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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. Oh well. Setting an alarm for 3:30am tonight. Probably in vain. But a weenie’s gotta do what a weenie’s gotta do!
  2. The GFS AI has an incredible cold bias lol. It's a weenie's dream model.
  3. Well, Ninas are known to kill snow chances down in the Mid-Atlantic. But we just have to wait for the time that we get a +PDO Nino and maybe something can happen. With the warming climate if we get a blizzard it'll be a big one.
  4. Look who's not being grumpy and actually being positive! Character growth!
  5. Alright guys. HH GFS is about to run. It was what renewed our hopes yesterday. And honestly? Please stop with the cliff jumping. It's kinda ridiculous.
  6. That's more than okay with me. NAM and HRRR have snow falling but whether it actually hits the ground is questionable,
  7. We should all take a break from the LR thread and track something in the short-range that might as well be nothing. If the mods wanna remove the thread above then they are free to do so.
  8. I thought I would create this thread to give people a break from the doom and gloomy mess that the LR thread is. At least we have a chance to get on the board for January until the good pattern later that month. It's something to track so who cares. FWIW 18z HRRR and 12z FV3 are on board with something. 18z NAM not as much but still there. Edit: You can also include tonight's possible dusting in here as well. 100% for it.
  9. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2006077759941210284 BAM says it perfectly IMO. "Don't try to rush this. It won't work." This is NOT a can kick pattern yet. Jan 15 and onwards has been the timeframe the better posters have been honking their horns on.
  10. I would disagree with the can kick idea with this situation. It was always mid-late January that was going to be good. Then suddenly early-January pops up and gets overhyped, and then it disappears. IMO it was never our time, especially with that forecast +EPO.
  11. We would need to sort out the pacific before the East Coast gets chances for big snowstorms. I dislike that +EPO a lot. It's more likely mid-late January will offer that -WPO/-EPO/-AO/+PNA combination.
  12. if i see fantasy blue over my house, i call it a hit. i have no standards lol. the GFS is a hit in my book
  13. southern stream wave is just too quick for the phase on the CMC.
  14. You don't have the patience to stay up for the Euro?
  15. well whaddya know. we lasted 5 hours without chuck the grinch lol. now watch it turn into a southern slider where nobody gets anything
  16. This was heartbreaking because we finally thought it was going to be it after 9 years.
  17. Wind must’ve knocked down a tree. Power outage right now.
  18. the ending wave on the 18z GFS would be a cold rainstorm for most.
  19. GFS is going to try and tee up another hit. Thermals TBD
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