset now about the winter and know what to look for. its tough pill to swallow for sure.
I remember 2002 quite well as my son was born Jan 18th. It snowed that day and I thought is was divine intervention...it NEVER snowed again that winter that I recall (I was sleep deprived most of the time) outside of some flurries.
yes that is chuckle worthy for sure. its nearly impossible to even get fantasy blue precip over the region. but not a bad look overall...for an op run of course. there is cold sloshing around up top so there is something
interesting look on GFS 234hr...kissing 1045 and 1050 highs in W. Conus and W. Canada sliding SE...been a wide selection of op run fantasy looks...add this to the pile I suppose.
Yeah but at least it’s at the ready if mobilized. Of course it could stay put all season. If we are knocking on Feb door with no change and no measurable snow then it would be discouraging.
Yeah. Perhaps but if the GEFS is correct it will take Nearly the first half of Jan to get things looking favorable as Cape said above. It is what it is. Merry Christmas my friend!
And you’d think when that happens..if ever..then we would be frigid because the block is that strong giving JAX a HECS...but as modeled we are warmer than they are..will never happen but it’s bizzaro world type pattern.
True. But it would do nothing for MBY. It’s every man for himself in this game. Now if that storm marched up the coast and crushed us then I would permit such blasphemy