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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    What do you think of the pattern? For Sunday you said that it was a good pattern for a MECS but implied there was a cap. Is there no limit to this pattern?
  2. bncho
    (there's more for baltimore north)
  3. bncho
    Slight shift south and it's slightly juicier
  4. bncho
    AI GFS shift south
  5. bncho
    HRRR likes the idea the possibility of some thundersnow (and then thundersleet) right before the changeover.
  6. bncho
    The GFS is 14" of snow + sleet for DC.
  7. bncho
    GFS = stubborn bastard
  8. bncho
    btw the 3k NAM is ALSO noticeably colder in the upper levels than its 12z run
  9. bncho
    NAM noticeably colder in the upper levels
  10. bncho
    Well then, in that case, it would be great if you could explain to me vorticities and how they interact and what we would want for a Winter Storm vs nothing and each little piece affects things downstream
  11. bncho
    OMG thank you for asking. One of big things I know very little about is frontogenesis in general. An explanation of that would be AMAZING!
  12. bncho
    Do any Mets have any possible implications for this?
  13. bncho
    Verbatim that would've flipped us back to some snow at the end, no?
  14. bncho
    That's probably rimed snow/sleet mix
  15. bncho
    What a prolific THUMP on the HRRR
  16. bncho
    HRRR's gonna be ~10" in DC. They flip to sleet/rimed snow at 11AM.
  17. bncho
    SE DC loses thermals at hr 46, NW DC and burbs holding on...
  18. bncho
    I think HRRR might lose thermals soon but if it holds out until the end of its run then DC gets 10"
  19. bncho
    Absolute beatdown on the HRRR
  20. bncho
    Sounds like a classic +PDO Nino February. Might be an epic stretch coming up.
  21. bncho
    Thunderstorms, except freezing rain? Jeez that sounds like a nightmare.
  22. bncho
    That's aura.
  23. bncho
    9" of snow, then 2" of sleet and 1/4" freezing rain? That sounds like a very major winter storm. We're going to remember this for the impacts (ice) and its longevity due to the sheer frigid temps.
  24. bncho
    Euro slight tick south.
  25. bncho
    NYC is screwed.
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