bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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ICON is gonna be another huge hit. JFC...
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Guys, lets lock in. 0z suite time. We start with the ICON. Come on. You know the drill. Moderator @bncho is here to get you lot in order.
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ICON looks better than 12z so far, if that is possible.
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The NAM is a terrible model until it shows the least snowy outcome, then it becomes prime Euro.
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Would you say the NAM 3km is a good model inside its useful range of 36 hours?
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With this added 100 mile north shift would this system trend more juicy/amped?
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The Weather Channel has named this storm. It's called Winter Storm Fern.
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DC to BALT is going to get absolutely clobbered from this storm. RIC likely will as well, but are at risk for mixing. NYC to BOS has seen better trends, and though they might not get clobbered like we will, there's still the possibility they get 12".
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The EPS's "fail" scenario is literally 4-6" for the area, probably up to 7-10" with ratios.
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We're going to be Jebwalking in the snow that night.
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Winter Storm Emergency sounds cool. would have to be totals of 12" plus tho
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22z? Extended HH!
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Euro is a FOLKS! Thank you to all who joined us for Happy Hour. See you at 0z!
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Euro might be Kuchera 20" in DC based off QPF, Bob Chill might be 30"
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Guys...
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Excellent phase, much cleaner than 12z
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then you're with me. hr 78 now and i dunno how to really say it but it looks like the phase will be cleaner?
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18z Euro Baja low phases super early, at only hr 66
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where tf is randy? 18z euro baja low less closed off than 12z, it's more east, hr 54
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Euro AI shift north
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GEFS more amped, more north.
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It's genuinely probably because the GFS is a terrible model. I'm not even joking.
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I don't think those things are going to get sampled until tomorrow.
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You're the best breakout star of this winter. You've already made a lot of people happy.
