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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    Is December looking less and less good (because it seems like the beginning of the month has trended warmer), or is it just models rushing the pattern change like usual?
  2. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    very interesting forecast because of the snowfall gradient.
  3. chill yall. this is a thread to talk about ENSO, not a thread to belittle people because of their biases warm/cold. jeez
  4. December will be ROCKING! Prepare NOW!
  5. 6z GFS is right where we want it?
  6. i don't think the mid-atlantic should expect to see anything until december 15. after that things look more favorable and it might be game on for us
  7. Heavy snow in McLean. 31/30. 4” on the ground. 6-10” more to come?
  8. I'm thinking you might be seeing a rain/snow mix. it's very hard to see that out of your window, but you might see some translucent, very wet flakes if you go outside and analyze
  9. man, if it were only 5-10 degrees colder
  10. i would love it, though. maybe we can sneak in a few 1-3 and 3-5 events in mid-late December to put us up there.
  11. 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it.
  12. watch us randomly get 2-4" of snow. biggest forecast bust (or boom depending on how you look at things) since snowquester
  13. 12z Euro was nice. Temps are around 32-35 so rain/snow mix.
  14. end of 12z Euro looked kinda cool, temps at DCA and BWI were like 32-35 so rain/snow mix
  15. perhaps this is an over-polarization, especially for central park, but for Baltimore and points south I can tell you we treat every snow event like gravy.
  16. January is looking a little bit better from what I see. Updated: BWI: 23.5" DCA: 16.2" IAD: 27.0" RIC: 11.3" ----- SBY: 13.2"
  17. Are you thinking that south of the M/D line will see a warmer than average December, or will it be balanced out by a colder end?
  18. 5 inches of snow in DC, about 2.5x of climo. that's great! but like @WxUSAF implies sometimes, i'd rather get that 2.5x climo in january or february (which is 12.5" instead of 5")
  19. nah 100 inches of snow from november thru april
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