Wild Weather Monger

Montego Bay seems to be destined to be struck by the intense western eyewall.. Yikes. http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/05Pilon/plnMAXw01a.gif

Aside from the storm already being.2 degrees further west than the 5 pm advisory, it sure looks to be moving faster than 3 mph, too.

Yep. a bit of southerly component this evening. Also, it appears to have increased its forward speed a bit. Small chance Melissa gets far enough west before re-curving and just misses Jamaica to the west if this movement persist a bit longer than expected.

What to make of the big positive spike shown at months end before most of those members fall off of the cliff? That's new.

It's interesting that the UKMET never drives Karl inland. Makes me wonder if there is any chance at all of the storm lingering in the Bay of Campeche and being picked up by the next trough?

It would seem the loss of life with Ian in the US will be +- some 1700 fewer souls lost than Katrina. 1836 is Katrina's official death toll.

I'm not in Florida either so IDK what the local news was saying. But having lived in SE Louisiana most of my life, local news and government always trumpeted the worse possible scenario. So much so that when the big one actually did come, many were shocked at what the real deal can bring. I think social media plays a part in this too. How many times have we all rolled our eyes at people posting those 2' snowstorm 5-day model runs on Facebook and such that rarely verifies? Or the 200mph 3K NAM for a hurricane?

IDk. When have local or nationional news NOT harped on the seriousness of the situation? One could argue the "boy who called wolf effect" that accompanies so many storms is the culprut.

Different time stamps.

Why would anyone need to boil water when clearly responsible people who choose or have no choice bit to ride out a hurricane surely have at least three days of drinking water in their hurricane preparedness kits?

Grand Isle: https://grandislerentals1.click2stream.com/

Yeah, I've been watching this for my old hometown. This latest jog is looking more like a heading I fear.

All this power outage talk makes me think I'm in my SE forum with .10 of ice accretion in the forecast.

If all I had was a radar and a thermometer I'd be out buying milk and bread after peaking at tonight's SE radar. Dang, can't break this snow drought here.

So does 1/10th of an inch count as a White Christmas? It does here!